What do those numbers actually mean?

08 Sunday Jan 2023

Posted by Michael Bersin in Eric Schmitt, social media, US Senate

Tags

Border Patrol, CBP, Eric Schmitt, Fascist pig, immigration, missouri, posturing, right wingnut, statistics, U.S. Senate, variables

Statistics. Variables.

From U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) [Up to December 15, 2022]:

…Records checks of available law enforcement databases following the apprehension of an individual may reveal a history of criminal conviction(s). That conviction information is recorded in a U.S. Customs and Border Protection database, from which the data below is derived…

“…following the apprehension of an individual…”

So, the Border Patrol is doing its job.

And:

[Image cropped to show a single category]

So, approximately 60% or more of the apprehensiona are for Illegal Entry or Re-Entry.

Leave it to Eric Schmitt (r) to play with repackaging in service to right wingnut political hackery.

Eric Schmitt (r) [2022 file photo].

Sure, enough, yesterday afternoon:

Eric Schmitt @Eric_Schmitt
Nothing to see here. Move along.
[….]
2:59 PM · Jan 7, 2023

“…Records checks of available law enforcement databases following the apprehension of an individual may reveal a history of criminal conviction(s). That conviction information is recorded in a U.S. Customs and Border Protection database…” [CBP]

“Encounters” versus “Apprehensions”. Interesting choice of words there, Eric Schmitt (r).

Some of the responses:

So the Trump DHS was letting in more criminals.

When will you start helping Missouri residents?

Oh wow… Can you believe how many criminal aliens got away with crime under Trump?
It’s insane. The CBP was too busy locking kids in cages to go after the actual bad guys.

Thank God we have actual leadership now.

Yeah that’s not a biased data source

They did spin the labels…

Any chance you’re going to work on any MO problems? Probably just hide in your new position like Hawley and get rich while accomplishing nothing.

Thank goodness that the border patrol is working for the Biden administration. They have made so many more arrests and encounters. This is what happens when you have professionals running the gov’t and not the circus clowns from 2017 – 2020.

You are not die hard. You are blow hard.

The question remains, Christmas movie, or not?

Weird — the Heritage Foundation lists these as “criminal alien ENCOUNTERS”… but the USCBP data that it links to says that these numbers are “Criminal Noncitizen CONVICTIONS.” Almost like the problem is that Trump admin enforcement was weak. In any case, the graph is dishonest.

We noticed that, too.

Interesting enough this survey doesn’t say anything about the pandemic being rampant in 2020 . And isn’t it a good thing that border patrol stops people?

Would you prefer that border patrol *not* encounter them?

Who gives a shit when the worst criminals in the country are congressional Republicans?

We see what you did there.

Can you work on actually fixing shit here in Missouri instead of just mindlessly pandering bullshit buzzword topics on twitter?

Surely you jest.

Now Eric, I hate Biden but this just shows an increase of enforcement by border patrol agents.

Isn’t that what we want? Reduced inflows of illegal aliens?

Uh, well, whatever.

The disgraced former president was too busy arresting children and their families to concern himself with actual criminals.

Are you really this ignorant?

Yes, please move long because you’re a total idiot

Our top twenty traffic posts – 2022 – part 2

18 Sunday Dec 2022

Posted by Michael Bersin in meta

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

meta, Show Me Progress, statistics

It’s that time of year.

The continuation of our top twenty traffic posts for Show Me Progress in 2022:

11. Vicky Hartzler (r): “Your awl reely stoopit.” (March 17, 2022)

Vicky Hartzler (r) [2021 file photo].

She’ll be back.

“We’d better get back ’cause it’ll be dark soon and they mostly come at night. Mostly.“ – Newt

12. This is far from over (July 5, 2022)

“…Because you get none”

Abortion. It ain’t over.

13. “You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.” (May 11, 2022)

Josh Hawley (r) [2016 file photo].

Dumbass. Josh (r). Again.

14. Former County Sheriff Publicly Denounces “No one is above the law” (August 10, 2022)

Governor Mike Parson (r) [2018 file photo].

Hee haw. Law and order. Not.

15. Trudy Busch Valentine (D) in Jackson County, Missouri – August 13, 2022 (August 13, 2022)

Trudy Busch Valentine (D) [2022 file photo].

Grassroots campaigning immediately after the August primary.

16. Virginia. Ohio. Same difference. (August 28, 2022)

Josh (r). Again.

The third senator from Virginia in Ohio.

17. 17,124 Missourians could not be reached for comment (February 1, 2022)

Mike Parson (r) [2019 file photo].

Pandemic? What pandemic?

Hee haw. Sociopath.

18. Math is hard – “…yup I’m from Missouri yup…” (February 5, 2022)

Redistricting. Gerrymandering.

19. Stupidity may be inherited, ignorance is a personal choice, expoitation of either for power is evil (December 10, 2022)

Eric Schmitt (r) [2022 file photo].

Fascist pig.

20. We could have had six years of Valentine (D), instead we all get a pile of Schmitt (r) * (November 9, 2022)

A missed opportunity.

Previously:

Our top twenty traffic posts – 2022 – part 1 (December 18, 2022)

Our top twenty traffic posts – 2022 – part 1

18 Sunday Dec 2022

Posted by Michael Bersin in meta

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

meta, Show Me Progress, statistics

It’s that time of year.

The top twenty traffic posts for Show Me Progress in 2022:

1. It’s a cult (January 19, 2022)

Bad combover. Check. Too long red tie. Check. Orange spray tan. Check. Tiny hands. Check. Cluelessness. Check…

2. Anyone from Missouri on that list? (June 10, 2022)

Pardon me, or so they said.

