Pictured: “Your 2012 Constitution Party team for Governor and Lt. Governor?”

The best parts of filing month, the first day and the last two days when the business really picks up. And the business was pretty brisk in Jeff City today, so here’s all the candidates who filed today

The Governor’s race didn’t see a new candidate, but a candidate switch parties. Leonard Steinman of Jeff City switched from losing to Jay Nixon in the Democratic Party to losing to Jay Nixon in the General Election by filing in the Constitution Party primary. Ellington resident Clay Thunderhawk filed to oppose Jay Nixon in the Democratic primary near the end of business on Tuesday. Filing for Governor extends to Friday.

Speaking of switches, Bill Haas switched to his third different race in this filing season. Haas started in the 2nd Congressional District, switched to the 5th State Senate District, and switched today to running for Lt. Governor. Haas was the 8th Democrat to file for the office. The 7th Democrat was former Kansas City State Rep Jackie Townes McGee (who now resides in Hayti, Missouri, where she was raised).

Justin Harter of Columbia filed with the Constitution Party for Secretary of State. Dave Browning filed with the Libertarian Party for Attorney General.

Democrat Glenn Koenen of Valley Park filed for Congress in the 2nd District. Koenen was an executive director at Circle of Concern Food Pantry for 15 years before stepping down earlier this month.

In the 4th district, Bernie Mowinski of Sunrise Beach filed to oppose Vicky Hartzler in the Republican Primary. Mowinski has run for the State House five times since 1998. Libertarian Thomas Holbrook filed to oppose Herschel Young in the Libertarian primary. Greg Cowan filed with the Constitution Party. Holbrook and Cowan ran for Congress in 2010, with Holbrook losing in a primary.

Warrensburg Libertarian Randy Langkraehr kept his streak of running for Congress in the 5th district alive. Despite any suspicions to the contrary, the 5th only goes to Marshall, not to Warrensburg. Democrats Ronald William Harris and W. A.”Bill” Hedge of St. Joseph filed in the 6th District. Republican Christopher Ryan of Liberty filed to oppose Sam Graves.

And to the state legislature!

State Rep. Scott Sifton withdrew from seeking re-election to run for the State Senate in the 1st District, in a field with Democrats Sue Schoemehl and Michael Vogt, and Republican incumbent Jim Lembke.

Republican Terry Varner of Farmington filed for the Senate in the 3rd district. He will oppose Gary Romine of Farmington. The winner of that primary will face State Rep. Joe Fallert of Ste. Genevieve.

Jackson County Legislator Crystal Williams filed to oppose State Rep. Jason Holsman in the 7th Senate district.

Libertarian Steven Hedrick filed in the 21st State Senate District. Meanwhile in the new 31st, Midway School Board member Charlie Burton of Drexel filed for the Democrats while Dave Morris of Peculiar filed for the Republicans.

Now to the State House

Former State Rep. Rebecca McClanahan filed in the 3rd District. She will have to make it past Kirksville Mayor Richard Detweiler for the opportunity to challenge Freshman State Rep Zack Wyatt.

Republican Josh Hurlbert of Smithville filed in the 12th House District. He will face Ken Wilson of Smithville in the Republican primary. No Democrat filed in this district. But Democrat Eric Pendell of Kansas City filed in the 14th House District to challenge Ron Schieber.

Democrat Henry Carner of Kansas City filed to challenge incumbent Brandon Ellington in the 22nd District Democratic Primary.

Joshua Judy and Sally Miller filed in the 25th District to see which one of them will face the winner of the Jeremy LaFaver/Chris Miller Democratic primary.

Democrat Dale Walkup of Blue Springs filed in the 31st district, joining Syed Asif of Lake Lotawana in the Democratic field. The Republican field is incumbent Sheila Solon and Chris Lievsay. Democrat Ron Harvey of Lees Summit filed in the new 33rd district to challenge Republican Donna Pfautsch in a new open seat.

Democrat Chris Moreno and Republican Nola Wood filed in the 37th district. Moreno, who ran v. Will Kraus in 2006, will face Joe Runions of Grandview and former State Rep. Mike Sager of Lees Summit.

Democrat Kevin Morgan of Excelsior Springs filed to challenge Freshman Republican T.J. Berry of Kearney in the 38th district.

Former State Senator (in Springfield) Dennis Smith filed in the 44th House district to face former Libertarian Chris Dwyer, former Democrat Mike Becker and former something Caleb Rowden. The winner of that primary faces former State Senator Ken Jacob. Also in Columbia, Republican Fred Berry filed to oppose Democratic Incumbent Stephen Webber.

Democrat Ron Monnig of Slater filed in the 48th district. He will face the winner of the Dave Muntzel/Stephanie Fuemmeler primary. Democrat Thomas Minihan of Jefferson City filed in the 60th district to challenge Freshman Republican Jay Barnes.

Republican Rick Stokes of Wentzville filed in the 64th district to challenge Robert Cornejo in the primary. The winner will face another new filer, former State Rep. Wayne Henke of Troy.

Democrat Tony Weaver of Florissant filed to face incumbent Steve Webb in the 67th District Primary. Republican Glen Lindemann of Florissant filed to oppose Margo McNeil in the 69th district. Republican Tyler Holyfield filed to oppose St. Charles Republican Party chairman Eugene Dokes in the 70th district. The winner faces Bill Otto of St. Charles.

