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Monthly Archives: July 2013

Campaign Finance: En passant

31 Wednesday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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campaign finance, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission, Rex Sinquefield

Yesterday, at the Missouri Ethics Commission:

C000865 07/30/2013 ASSOCIATED INDUSTRIES OF MO-PAC Grow Missouri 308 E. High St., Suite 301 Jefferson City MO 65101 7/29/2013 $100,000.00

[emphasis added]

That’s a chunk of change. Wait, where have we seen “Grow Missouri” before? Ah, yes:

Campaign Finance: be afraid, be very afraid (July 11, 2013)

[….]

Today, at the Missouri Ethics Commission:

C131097 07/11/2013 GROW MISSOURI Rex Sinquefield 244 Bent Walnut Westphalia MO 65085 Retired 7/9/2013 $1,300,000.00

[emphasis added]

Yep, it’s ironic. Nope, that’s not a typo.

Ah, apparently it’s all about drumming up propaganda to promote overriding Governor Jay Nixon’s (D) veto of HB 253.

Gee, who would benefit from that?

Check.

Not gonna happen

31 Wednesday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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Iraq War

Instructions, apparently from our corporate masters, along a U.S. highway in New Mexico.

Yeah, right, not with people like this:

Jul 30, 2013

Kenneth Pollack: If Only We Could Reinvade Iraq

By Michael Maiello at 1:31PM

….What stands out most in his survey, though, are not his specific policy proposals but the forlorn paragraph where he fantasizes about what he’d like to do if only pesky politics weren’t in the way:

“In an alternative universe, the United States might re-intervene in Iraq, redeploying tens of thousands of soldiers to restore everyone’s sense of safety and allowing the political process to heal again. In this universe, the United States is never going to intervene in Iraq again, nor will the Maliki government ever request that we do so.”

A decade has passed since Pollack’s pre-war advocacy and all Pollack really wants is another run at the cradle of civilization. But don’t worry, he assures us, nobody with any say in the matter will go there….

Fortunately for inside the beltway cocktail weenie circuit pundits most Americans can’t remember anything beyond last week’s faux reality television show.

And yet you keep voting to pamper the 1%

30 Tuesday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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bumper sticker, cluelessness, teabagger

Spotted yesterday on a teabaggermobile:

Because republican trickle down economics has always provided ponies, cotton candy, and chocolate sprinkles for all…

Apples and oranges are both fruit

30 Tuesday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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James Crocker, missouri, Shelley Henrickson

Most of those who come to this blog will have already read about James Crocker who shot a man in the face for trespassing – maybe – on his property. The property in question was along the Meramec River and the man who was shot was one of the hordes that evidently go “floating” on said river. Floating seems to often involve drinking and partying on gravel bars that abut the property of riverside residents.

The details of this shooting seem unsavory from just about any point of view. The shooter wanted the floaters to know just what his armed status meant, backing up his orders to be gone from his property with the statement that “I have the power here. I have the power.” And he wasn’t just whistling Dixie. When push came to shove he, in his own words, ” just shot the one closest to me,” a man who seems, by all accounts, to have been trying to defuse the confrontation.

Neither, however, do the floaters come off much better. They were by some accounts the worse for alcohol and may or may not have been willfully trespassing – it seems that the law governing property rights along the river can be a bit “murky,” but they had, nevertheless signed an agreement with the float outfitter that they would respect the wishes of riverside residents if a conflict arose.

That the situation would have never come to such a dire end if Mr. Crocker were not armed is indisputable. Nobody can deny that a man is dead who didn’t need to die. However, there has been little discussion of the role that arming citizens played in his death; everyone seems to be more than willing to grant that, depending on how property law is interpreted in this case, Mr. Crocker may have been within his rights to shoot according to Missouri’s Castle law.

In 1994 Shelley Henrickson shot her husband after years of violent physical abuse. She joined a number of other women who had finally snapped and murdered abusive spouses, women like Lynda Branch who in 1986 shot her husband after eleven years of abuse so horrific that it is difficult to read her account of her experiences.

During their trials, none of these women were allowed to testify about the abuse they suffered. Even when attitudes about victims of domestic abuse began to change, parole boards were reluctant to release them. Lynda Branch, for example, attempted a number of appeals on the basis that the judge and jury were not allowed to see evidence of the abuse she endured, all of which were denied. The experiences of most of the other women were similar.

