We’re starting to see some timely polling on impeachment.

70% of Americans say Trump’s actions tied to Ukraine were wrong: POLL

These numbers are going to get worse.

An overwhelming 70% of Americans think President Donald Trump’s request to a foreign leader to investigate his political rival, which sits at the heart of the House of Representatives’ impeachment inquiry, was wrong, a new ABC News/Ipsos poll finds….

…This ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs‘ KnowledgePanel November 16-17, 2019, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 506 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 4.8 points, including the design effect.

Bad combover. Check. Too long red tie. Check. Orange spray tan. Check. Tiny hands. Check. Cluelessness. Check…

Bad combover. Check. Too long red tie. Check. Orange spray tan. Check. Tiny hands. Check. Cluelessness. Check…

Donald Trump’s (r) latest Gallup presidential approval numbers:

GALLUP
Nov 18-25

Trump Approval 38% -5
Trump Disapproval 60% +7

You think the nameplate is on the door in the Supreme Court building yet? Just asking.

At the Missouri Attorney General web site:

“Bio will be posted soon.”

Maybe not.

Last night we were on the receiving end of a short robocall poll for the 2018 U.S. Senate race in Missouri. Think about that.

We were asked to choose between [press 1] a republican and [press 2] the Democrat, Claire McCaskill. The republican choices, in the order they were presented, were: Ann Wagner, the retired NASCAR guy [?], Josh Hawley, and Vicky Hartzler.

So, Josh Hawley (r) has been in office, what, just under three weeks? Go figure.

Previously:

Attorney General Josh Hawley (r): the pepul of Misoori our stoopit (January 23, 2017)

Public Policy Polling (PPP) conducted a survey [pdf] of 859 voters (440 Republican voters) in Missouri from August 7th through August 9th. The margin of error was 3.3% (4.7% for the Republican primary voters).

In the 2016 U.S. Senate race:

….Roy Blunt is one of the least popular Senators in the country, with only 30% of voters approving of the job he’s doing to 47% who disapprove. Blunt has become increasingly unpopular over the course of hi s first term in the Senate….

….Blunt is quite unpopular with independents (24/52) and Democrats (17/62) but what really makes his numbers soft is that he’s only at 46/28 approval even with Republican voters. Those are the kinds of numbers that usually make you susceptible to a primary challenge.

Blunt leads Democratic challenger Jason Kander 40/35 for reelection with 25% of voters undecided. That high level of indecision may have a lot to do with voters just not being that familiar with Kander at this point-only 35% know enough about him to have formed an opinion either way….

Talk about a possible game changer. Think about what could happen in a presidential election year with a Democratic Party nominee investing in a serious GOTV campaign in Missouri. Yep.

In the gubernatorial race:

….The Governor’s race looks like a sheer toss up at this point. Republican hopeful Peter Kinder leads Democratic candidate Chris Koster 40-37. But Koster has leads of 4-8 points over the rest of GOP field-it’s 39/35 over Bob Dixon, 40/36 over Catherine Hanaway, 40/35 over Randy Asbury, 41/36 over John Brunner, 40/34 over Eric Greitens, and 39/31 over Bart Korman….

If it’s Koster (D) and Kinder (r) in 2016 the difference (now within the margin of error) will be between $4,000,000.00 and $60,000.00. At least for now, until voters start paying attention to the Twitterverse past, hotel bills, and a living wage. Just think about all the possible general election campaign commercials and mailings.

There’s an interesting result from probable 2016 republican gubernatorial primary voters:

[….]

Q8 (Republicans) Given the choices of Randy Asbury, John Brunner, Bob Dixon, Eric

Greitens, Catherine Hanaway, Peter Kinder, and Bart Korman who would you most like to see as the Republican candidate for Governor next year?

5% Randy Asbury

9% John Brunner

7% Bob Dixon

4% Eric Greitens

11% Catherine Hanaway

27% Peter Kinder

0% Bart Korman

37% Not sure

Those candidates who currently have significant campaign assets will be able to spend their primary money on that undecided 37% and in redefining some of Peter Kinder’s (r) advantage in superficial name recognition into liabilities. Again, the campaign commercials could be epic.