Democrat Paul Berry of Maryland Heights and Republican Patrick Brennan of St. Louis filed in the 72nd district. Berry faces incumbents Eileen Grant McGeoghegan and Mary Nichols in the Democratic Primary.

Democrat Michael Butler filed in the 79th to face Martin Casas. Democrat Mike Owens filed in the 84th to create a four-way field with incumbent Karla May, former State Rep Hope Whitehead and Samir Mehta. Republican Linda Mello filed in the 89th district to challenge John Diehl.

Democrat Deb Lavender filed in the 90th district to face off with Kirkswood Republican Rick Stream.

Democrat Bill Pinkston of St. Louis County filed in the 99th District to likely face Andrew Koenig in November. Koenig still has a primary challenge to get past (vs Richard La Violette). Republican Ed Rowles of Chesterfield filed to face incumbent Don Gosen in the 101st district primary.

Democrat Terry Lesinski of St. Peters filed to face Republican incumbent Kathie Conway in the 104th. Democrat Debbie Bixler of St. Charles filed to probably face Republican incumbent Mark Parkinson in the 105th. Parkinson drew a primary from a less notable Jason Smith. Tom Fann of St. Peters filed to face Chrissy Sommer (Sommer is facing a primary as well) in the 106th district. Democrat Rod Hoffman of St. Peters filed to face the winner of a Ron Hicks/AC Dienoff primary (which is probably gonna be Hicks).

Republican Ian McFarland filed in the 111th to face a primary v. Derrick Good. The winner faces former State Rep Michael Frame. Daniel James of Imperial filed to face Dean Asbury in the 112th. The Republican nominee is still likely to be Paul Wieland. Apologies to Avery Fortenberry.

The Constitution Party got a confused candidate in Richard Hoxsey of Butler, who filed in the new 120th but may have intended to file in another district (the current 120th includes parts of Bates County).

Democrat Bart Ziegenhorn of Sikeston filed to force a primary v. retired High School Teacher Mike Marsh for the 148th district. The winner faces the winner of the Holly Rehder/Josh Bill primary.

2008 winner of America’s Got Talent Neal Boyd will be testing his political talent this summer as he filed as a Republican to face incumbent Democrat Steve Hodges in the Bootheel 149th district.

Democrat Ryan William Holder of Advance filed in the 151st district. Holder ran for the seat in 2004, losing in the Democratic Primary to Bryce Wooley.

The Constitution Party got a State House ca
ndidate who filed in the right district as Sue Beck of Shell Knob filed in the 158th district. She will face the winner of a Scott Fitzpatrick/Mike Bennett/Frank Washburn Republican primary.

So, the 2002/2010 official scores for the districts with filing activity

SD1: 55/45D

SD3: 56/44D

SD7: 71/29D

SD21: 55/45D

SD31: 54/46R

HD003: 60/40R

HD012: 56/44R (no Dems)

HD014: 51/49D

HD022: 92/8D (no Reps)

HD025: 72/28D

HD031: 58/42R

HD033: 56/44R

HD037: 64/36D

HD038: 55/45R

HD044: 53/47D

HD046: 56/44D

HD048: 50/50

HD060: 53.5/46.5R

HD064: 54/46R

HD067: 80.5/19.5D (no Reps)

HD069: 65/35D

HD070: 50/50

HD072: 66/34D

HD079: 90/10D (no Reps)

HD084: 89.5/10.5D (no Reps)

HD089: 65/35R (no Dems)

HD090: 52/48R

HD099: 57/43R

HD101: 74/26R

HD104: 55/45R

HD105: 57/43R

HD106: 52/48R

HD107: 55/45R

HD111: 57/43D

HD112: 56/44D

HD120: 59/41R

HD148: 62/38R

HD149: 50/50

HD151: 64/36R

HD158: 70/30R

So the Republicans have candidates in 134 districts. The Democrats have candidates in 110 districts. Only 81 districts have a Democrat v. Republican race, despite the whole redistricting year thing.

Filing is still open until Friday for Governor, the State Senate (Districts 5 and 7), and the State House (Districts 49, 93, and 112).

Here’s the top 25 House Races, districts with a Republican incumbent or a Dem v. Republican match up and a the official 2002/2010 rating of less than 10% in favor of either side. Districts ranked in no particular order

HD005: Lindell Shumake (R-inc) v. Tom Shively (D-inc)

HD014: Ron Schieber (R-inc) v. Eric Pendell (D)

HD015: Kevin Corlew (R) v. Jon Carpenter, Shon Adamson, or Carol Suter

HD020: Brent Lasater (R-inc) v. John Mayfield (D)

HD029: Noel Torpey (R-inc) v. John Sutton (D)

HD039: Joe Don McGaugh (R) v. Will Talbert (D)

HD040: Paul Quinn (D-inc) v. John Kallash or Jim Hansen

HD041: Ed Schieffer (D-inc) v. Beverly Steiniger (R)

HD043: Jay Hougton (R-inc) v. Ed Lockwood (D)