It took a group of feminist lawyers, the Missouri Battered Women’s Clemency Coalition, to bring about change. As a result of their work, the legislature passed a law in 2007 permitting the Board of Probation and Parole to release who women who had not been permitted to use a battered spouse defense. The Board, however was so reluctant to act that the Coalition had to go to court to force the Board to act, eventually winning the release of eleven women, including Shelley Henrickson and Lynda Branch.

What’s this got to do with James Crocker? Not much admittedly, apart from what seems – at this early date at least – to be the contrasting attitudes surrounding the crimes.

When authorities tried to explain why they were unwilling to revisit the crimes of the domestic abuse victims described above, they consistently referenced the fact that the women had committed cold-blooded murder as an inescapable and, by implication, an unforgivable fact. Actually, there are still some folks who are ticked off abut their final release after years of prison (read, for instance, this unhinged diatribe – at your own risk).

Discussions of Crocker’s crime, however, seem to hinge on whether or not he had a claim to the gravel bar where the floaters came ashore, or just how Missouri’s Castle Law should be interpreted. There’s also a little uneasy hemming hawing abut gun violence and Castle Laws, but nothing too shrill.

Kill in cold blood because you live in fear of an abusive husband and rot in jail for years. Life is sacred after all. Kill in cold blood because you’re ticked off about jackasses abusing your property, and Missouri’s Castle Law could, if you’re lucky, very well see you through. Life may be sacred, but just might come in second to property rights.

Admittedly, there are lots of complex nuances in both situations, and it is still unclear what will happen with Mr. Crocker. Comparing the two types of events is like comparing apples and oranges, you might say. But I also know that apples and oranges are both fruit and we shouldn’t forget it.

When it comes to Keystone XL pipeline and jobs, the GOPers are talking through their hats

29 Monday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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Ann Wagner, Barack Obama, Billy Long, Blaine Luetkemeyer, climate change, jobs, Keystone XL, missouri, Roy Blunt, TransCanada

The Keystone Pipeline would cross the central United States carrying environmentally “dirty” tar sands oil to refineries on the Gulf. Environmentalists oppose it on numerous grounds. Those who support it it usually do so on the grounds that it would create jobs in the U.S. and would lessen our energy dependence on the Middle East. Both claims have been convincingly disputed. The jobs claim, however, has been a constant talking point among Missouri’s Republican delegation to Washington D.C.:

I wrote last week that Rep. Ann Wagner (R-4) was getting all worked up that the president had had the gall to call Republicans out on the topic of the economy while delaying approval of the Keystone XL pipeline.

Right now, President Obama can approve the Keystone XL pipeline and create tens of thousands of good-paying jobs while ushering in a new era of energy independence.

GOP Senator Roy Blunt also thinks Keystone XL is a great idea according to a press release on his Website:

Blunt cosponsored bipartisan legislation – which was introduced by U.S. Senator John Hoeven (N.D.) and is cosponsored by 44 Senators – to authorize the construction and operation of the Keystone XL Pipeline. The Keystone XL Pipeline would create an estimated 20,000 jobs.

Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-3) claims that if the President endorses the pipeline, “the end result will be the creation of 20,000 jobs and the reduction of our dependence on foreign oil.”

Rep. Vicky Hartzler (R-4) also likes that 20,000 number, claiming on her Website, that “TransCanada, the builder of the pipeline, plans to spend  $7 billion in the U.S. and create 20,000 jobs.”

Ever the team player, Rep. Billy Long (R-7) goes along with the idea that it’s all about jobs, claiming that “the Keystone pipeline is a privately funded jobs project.” Imagine! I bet TransCanada thinks it’s significantly more that a “jobs project” when it comes to their bottom line.

On the other hand we have President Obama who recently indicated the criteria he would use to judge whether or not to okay the pipeline project. In his statement, he discounted the jobs argument that has become an article of faith among his Republican detractors, who were moved to near hysterical levels of invective when he delayed his decision on the pipeline last year. Instead, the President observed that:

“Republicans have said that this would be a big jobs generator,” Obama told the Times. “There is no evidence that that’s true. The most realistic estimates are this might create maybe 2,000 jobs during the construction of the pipeline, which might take a year or two, and then after that we’re talking about somewhere between 50 and 100 jobs in an economy of 150 million working people.”

