Chris Prener [thread]:
We’re back to seeing all-time high 7-day averages statewide, reflecting still increasing rates Outstate and plateaued rates in STL/KC.
I had hoped that any gains Outstate would be offset by declines in the two major metros, but that hasn’t panned out. STL’s decline has stopped and rates have climbed slightly, and KC as yet to fall away from its peak.
Over the past 3 days, one striking trend has been all-time high rates in counties that are higher than any we have seen. As I wrote in last week’s newsletter, McDonald County in SWMO had set the highest 7-day average way back in the spring of 2020.
Now, McDonald’s record-setting rate no longer places it in the top 10. Instead, Boone, Buchanan, Christian, Greene, Nodaway, Pettis, and Vernon counties have all surpassed McDonald’s prior high.
Nodaway County is leading the pack right now with Buchanan not far behind – both are nearing 400 new cases per day per 100,000 residents on average – just a staggering level of new cases relative to anything we have seen before.
Just to the south, in the counties that lie just outside of the Kansas City Metro, we have a significant bloc of counties now with rates over 300 per 100k – Henry, Pettis, Saline, St. Clair, and Vernon, with Pettis and Vernon among the top 10 in MO right now.
Mid-MO’s Boone, Callaway, and Cole counties all are over 300 new cases per 100k. I’ve been particularly focused on Boone County lately given the lack of precautions in place at the University of Missouri as classes began last week.
Further south around Springfield, Greene County’s rate is at the same level as Buchanan County – over 370 new cases per 100k. Christian County is also in the top ten.
Hospitalizations around MO have increased substantially. As of mid-January, hospitals in Mid-MO, Kansas City, and St. Louis were seeing more COVID patients than at any point prior during the pandemic.
This ain’t over, no matter what Mike Parson (r) thinks or says.
If you haven’t already done so, get vaccinated and boosted. Wear a damn mask.