HD044: Ken Jacob (D) v. Caleb Rowden, Mike Becker, Chris Dwyer or Dennis Smith

HD047: Darrel Hansen (R) v. Nancy Copenhaver or John Wright

HD048: Ron Monnig (D) v. Dave Muntzel or Stephanie Fuemmeler

HD053: Glen Kolkmeyer (R) v. Holmes Osborne (D)

HD057: Wanda Brown (R-inc) v. Don Bullock (D)

HD070: Bill Otto (D) v. Eugene Dokes or Tyler Holyfield

HD090: Rick Stream (R-inc) v. Deb Lavender (D)

HD094: Cloria Brown (R-inc/probably) v. Vicki Englund (D)

HD095: Marsha Haefner (R-inc) v. Joe Zelle (D)

HD097: John McCaherty (R-inc) v. Martin Sam Komo (D)

HD108: Chrissy Sommer (R-inc) v. Tom Fann (D)

HD112: Paul Wieland (R-inc/probably) v. Dean Asbury (D) or Daniel James (D)

HD132: Melissa Leach (R-inc) v. Charlie Norr (D)

HD144: Paul Fitzwater (R-inc) v. Michael Jackson (D)

HD149: Steve Hodges (D-inc) v. Neal Boyd (R)

HD150: Kent Hampton (R-inc) v. Tom Todd (D)

Also receiving votes (the next 6 in both directions): Denny Hoskins (R-inc) v. Nancy Maxwell (D) (HD54), Lincoln Hough (R-inc) v. Casey Clark (D) (HD135), Jeanne Kirkton (D-inc) v. Elizabeth Deal (R) (HD91) and Genise Montecillo (D-inc) v. Al Faulitsch (R) (HD92). All apologies to Wayne Henke, Kevin Morgan, and Republicans running in 60% Democratic districts.

As for the State Senate, the top races are..

SD1: Lembke (R-inc) v. Dem (Sue Schoemehl, Michael Vogt or Scott Sifton)

SD3: Fallert (D) v. Rep (Gary Romine or Terry Varner)

SD19: Schaefer (R-inc) v. Mary Still (D)

SD25: Terry Swinger (D) v. Rep (Billy Pat Wright or Doug Libla)

and i’ll leave the 5th spot for the primaries due to a variety of uncontested races remaining for the Senate.

So, how does it look?

“Second to last day popular day to file. Folks don’t want to tempt fate by planning on the last day and then their car won’t start.” – Dave Drebes

Filing Month is wrapping up, with the last day of filing being tomorrow (Tuesday! Tuesday! Tuesday!). So traffic picked up slightly on the 2nd to last day of filing.

So here’s a report of the activity today.

Robert “Bob” Poole (R-Macon) and Hector Maldonado (R-Sullivan) filed for the US Senate. Maldonado ran for the Senate in 2010, finishing 5th of 9th in the Republican primary. Jonathan Dine (LP-Riverside) also filed today, making his second straight bid for the Senate.

Fred Sauer (R-St. Louis) of the Missouri Roundtable for Life filed for Governor today, presumably due to the lack of anti-cloning credentials displayed by Dave Spence and Bill Randles and in opposition to Jay Nixon’s secret plan to clone himself and send his clone army to run in Republican districts.

Robb Cunningham (LP-St. Louis) filed for the 1st District, making his 4th straight Congressional candidacy.

Eric Mayer (D-Camdenton) filed in the 3rd District. Mayer unsuccessfully ran for Camden County Presiding Commissioner in 2010.

Herschel Young (???-Harrisonville) filed as a Libertarian, but you already read that earlier, didn’t you?

Mike Moon (R-Springfield) filed to face Billy Long in the 7th District. Moon finished with 4% in a 6th place finish for the same seat in 2010. Kevin Craig (LP-Powersite) also filed for his 5th straight Congressional bid.

And the Missouri General Assembly

In the State Senate: Jacquelyn Thomas (R-Florissant) filed in the 13th and ElGene Ver Dught (D-Higginsville) filed in the 21st. Ver Dught is an attorney and mediator. Republican Incumbent David Pearce and Mike McGhee are facing off in the 21st. Reddit Hudson and Gina Walsh are facing each other in the 13th.

In the State House:

2010 candidate Tim Remole (R-Excelo) filed for a second bid in the recently reopened 6th district. The 6th is a Macon/Randolph/Linn County district that was Randy Asbury’s choice for a new district until realizing the effects of moving his family north into the district. The Republican primary in the 6th has 4 candidates, Ron Gillett of Moberly, Tony Askew of Atlanta, Alan Wyatt of Macon, and Tim Remole. Democrat Diana Scott of La Plata filed last week.

Patrick Riehle (D-Raytown) filed in the 28th district to challenge incumbent Tom McDonald (D-Independence), who is moving south to represent a district that overlaps with the southern half of the current 49th district.

John Sutton (D-Independence) filed in the 29th district to challenge freshman Republican Noel Torpey. Sutton is a High School Teacher at Van Horn High School in Independence. The 29th is a fusion of parts of the current 52nd (which Torpey won in 2010) and the 49th (which is the bluer part of the 29th).