3. Yale called, Josh, they want their law degree back (November 16, 2022)

Josh Hawley (r) [2016 file photo].

4. Math is hard, proportional representation is evil, Missouri voters are stupid (February 4, 2022)

Lunacy.

5. That’s the matter with Missouri (October 5, 2022)

Mike Parson (r) [2022 file photo].

When all else fails, continue.

6. Is that how it is in Virginia? (February 18, 2022)

Pearl clutching.

7. Missouri gets what it votes for (April 20, 2022)

If we ignore it, it no longer exists. Right?

8. Campaign Finance: “I spent a week in Buffalo, Missouri one day…” (April 23, 2022)

9. Be careful to not mention anything about Missouri farm land to Eric Schmitt (r) (November 29, 2022)

Josh Hawley (r) [2016 file photo].

Yes, it’s Josh (r). Again.

10. Eric Schmitt (r) gets pwned…again (September 23, 2022)

Trudy Busch Valentine (D).

Beer. Beer in Missouri. Beer in the U.S. Senate race.

299 former residents of Stone and Taney Counties could not be reached for comment

01 Tuesday Feb 2022

Posted by Michael Bersin in meta

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

anti-mask, anti-science, anti-vaccine, Branson, Corona virus, COVID-19, DHSS, meta, missouri, pandemic, statistics, Stone County, Taney County

Meta.

Occasionally a post here will generate a lot of traffic. With that we sometimes get rambling illiterate responses posted as comments. There appears to be a correlation.

When anyone posts a comment here at Show Me Progress their email and IP addresses are attached to the comment.

All comments are held in moderation until approved. Illiterate responses are held in perpetuity – they won’t appear with the original post. However, we can and have devoted “Meta” posts mocking such content.

One from today:

We are doing well here in Branson Missouri! And if you go to the local hospitals here where are the patients that are deathly ill??? Empty as empty can be!!! I believe you have an agenda for writing your post as well sir and your vote we can do without!! If it’s a deadly virus then we should be properly disposing them instead of wearing the same ones daily lol come on now we all should know how viruses spread and wearing masks is not the answer here and also we wear the same clothing weekly in and out of schools, Walmart, hospitals and wow nothing is being said on how to properly wash our clothes or disposing of our own clothes lol sad people think that wearing a masks and getting the 50th shot is going to stop a deadly virus as the dummies of the white house is stating lol and did you read where biden has exempt his own staff from the vaccine?? Okaaayyy please use what brain cells you all have left and really look at what’s happening!!

We rest our case.

Missouri DHSS:

Cox Health in Branson:

Previously:

17,124 Missourians could not be reached for comment (February 1, 2022)

17,124 Missourians could not be reached for comment

01 Tuesday Feb 2022

Posted by Michael Bersin in Missouri Governor, social media, Uncategorized

≈ 3 Comments

Tags

Corona virus, COVID-19, DHSS, governor, Mike Parson, missouri, pandemic, social media, statistics, Twitter

Mike Parson (r) [2019 file photo].

Governor Mike Parson @GovParsonMO
During these past 22 months, we have never wavered in our opposition to COVID-19 mandates and will always stand for Missourians’ rights and freedoms.
(6/9)
2:56 PM · Jan 31, 2022

Missouri DHSS:

Sue Gibson.

Pandemic? What pandemic?

26 Wednesday Jan 2022

Posted by Michael Bersin in Missouri Governor

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

Chris Prener, Corona virus, COVID-19, governor, Mike Parson, missouri, pandemic, statistics, west central Missouri

Governor Mike Parson (r) [2018 file photo].

Dumbass.

Reality:

Chris Prener [thread]:

We’re back to seeing all-time high 7-day averages statewide, reflecting still increasing rates Outstate and plateaued rates in STL/KC.

I had hoped that any gains Outstate would be offset by declines in the two major metros, but that hasn’t panned out. STL’s decline has stopped and rates have climbed slightly, and KC as yet to fall away from its peak.

Over the past 3 days, one striking trend has been all-time high rates in counties that are higher than any we have seen. As I wrote in last week’s newsletter, McDonald County in SWMO had set the highest 7-day average way back in the spring of 2020.

Now, McDonald’s record-setting rate no longer places it in the top 10. Instead, Boone, Buchanan, Christian, Greene, Nodaway, Pettis, and Vernon counties have all surpassed McDonald’s prior high.

Nodaway County is leading the pack right now with Buchanan not far behind – both are nearing 400 new cases per day per 100,000 residents on average – just a staggering level of new cases relative to anything we have seen before.

Just to the south, in the counties that lie just outside of the Kansas City Metro, we have a significant bloc of counties now with rates over 300 per 100k – Henry, Pettis, Saline, St. Clair, and Vernon, with Pettis and Vernon among the top 10 in MO right now.

Mid-MO’s Boone, Callaway, and Cole counties all are over 300 new cases per 100k. I’ve been particularly focused on Boone County lately given the lack of precautions in place at the University of Missouri as classes began last week.

Further south around Springfield, Greene County’s rate is at the same level as Buchanan County – over 370 new cases per 100k. Christian County is also in the top ten.

[….]

Hospitalizations around MO have increased substantially. As of mid-January, hospitals in Mid-MO, Kansas City, and St. Louis were seeing more COVID patients than at any point prior during the pandemic.

[…]

This ain’t over, no matter what Mike Parson (r) thinks or says.

If you haven’t already done so, get vaccinated and boosted. Wear a damn mask.

Previously:

If you close your eyes really tight, put your fingers in your ears, and hold your breath it will all go away (December 30, 2021)