Previously:

PPP polling results in Missouri: social media hints (August 11, 2015)

Public Policy Polling (PPP) recently completed a poll in Missouri. There are a few hints of the results coming out this morning via Twitter:

Kevin Robillard ‏@PoliticoKevin

First in Score: @ppppolls has @RoyBlunt 40%, @JasonKander 35% in #MOSen.  7:53 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Jeff Smith ‏@JeffSmithMO

.@ppppolls out with new MO-SEN and MO-GOV #s this am. Very good news for @JasonKander + @PeterKinder; bad news for nearly everyone else.  7:48 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Jeff Smith ‏@JeffSmithMO

.@ppppolls has @JasonKander just 5 pts behind Sen. Roy Blunt, whose fav/unfav is way upside down at 30-47. The head-to-head is 40-35.  7:58 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Well, well.

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls

Blunt is actually much more unpopular than Portman, Toomey, Ayotte who are all accepted to be vulnerable   7:59 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Well, well.

Kevin Robillard ‏@PoliticoKevin

.@ppppolls survey also has @Koster4Missouri with small leads over a number of Republicans in #MOGov, but knotted with @PeterKinder.  8:15 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Well, well.

We’ll take a look at the PPP release when it comes out.

Gee, radically cut state revenue and the state budget and state services collapse. No sparkles, no cotton candy, and no rainbow unicorns…

Because right wingnut billionaires in Kansas and Missouri have a plan.

SurveyUSA conducted poll in Kansas August 20-23, 2014  of 560 likely general election voters. The margin off error is 4.2%:

If the election for Kansas Governor were today, which ticket would you vote for? (tickets rotated) The Republican ticket of Sam Brownback and Jeff Colyer? The Democratic ticket of Paul Davis and Jill Docking? Or the Libertarian ticket of Keen Umbehr and Josh Umbehr?

All:

Brownback/Colyer (R) – 40%

Davis/Docking (D) – 48%

Umbehr/Umbehr (L) – 5%

Undecided – 6%

Male:

Brownback/Colyer (R) – 43%

Davis/Docking (D) – 44%

Umbehr/Umbehr (L) – 7%

Undecided – 6%

Female:

Brownback/Colyer (R) – 38%

Davis/Docking (D) – 53%

Umbehr/Umbehr (L) – 3%

Undecided – 6%

[emphasis added]

Female/Male in the sample: 51%/49%. Party affiliation: 46% republican, 32% Democrat, 18% Independent.

And there’s this in the U.S. Senate race:

If the election for United States Senator from Kansas were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Pat Roberts? Democrat Chad Taylor? Libertarian Randall Batson? Or Independent Greg Orman?

Pat Roberts (R) – 37%

Chad Taylor (D) – 32%

Randall Batson (L) – 4%

Greg Orman (I) – 20%

Undecided – 6%

Which one of these issues will be most important in your vote for United States Senator? Obamacare? Immigration? Jobs and the economy? Or something else?

Obamacare – 22%

Immigration – 22%

Jobs And The Economy – 41%

Something Else – 12%

Not Sure – 4%

[emphasis added]

Interestingly, there’s not any appreciable gender gap in the Senate race. We’ve been seeing a lot of ads for the Independent candidate (we’re in the Kansas City media market – Johnson County, Kansas, a population center, is, too). Jobs, jobs, jobs, and jobs.

Even the Prince of right wingnut Voter ID is in a fight:

f the election for Kansas Secretary of State were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Kris Kobach? Or Democrat Jean Schodorf?

Kris Kobach (R) – 46%

Jean Schodorf (D) – 46%

Undecided – 8%

[emphasis added]

Unfortunately for Missouri, the problems in Knasas will hold no sway with Missouri’s right wingnut republicans. They’ll do the same thing here. Because right wingnut dogma can’t fail, it can only be failed.