Darrel Hansen (R-Clark) filed in the 47th district to face the winner of the Nancy Copenhaver/John Wright Democratic primary. Machinist Donald Long (D-Harrisonville) filed to face Freshman Republican Rick Brattin in the 55th. Auctioneer Don Bullock (D-Windsor) filed to face Freshman Republican Wanda Brown in the 57th.

Former one-term Republican Steve Henderson of Versailles filed to create a 3 man primary in the 58th. Henderson served a term from 2001 to 2003 before losing a primary after his county was split in two. Attorney Vonnieta E. Trickey (D-Russellville) filed to challenge freshman Republican Mike Bernskoetter of Jeff City. Janine Steck (LP-Jeff City) is also running in the new 59th district.

Libertarian John Alsup of St. Charles filed in the new 65th to challenge Anne Zerr. Former 2006 House/2008 Senate candidate Jim Trout filed in the new 83rd district to face off with Gina Mitten. No Republicans have filed in the 83rd. Al Faulitsch (R-STL) filed in the new 92nd to face Genise Montecillo. Tony Leech (R-STL) filed to face the winner of a Scott Sifton/Joe Montecillo primary.

Chuck Brodell (D-Imperial) withdrew in the 112th and was replaced by Dean Asbury (D-Arnold). Asbury will probably face Paul Wieland (R-Imperial) unless there’s a surge of support for Avery Fortenberry.

Libertarian Bill Boone of Springfield filed in the 137th district. Ted Sheppard (R-Cabool) filed in the Texas County centered 142nd to face Don Bordwell (R-Plato), Chris Purvis (R-Houston, and Robert Ross (R-Eunice). Finally we see which Texas County city is the most powerful. Democrat R. A. Pendergrass of Bakersfield filed in the Howell County centered 154th. He will face the winner of a Shawn Rhoads/Kathleen Hensley/Stan Watson primary (all from West Plains). Pendergrass is a Missouri States-West Plains facility member who lost a bid for the State Senate to Chuck Purgason in 2004.

Also, Jane Cunningham withdrew from her bid to be a 7th Senate district candidate after finding that they weren’t gonna give her a district. Travis Fitzwater withdrew from running in the 49th district after finding that Jeanie Riddle didn’t have a Senate District to run in for this election.

The official 02/10 stats on the districts with candidate activity:

SD13: 77.5/22.5D

SD21: 55/45D

HD006: 56/44R

HD029: 60/40D

HD047: 50/50

HD055: 57.5/42.5R

HD057: 52/48R

HD058: 61/39R

HD059: 61/39R

HD065: 54/46R (no Dem filed)

HD083: 65/35D (no Rep filed)

HD092: 54/46D

HD093: 62/38D

HD112: 56/44D

HD137: 65/35R (no Dem filed)

HD142: 61/39R (no Dem filed)

HD154: 68/32R

After today’s filing, Republicans have candidates in 128 districts and Democrats have candidates in 98 districts.

Using the 02/10 scale, the 10 bluest districts without a Dem candidate are

HD11 (South Buchanan/North Platte, Galen Higdon): 53/47D

HD14 (Platte County, Ron Schieber): 51/49D

HD48 (Boonville, assorted counties, open seat): 50/50

HD90 (Kirkwood, Rick Stream): 52/48R

HD106 (St. Charles, Chrissy Sommer): 52/48R

HD119 (Franklin County, Dave Hinson): 53/47R

HD60 (Jeff City, Jay Barnes): 53.5/46.5R

HD35 (Lee’s Summit/Parts of KC, Gary Cross): 54/46R

HD64 (St. Charles/Part of Lincoln, open seat): 54/46R

HD65 (St. Charles, Ann Zerr): 54/46R

So it’s quite a few light-red districts to pick from there. There’s also the 116th (Ste. Genevieve/St. Francois/Perryville) and 126th (Bates/Vernon) which are bluer districts than the Shively/Shumake battle in the new 5th.

The reddest districts without a Republican are HD149 (Steve Hodges, 50/50) and HD117 (Linda Black, 52.5/47.5D). Both of which are Dems who defeated Republican opponents in 2010.

Democrats have a candidate in all 46 districts where they top 55%, compared to 14 Republicans in those districts.

There are 29 Democratic candidates in the 45 districts where neither party has an advantage of 10% or more. 42 Republicans are running in those districts.

Democrats have 23 candidates in the 72 districts with a +10R 02/10 spread.

So for all unfiled candidates with functional cars, tomorrow is the big day. And maybe there’s a day or two more if incumbents randomly drop out tomorrow and extend filing for a seat or two.

You can follow the filing here. For best results in finding new candidates on Monday/Tuesday, just do a text search for the current date.

There are two days left in candidate filing, and as with anything involving candidates and possible candidates, there will be more candidates filing on Monday and Tuesday. So here’s a dry journey of the races without a filed major party candidate.

Blaine Luetkemeyer gets a new district number and a new district shape (the new 3rd looks like a worm attempting to eat St. Louis), but Blaine doesn’t have a Democratic opponent for the 3rd. Luetkemeyer became the first major party candidate to get a free pass from the other major party since Bill Clay in 1970 back in 2010, (edit: so a Dem not running v. him in 2012 would make it two elections in a row). Libertarian Steven Wilson is seeking to oppose Luetkemeyer though.