On one side: right-wing, free-market ideologues, many of whom are in hock to the energy industries that fund their campaign with big donations. On the other side: a famously cautious, centrist politician with nothing to gain from Big Oil who has taken the time to review all the arguments – and who has no ideologically implanted hostility to environmentalism baked into his genetic makeup.

The real indication that something is amiss with the GOP job estimates, however, is a fact that our pols ought to be aware of. The company that wants to build the pipeline, TransCanada itself, has been backing off the earlier estimates of large numbers of jobs:

In January of 2010, Trans-Canada CEO Russell Girling claimed that the project would produce 13,000 construction jobs.  In April of 2011 the number grew to 20,000, which the Canadian Ambassador reiterated in August 2011.  In January 2012 the number was revised back down to 13,000 and this past April the company revised that number even lower, to 9,000 construction jobs.

Nine thousand jobs are still more than the estimates prepared by the State Department and those offered in another study done by Cornell University, but it’s getting closer and closer to the ball park in which opponents of the pipeline have been playing. This fact alone suggests that our Republicans should be worried that they’re promising lots more than TransCanada can deliver.

ADDENDA:  TransCanada is sending mixed messages, apparently backtracking again to the 20,000 jobs figure – at least for public consumption – and claiming disingenuously that “there is no reason for us to overinflate our numbers, we have to answer to our board, we have to answer to our shareholders.”  The 9,000 number comes as noted above from the TransCanada CEO, Russell Girling in April of this year; the reiteration of the 20,000 number comes from a company “spokesperson,” one James Miller apropos the “political” situation that he posits as the rationale behind the President’s comments. Draw your own conclusions.  

Campaign Finance: smokin’

29 Monday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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campaign, finance, HRCC, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission, tobacco

Previously:

Campaign Finance: please pass the gas (August 14, 2012)

Today, from tobacco, at the Missouri Ethics Commission:

C091068 07/29/2013 HOUSE REPUBLICAN CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE, INC Xcaliber International Ltd LLC 4747 NE 1st Street Pryor OK 74361 7/27/2013 $15,000.00

Yes, that HRCC. They certainly know which side dries their leaves.

He’s spoilin’ for a fight…

29 Monday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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By @BginKC

On Wednesday I “climbed back up on the horse” so to speak and covered my first political event since last fall, when I had a vertebral aneurysm dissect and try to kill me. The road to recovery has been a long one and I’m not there yet but when the President of the United States is speaking on the campus where my now-husband first told me he loved me on the quad…well, wild horses couldn’t keep me away.

So I registered for press credentials and rode a bus to Independence where I met up with friend and fellow Show Me Progress blogger RBH, and we headed out.

I listened carefully, concentrating on not just the words he was saying but the way he was saying them. And what I heard was a pep talk before a fight. He knows that the Republicans are going all-in to kill his signature achievement, the legislation that bears his name, not officially but in the common vernacular, and he isn’t going to roll over and play dead or throw up his hands in defeat. Instead he is out of his corner and landing blows already, which has them crying foul.

Just a little context here — in the period after World War II, you had a growing middle class that was the engine of our prosperity.  The economy did well in part because everybody was participating.  And whether you owned a company, or you swept the floors of that company, or you worked anywhere in between, America offered a basic bargain:  If you work hard, then you will be rewarded with fair wages and benefits.  You’ll have the chance to buy your own home.

You’ll have the chance to save for retirement.

You’ll have the protection of decent health insurance.  But most of all, you’ll have the chance to pass on a better life to your kids.

And then what happened was that engine began to stall.  The bargain began to fray.  So technology made some jobs obsolete — nobody goes to a bank teller anymore.  You want to schedule a trip somewhere, you get online.  Global competition sent some jobs overseas.  When I was in Galesburg, we talked about the Maytag plant that used to make household brands there and people — thousands of people used to work in the plant and it went down to Mexico.  Then Washington doled out bigger tax cuts to folks at the top income brackets, smaller minimum wage increases for people who were struggling.  You combine all this and the income of the top 1 percent quadrupled from 1979 to 2007, but the typical family’s incomes barely budged.