Public Policy Polling (PPP) released a survey [pdf] taken in Louisiana. From the republican portion of the sample:

[….]

Q2 Who do you think was more responsible for the poor response to Hurricane Katrina: George W. Bush or Barack Obama?

George W. Bush ……………………………………… 28%

Barack Obama………………………………………… 29%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 44%

[….]

….PPP surveyed 721 Louisiana voters, including an oversample of 274 usual Republican primary voters, between August 16-19, 2013. The margin of error for the overall survey was +/- 3.7% and +/- 5.9% for the GOP portion….

The crosstabs are interesting.

In case you forgot, Hurricane Katrina occurred in August 2005, over three years before Barack Obama took office as President.

A few days ago, via Twitter:

Rep. Vicky Hartzler ‏@RepHartzler

The ‘fiscal cliff’ is the President’s own making for political gain. The House passed bills last summer stopping the tax hikes & cuts! 7:12 AM – 11 Dec 12

Today, the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press released a poll with a sample of 1,503 adults taken December 5-9, 2012. The margin of error is 2.9%.

Released: December 13, 2012

As Fiscal Cliff Nears, Democrats Have Public Opinion on Their Side

[….]

When it comes to the reaching an agreement to avoid the fiscal cliff, 55% say Obama is making a serious effort to work with Republicans. But just 32% say Republican leaders are making a serious effort to work with Obama on a deficit deal….

….By a 53% to 33% margin, the public sees the Republican Party, rather than the Democratic Party, as “more extreme in its positions.” Democrats, on the other hand, are seen as “more willing to work with leaders from the other party” by roughly two-to-one (53% vs. 27%)….

….And there has been no improvement in the Republican Party’s image over the past year. The job approval rating of Republican congressional leaders, which fell to just 22% in August of 2011 after the debt ceiling debate, stands virtually unchanged at 25% today. Meanwhile, the job rating for both Democratic leaders in Congress (now 40% up from 29% in August 2011) and Obama (55% up from 43%) have rebounded by double-digits….

What color is the sky in right wingnut land?

It looks like Missouri is gonna create a new standard for the crazification factor.

Public Policy Polling (PPP) released the results [pdf] of their final Missouri election poll today. They interviewed 835 “likely voters” on November 2nd and 3rd. The margin of error is 3.4%.

[….]

Q2 The candidates for Senate are Democrat Claire McCaskill, Republican Todd Akin, and Libertarian Jonathan Dine. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

Claire McCaskill – 48%

Todd Akin – 44%

Jonathan Dine – 6%

Undecided – 2%

[….]

There’s this gem:

….[Jay] Nixon continues to be among the more popular Governors in the country with a 51/31 approval spread….

So much for expending political capital.

Claire McCaskill’s campaign released the top line numbers in the latest Kiley & Company internal poll done for her campaign. The poll was completed Thursday night, had a sample of 600 likely voters, and a margin of error of 3.5%:

….The partisan breakdown of this sample is 45% Republican; 38% Democratic; and 17% Independents who do not lean toward either party. The seven-point Republican advantage in party identification is very consistent with previous polls….

The numbers:

McCaskill – 53%

Akin – 39%

Other – 1%

Not sure – 7%

7% are “not sure”?

Further:

….Also consistent with our previous tracker, McCaskill has the nearly unanimous support of Democrats (93% to 6%), and a solid, 24-point margin among Independents (56% to 32%).

McCaskill enjoys a 20-point lead among women, but she is also ahead by 8 points among men…

.

…Akin’s already-poor ratings have deteriorated further in this latest measure: only 30% of all voters have a favorable opinion of him, fully 58% now express an unfavorable impression.

In sharp contrast, Senator McCaskill’s ratings are 51% favorable and 43% unfavorable…

…voters trust her rather than Akin to protect Social Security and Medicare by a 23-point margin. By similar margins they see her as effective (+23), likeable (+24) and someone who cares about them (+18)….

Uh. Todd (r), that’s not good for you.

Interesting. The results of letting right wingnut whack jobs take over the republican party. If you shine the light of day on them they lose.