The other 7 districts are contested by both parties. The only major party candidates currently unopposed in their primary are Luetkemeyer, Teresa Hensley/Vicky Hartzler in the 4th, Emanuel Cleaver in the 5th and Jim Evans (D-Republic) in the 7th.

Under the fold, the State Senate and the State House!

Now in the State Senate, the Republicans don’t have a candidate in the 5th, 9th, 11th, and 13th. None of which is a huge surprise. The Republicans still have Jane Cunningham filed in the 7th despite the fact that the 7th moved cross-state to Kansas City. So might as well count that as a “seat with no major party candidate filed)

As for the Democrats. Well. No candidate in the 15th (59/41R), 21st (55/45D), 23rd (56/44R), 27th (66/34R), 29th (70/30R), 31st (54/46R), or 33rd (66/34R). So that’s 7 of 17 seats. In 2008, only one of those seats was uncontested (the 29th). The 02/10 numbers are not perfect (because they count uncontested state house races, and inflates the results from places like the 21st). But it’s a mix of areas that at least drew a candidate or two, even against incumbent Senators.

The House has Republicans in 125 seats and Democrats in 93 seats, with a Democrat/Republican matchup in 55 seats.

The most Democratic seat with a Republican candidate is the 24th where House Democratic Leader Mike Talboy is facing his first Republican opponent ever in a 85/15 Dem seat.

The most Republican seat with a Democratic candidate is the 134th, where Democrat James Owen will face the winner of the Republican primary in a seat around 2-1 Republican.

As for Blueish seats with no candidate.. the 29th (South Independence) has a Dem candidate who hasn’t filed yet. The 11th (Platte/South Buchanan) is still Galen Higdon v. nobody. The 14th is Ron Schieber v. nobody.

The seats that are around 50/50 in some measurement (using the official state measurements) with no Democratic candidates are the 119th (Franklin County, Dave Hinson), the 35th (Lee’s Summit with part of Kansas City, Gary Cross), the 60th (all-Jeff City, Jay Barnes) and the 90th (Kirkwood, Rick Stream).

The 48th (Boonville and assorted parts of Howard/Saline/Pettis Counties, Open) is near that list. Along with the 57th (Henry and Benton Counties, Wanda Brown) and 106th (Eastern St. Charles, Chrissy Sommer).

Of the districts with one of the measurements showing a D/R split of under 10% either way or an incumbent in a more challenging district, Republicans haven’t filed in 3 of those seats, Democrats haven’t filed in 18 of those seats.

Or to put in in chart form (with the 02/10 numbers used)

Don’t you love it when 50/50 is a mark with 59 seats on one side and 99 seats on the other side? But then again, Democrats only hold 57 seats, so 59 or 62 or 64 is an improvement. Aw, 2010.

Ultimately, this year in Missouri redistricting is brought to you by chaos (which is the new normal in Missouri Politics). But I don’t think you can place your bets on the House map going away. Probably the same for the Senate map, but anything is possible there. And definitely the same for the Congressional map (compactness is apparently just a word, not an order)

For the sake of history, the number of legislative candidates who filed on the last two days in 2008? 45 candidates.

The number of legislative candidates filing on the last two days in 2010? 42.

(And some of them actually won, although that list for non-“Incumbent withdraws suddenly” scenarios is mostly Kurt Schaefer, Cole McNary, Eileen McGeoghegan and Penny Hubbard)

The maps are as set as they’re ever gonna be. Time to roll, candidates.

Last Thursday, I went through the list of paired incumbents and since then, we’ve seen some resolutions to these situations. So let’s narrow the list a bit.

First, the big news that deserves to be above the fold is that Mary Still will challenge Kurt Schaefer in SD19. Which makes the 19th a marquee Senate Race in this cycle.

Chris Kelly has mentioned the 45th district (opened by Still’s departure) as suiting him best. So presumably the 50th district pairing is 99% resolved with Still opening up the 45th for Kelly. Which means the Democratic candidates eyeing the 48th (Stamper, Copenhaver, etc) can move forward unobstructed.

Resolved:

24 Mike Talboy (D-Kansas City), Judy Morgan (D-Kansas City)

Hearing that Judy Morgan will step aside for Mike Talboy in this seat.

36 Jason Holsman (D-Kansas City), Kevin McManus (D-Kansas City)

McManus in the 36th, Holsman to the 37th

89 Rick Stream (R-Kirkwood) and John Diehl (R-Town and County)

Stream to the 90th, Diehl to the 89th

92 Genise Montecillo (D-STL County), Scott Sifton (D-STL County)

Genise Montecillo in the 92nd, Scott Sifton to the 93rd

110 Paul Curtman (R-Pacific), Tim Jones (R-Eureka)

Curtman to 109, Jones in 110

148 Ellen Brandom (R-Sikeston), Steve Hodges (D-East Prairie)

Brandom to SD25, Hodges to HD149. Enjoy your open seat, Sikeston-Charleston!

160 Bill Lant (R-Joplin), Bill Reiboldt (R-Neosho)

Lant to 159, Reiboldt in 160

Almost there?

21 Tom McDonald (D-Independence), Ira Anders (D-Independence)

Heard a solid rumor of a resolution, will probably be official in a few days.