So a lot of middle-class families began to feel that the odds were stacked against them — and they were right.  And then for a while, this was kind of papered over because we had a housing bubble going on, and everybody was maxing out on their credit cards, everybody was highly leveraged, there were a lot of financial deals going around.  And so it looked like the economy was going to be doing okay, but then by the time I took office, the bottom had fallen out.  And it cost, as we know, millions of Americans their jobs or their homes or their savings.  And that long-term erosion of middle-class security was evident for everybody to see.

Now, the good news is, five years later, five years after the crisis first hit, America has fought its way back.  So together, we saved an auto industry.  We took on a broken health care system.  We invested in new American technologies to reverse our addiction to foreign oil.  We doubled the production of clean energy.  Natural gas took off.  We put in place tough new rules on big banks and mortgage lenders and credit card companies.  We changed the tax code so it was fair for middle-class folks and didn’t just benefit folks at the very top like me.  (Laughter.)  No, it’s true, because things were skewed too much towards folks who were already blessed, already lucky.  And you take all that together and now you add it all up.

What we’ve seen is over the past 40 months, our businesses have created more than 7.2 million new jobs.  This year, we’re off to our strongest private sector job growth since 1999.  (Applause.)  Our exports have surged, so we sell more products made in America to the rest of the world than ever before.  (Applause.)  We produce more natural gas than any country on Earth.  We’re about to produce more of our own oil than we buy from overseas, and that’s the first time that’s happened in nearly 20 years.  (Applause.)  The cost of health care is growing at its slowest rate in 50 years, so we’re slowing the growth of health care costs.  (Applause.)  And our deficits are falling at the fastest rate in 60 years.  (Applause.)  Deficits have been cut by almost half from the time I took office.

So we did this together, because Americans are gritty and resilient and work hard.  We’ve been able to clear away the rubble of the financial crisis.  We’re starting to lay a new foundation for more durable economic growth.  And with the new revolutions in energy and technology and manufacturing and health care, we’re actually poised — we’re in a position to reverse all those forces that battered middle-class families for too long.

We can start building now an economy where everybody who works hard can get ahead.

That’s all good.  That’s the good news.

But, Missouri, I’m here to tell you what you already know, which is we’re not there yet.  In some ways, the trends that have been building for decades — this winner-take-all economy where a few do better and better, but everybody else just treads water — all those trends were made worse by the recession.  And reversing these trends has to be Washington’s number one priority.  (Applause.)  It has to be Washington’s number one priority.  (Applause.)

Putting people back to work, making sure the economy is working for everybody, building the middle class, making sure they’re secure — that’s my highest priority.  That’s what I’m interested in.  (Applause.)  Because when the economy is working for middle-class families, it solves an awful lot of other problems.  Now the poor start having ladders of opportunity they can climb into if they work hard.  A lot of the social tensions are reduced, because everybody is feeling pretty good.  

Now, unfortunately, over the past couple of years in particular, Washington hasn’t just ignored this problem — they’ve actually made it worse.  And I am interested in working with everybody, and there are a bunch of not just Democrats, but also Republicans who recognize that Washington is not working.  But we’ve also seen a group of folks, particularly in the House, a group of Republicans in Congress that — they suggested they wouldn’t vote to pay the bills that Congress had already run up.  And that fiasco harmed a fragile recovery back in 2011.

I heard an edginess to his voice as he placed blame squarely where it belongs – at the feet of the Republicans who obstruct him at every turn. I heard a pugnacious tone that wasn’t there before but is now that he has run his last race and won his last election.

He knows that the Republicans are going to go back to their districts in August, where they will rail against Washington and he beat them to the punch. If he continues to take his message directly to the people like I heard him do on Wednesday, I wouldn’t bet against him hoisting the GOP on their own petard. Especially if they repeat the folly of 1995 and shut down the government because they finally, after nearly a hundred years, lost on healthcare.