50 Caleb Jones (R-California), Chris Kelly (D-Columbia)

If you missed it above the fold, Kelly is likely to go to the 45th after he spent a few days looking at the 48th.

87 Stacy Newman (D-STL Co), Susan Carlson (D-STL Co)

Susan Carlson: “It’s looking like I will run in the U City, Clayton and Ladue district, but we’re still having talks and looking at the numbers.”

So I think that means Susan Carlson is running in the 87th and the next open district is the 83rd, it appears. And i’m having to compensate for the OA Redistricting site skipping out on us on a Friday.

88 Jill Schupp (D-Creve Coeur), Tracy McCreery (D-STL Co)

“Tracy has said that she will not oppose Jill, I think Jill is going to be one of the leaders in the Democratic Party in the near future.”

100 Don Gosen (R-Chesterfield), Sue Allen (R-Town and County), and Andrew Koenig (R-Winchester)

Koenig to 99, Allen in 100, no word on Gosen?

Up in the Air:

2 Casey Guernsey (R-Bethany), Glen Klippenstein (R-Maysville)

Guernsey is running for reelection while Klippenstein hasn’t decided as of yet

67 Sylvester Taylor (D-Black Jack), Steve Webb (D-Florissant)

76 Jamilah Nasheed (D-STL), Karla May (D-STL), and Chris Carter (D-STL)

85 Clem Smith (D-Velda Village Hills), Sharon Pace (D-Northwoods)

One source i’ve found mentions several rumored races..

* – Taylor v. Webb to happen.

* – Nasheed to run for the Senate v. Robin Wright Jones (Jamilah Nasheed’s Twitter mentions Jeff Smith as the last great leader in STL in the Senate, which I believe is part of the “subtly jab your future opponent before announcing” part of a campaign)

* – Karla May to move to another district (to the South?).

* – Sharon Pace to move to the 74th take on Churie Spreng.

So none of that is quite confirmed (IOW, none of this can be found as official or mentioned from another source yet), but I’d imagine at least 2 or 3 of those items happen.

119 Dave Schatz (R-Sullivan), Dave Hinson (R-St. Clair)

No comments from either Dave

152 Kent Hampton (R-Malden), Todd Richardson (R-Poplar Bluff)

Hampton is taking a look at HD150

No News?:

5 Tom Shively (D-Shelbyville), Lindell Shumake (R-Hannibal)

43 Jay Houghton (R-Martinsburg), John Cauthorn (R-Mexico)

57 Scott Largent (R-Clinton), Wanda Brown (R-Lincoln)

97 Gary Fuhr (R-STL County), John McCaherty (R-High Ridge)

103 Doug Funderburk (R-St. Peters), Kurt Bahr (R-St. Charles)

118 Ben Harris (D-Hillsboro), Paul Fitzwater (R-Potosi)

133 Thomas Long (R-Battlefield), Eric Burlison (R-Springfield)

163 Charlie Davis (R-Webb City), Tom Flanigan (R-Carthage)

And remember, the maps came out under 10 days ago. So there’s still more to come.

Before we dive into Part 4, consider this Part 3 and a half:

Bill Lant (R-Joplin) comments on redistricting and pretty much says he will win in the 159th District instead of facing Bill Reiboldt in the 160th. He also states that “The worst thing about the change is they changed the darned numbers”. First world problems. I’m also gonna assume the claim that nearly a half of current incumbents were “drawn out of their districts” is a case of undefined definitions.

But onto Part 4.

Missouri has 114 counties (and St. Louis City) and 163 House districts. The AAC map left 55 counties entirely in one district, splitting 59 counties at least once. 54 Counties (and St. Louis City) make up the majority of at least one district. 90 Districts are entirely in one county and 63 cross county lines.

So let’s take this opportunity to learn more about the 63 seats crossing county lines. Especially the ones that’ll be open in 2012 or which no county has a majority.

The multi-county seats where no county has a majority or the seat is open include…

HD2 is made up of Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, and Harrison Counties. DeKalb County has the most people with 12892 (34.8% of residents). Harrison is 2nd with 24%, Daviess has 23% and Gentry has 18%. Currently, Casey Guernsey and Glen Klippenstein are drawn together in the 2nd. Klippenstein said “So does an old oak tree get in the way of an up-and-coming sapling? That’s the decision basically I’m faced with” before noting he hadn’t made a decision on the matter. Although that line along with his mention of the costs of an election leads one to suspect he will step aside for Guernsey.

HD4 is made up Adair, Clark, Knox, Lewis, Schuyler, and Scotland Counties. Lewis County is the largest county in the district with 10211 people (28.9%). The rest: Clark 20.2%, Scotland 13.7%, Adair 12.9%, Schuyler 12.55%, and Knox 11.7%. Craig Redmon represents most of this area in the current HD1.

HD6 is made up of Linn, Macon, and Randolph Counties. Randolph County is the largest county with 18590 (50.35%) residents. Macon has 42.16% of residents and Linn had 7.49% of residents. District 22 incumbent Randy Asbury is running in this district (I wrote the HD6 entry before I found this out). The district is 56/44 Republican on the 2002/2010 average and 54/46 Republican on the 2008 average.

HD7 is made up Grundy, Linn, and Livingston Counties. Livingston County is the largest county with 15195 people (42.9%). Grundy has 28.9% of the district residents and Linn has 28.2% of district residents. The district’s incumbent in 2012 will be Mike Lair (R-Chillicothe). Although the only part of the district Lair is currently representing is in Livingston County.

HD8 is an open seat made up of Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, and Ray Counties. Clinton County has 20743 residents (56% of the district total). Caldwell has 25.6%, Ray has 9.2%, and Clay has 8.8%. The district is 55/45 Republican on the 2002/2010 average and 52.5/47.5 Republican on the 2008 average.

HD12 is an open seat made up of Clay and Platte Counties, going from Platte City to Kearney. 28411 (74.55%) of voters are from Clay County with the remaining 25.45% from Platte. This seat is technically open due to term limits (Ryan Silvey’s House is in the district, but most of the district is currently in the 30th (represented by Nick Marshall) or 35th districts (represented by TJ Berry). The District is 56/44 Republican (2002/2010 average) and 55/45 Republican (2008 average).

HD33 is an open seat made up of Cass, Jackson, and Lafayette counties. This district goes from south of Grain Valley and Oak Grove, down to Pleasant Hill and Harrisonville. 22610 (63.5%) are residents of Cass County and 36.2% are residents of Jackson County. Lafayette County brings 105 people (0.3%) to the district. No word on if any candidate will be bored enough to try meeting every Lafayette County voter in the district. The district is 56/44 Republican (2002/2010) and 53/47 Republican (2008).

HD39 is an open seat made up of Carroll, Chariton, and Ray counties. The majority of district residents live in Ray County (20108 people, 57%). The rest live in Carroll County (26%) or Chariton County (17%). The district is 52/48 Republican (2002/2010) and 50.4/49.6 Democratic (2008). Making it a must-watch open seat race at this moment.

HD44 is an open seat made up of Boone and Randolph Counties. 97.77% of district residents live in Northeastern Boone County with the rest being the 801 residents around Clark, Missouri in Randolph County. Former State Senator and State Representative Ken Jacob is looking at a run in the 44th. The district is 51/49 Republican (2002/2010) and 53/47 Democratic (2008).

HD47 is an open seat made up of Boone, Cooper, Howard, and Randolph Counties. The most populous county in the district is Boone County (28154 people, 79.55%). Randolph County brings 14% of the district population. Howard has 4.7% and Cooper has 1.6%. Former Boone County Presiding Commissioner Don Stamper and Former State Rep. Nancy Copenhaver are considering running here. The last two links are the same, the bigger story is the possibility of Chris Kelly running in HD45 if Mary Still runs for the Senate v. Kurt Schaefer. If Still doesn’t run, then Kelly may run in this district instead. So essentially a Boone County Shuffle is in progress right now. The 47th is 50.2/49.8 Republican (2002/2010) and 54/46 Democratic (2008).

HD48 is made up of Chariton, Cooper, Howard, Pettis, Randolph, and Saline Counties. Cooper County brings 43.6% (15448) of the district residents. The rest: Howard 24%, Saline 14%, Pettis 10%, Chariton 5% and Randolph 3%. The tiny Randolph section included Randy Asbury’s house, hence why he went to HD6 instead. So it should be a fun little battle to see if someone from Boonville returns to the Missouri House for the first time in awhile. The district is 50.2/49.8 Democratic (2002/2010) and 54/46 Republican (2008).

HD51 or HD54 is an open seat either made of Johnson/Pettis/Saline (HD51) or Johnson/Pettis (HD54) counties. One of these districts will get Denny Hoskins and the other will be open. I didn’t get this far in life by assuming things. But I would place my nonexistent money on Hoskins running in the 54th. The 51st’s largest county is Saline County (18449 people, 52%), with 37% in Johnson and 11% in Pettis. The 54th’s largest county is Johnson (31223 people, 87%). The 51st is 58.5/41.5 Democratic (2002/2010) and 56/44 Democratic (2008). The 54th is 53/47 Republican (2002/2010) and 50.2/49.8 Democratic (2008).

HD53 is an open seat made up of Jackson, Johnson, and Lafayette Counties. The largest County is Lafayette (33272, 93%) while just under 3.5% are in Jackson and Johnson. The seat is 52/48 Democratic (2002/2010) and 53/47 Democratic (2008) and should be hotly contested.

HD58 is an open seat made up of Miller, Moniteau, and Morgan Counties. Morgan has the most residents (20565, 58%) with 25% in Moniteau and 17% in Miller. The rest is 61/39 Republican (2002/2010) and 59/41 Republican (2008)

HD62 is an open seat made up of Cole, Crawford, Gasconade, Maries, Miller, Osage, and Phelps Counties. Maries County has the most residents (9176, 25.6). The rest: Gasconade 25%, Osage 24%, Phelps 13%, Cole 5%, Miller 5%, Crawford 2%. A long long time ago in 1994, part of this district elected a Democrat (Joe Clay Crum of Vienna, MO) to an open seat (before replacing him in 1996 with a Republic
an). That was awhile ago. The district is 61/39 Republican (2002/2010) and 59/41 Republican (2008). If we don’t get at least a quality primary out of this district, can we get a refund?