Campaign Finance: more serious money

28 Sunday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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Tags

2014, 2016, Attorney General, campaign finance, Chris Koster, governor, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission

Previously:

Campaign Finance: $10,000.00 here, $10,000.00 there, pretty soon you’re talking serious money (July 26, 2013)

Yesterday, at the Missouri Ethics Commission:

C031159 07/27/2013 MISSOURIANS FOR KOSTER Thompson Coburn LLP One US Bank Plaza Saint Louis MO 63101 7/26/2013 $10,000.00

[emphasis added]

Maybe having a few more Democrats in the General Assembly in 2014 and 2016 will help keep the insanity in check. Maybe.

What…no powerpoint?

27 Saturday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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Hartzler, House Republicans, memo

Today, the leftwing blogsphere has a leaked memo to House Republicans on how they should represent themselves in August:

They are Fighting Washington for You.

I recommend looking at to see how much of the suggestions are followed by our members of Congress.

Here is the key paragraph for how they are to represent themselves (from the suggestion op-ed letter that they should send out):

Washington is out of control.

But every day I serve in Congress, I work to fight Washington. I’m fighting Washington to spur economic growth and create more jobs. I’m fighting Washington to hold government accountable to taxpayers. I’m working to dismantle ObamaCare and makeAmerica energy independent. I’m working to cut wasteful spending, expand educational opportunities, and rein in red tape. I’m fighting Washington for you.

Remember that line: Fighting Washington for you.

I look forward to reading how that farm bill Hartzler voted for is fighting Washington for the 4th District.

The only thing that is missing is the powerpoint that Hartzler always has to remind her what she needs to say at these forums.

Ann Wagner: New GOP corporatist star

27 Saturday Jul 2013

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

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Ann Wagner, economic policy, Keystone XL Pipeline, missouri, political pandering, Roy Blunt

The St. Louis Beacon recently noted that Rep. Ann Wagner (R-2) was pulling in campaign donations in a way that is truly “notable for a House first-termer,” and “significantly above the norm among Missouri members of Congress in either party.” Consequently, it stands to reason that Wagner is going to have to prove her worth the folks who have invested in her.

It’s for this reason that it’s worth giving special attention to her response to President Obama’s speech in Warrensburg on Wednesday in which she seized the initiative to go on the warpath for the Keystone XL pipeline, declaring that:

Right now, President Obama can approve the Keystone XL pipeline and create tens of thousands of good-paying jobs while ushering in a new era of energy independence.

Of course, unbiased analysis casts doubt on such rosy job numbers (see also here). As for energy independence, a recent report notes that the pipeline will likely result in higher gas prices in the U.S. Last I heard, increasing energy prices wasn’t that good for the economy. It goes without saying that Wagner, a standard-issue GOP climate change denier, isn’t concerned with the economic costs that would result from the negative environmental impact of the pipeline.

Repeating false rhetorical sound-bites, though, is what being Republican is all about, and it shouldn’t really excite much surprise that Ann Wagner’s got that skill down solid. It is interesting, though, that she chose Keystone XL as her pivot-point rather than what seems to be the rather uniform GOP talking points du jour as exemplified by her Missouri colleagues, who en masse seem want to pretend that the President is just talking pretty talk while they’ve somehow been concentrating on the economy inbetween the endless hearings attempting to find or create an administration scandal.

Wagner’s fundraising sources suggest that she may have been doing a little multitasking. Our Ann seems to have figured out that she can go after the president, and at the same time put in a plug for one of those projects favored by the Big Oil interests and energy PAC folks who have funded a big chunk of her sizable war-chest.

Wagner has been promoted as a GOP anti-Akin although her views about many issues that made Todd Akin, well,  Todd Akin are not too different. The real difference between Akin and Wagner may be their willingness to dance to the big money tune. There’s a reason that Ann Wagner can pull in the bucks, and an unwashed Tea Party favorite like Ed Martin can’t. I’m betting that a big part of her appeal hinges on her highly connected history within the Missouri and national Republican party – that is to say, the corporatist wing of the party, which we sometimes refer to as the Republican establishment. She may be able to polish up the fringewing base when necessary, but she quite clearly knows who’s polishing what as far as her political career goes. As a result, Wagner won’t miss a chance to signal that she’s going to do her best for the 1 percent who pay her campaign bills. Missouri now has a another GOPer camping out in what has been up until now exclusively Roy Blunt territory.

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