HD63 is an open seat made up of St. Charles and Warren Counties. 76.8% of residents (29298) live in St. Charles with the rest in Warren. The district is 59/41 Republican (2002/2010) and 53/47 Republican (2008). A Wentzville to Wright City district experimented with swinging towards Democrats at least once.

HD64 is an open seat made up of Lincoln and St. Charles Counties. 63% of residents (23893) live in St. Charles with the other 37% in Lincoln. The district is 54/46 Republican (2002/2010) and 51/49 Republican (2008)

HD70 is an open seat made up of St. Charles and St. Louis Counties. 80% (28746) are in St. Louis. The district is 50.3/49.7 Republican (2002/2010) and 55/45 Democratic (2008)

HD83 is an open seat made up of St. Louis City and St. Louis County. 70% (25804) are in STL County with the other 30% in the City. The district is around Brentwood/Maplewood in STL County. It’s a 65/35 Democratic (2002/2010) and 70/30 Democratic (2008) District.

HD93 is an open seat made up of St. Louis City and St. Louis County. 81% (29800) are in STL County with the other 19% in STL City. The district is located around Lemay and is 62/38 (2002/2010) and 65/35 Democratic.

HD116 is made up of Perry, St. Francois, and Ste. Genevieve Counties. 42.6% (15618) of residents live in Ste. Genevieve with 40.5% in St. Francois and 17% in Perry. Joe Fallert (D-Ste. Genevieve) is the incumbent representing this district.

HD120 is an open seat made up of Crawford and Phelps Counties. 24067 residents (66%) are in Crawford County with the other 34% in Phelps County. The district is 59/41 (2002/2010) and 56/44 (2008) Republican.

HD124 is an open seat made up of Camden and Miller Counties. 22175 (60%) Residents are from Camden County with the other 40% from Miller County.

HD125 is an open seat made up of Benton, Cedar, Hickory, and St. Clair Counties. A plurality of residents live in Benton County (10807, 29%). With 26.6% in St. Clair County, 26% in Hickory County, and 18% in Cedar County. The District may wind up with an incumbent, remember that Wanda Brown is paired in the 57th district with Scott Largent. The district is 57/43 (2002/2010) and 55/45 (2008) Republican.

HD126 is an open seat made up of Bates and Vernon Counties. 21159 (57.7%) live in Vernon County wiith the remaining 42% in Bates County. The district is 54/46 (2002/2010) and 51/49 (2008) Republican.

HD127 is made up of Barton, Cedar, Dade, and Jasper Counties. A plurality of residents live in Jasper County (14828, 40.5%) with 34% in Barton, 22% in Dade, and 4% in Cedar. Mike Kelley (R-Lamar) represents this area. It went 72/28 (2002/2010) and 68/32 (2008) Republican.

HD142 is an open seat made up of Howell, Phelps, Pulaski, and Texas Counties. A majority of residents live in Texas County (26008, 70%) with 13% in Pulaski, 11% in Howell, and 6% in Phelps. You wouldn’t know this from seeing election results from this area in the last 7 years, but the seat was held by a Democrat until 2005. But nowadays, the seat is 61/39 (2002/2010) and 63/37 (2008) Republican.

HD143 is made up of Dent, Oregon, Reynolds, and Shannon Counties. The plurality of District residents live in Dent County (15657, 43.7%) with 30% in Oregon County, 24% in Shannon County, and 2% in Reynolds County. The district is represented by Jason Smith and is 59/41 (2002/2010) and 58/42 (2008) Republican.

HD144 is an open seat (for now) made up of Iron, Reynolds, Washington, and Wayne Counties. The plurality of district residents live in Iron County (10630, 30%) with 28% in Wayne County, 26% in Washington County and 16% in Reynolds County. I’d guess Paul Fitzwater (R-Potosi) will run in this seat. The district went 52/48 Republican (2002/2010) and 52/48 Democratic (2008).

HD145 is made up of Bollinger, Madison, and Perry Counties. A plurality of district residents live in Perry County (12765, 34.2%) with 33.1% in Bollinger and 32.7% in Madison. The incumbent in this area is Shelley Keeney (R-Marble Hill). The district went 65/35 (2002/2010) and 62/38 (2008) Republican.

HD148 is an open seat made up of Mississippi and Scott Counties. 26447 residents (73%) live in Scott County with 27% in Mississippi County. This seat will likely be opened up when Steve Hodges makes his run in the 149th district double-official (He only has “almost 100 percent surety” of running in the 149th now). This district is 62/38 (2002/2010) and 60/40 Republican.

HD150 is an open seat (for now) made up of Dunklin and Pemiscot Counties. Dunklin County has more residents (24366, 67%). There is a strong likelyhood that Kent Hampton (R-Malden) runs here instead of HD152. The district is 56/44 (2002/2010) and 52/48 (2008) Democratic.

HD151 is an open seat made up of Scott and Stoddard Counties. Stoddard County has more people (29968, 83%). This district is 64/36 (2002/2010) and 63/37 (2008) Republican.

HD153 is a seat made up of Butler, Carter, Ripley, and Wayne Counties. Ripley County makes up a plurality of the district’s population (14100, 38.1%). 36% live in Butler County, 17% in Carter County, and 9% in Wayne County. The district’s incumbent is Steve Cookson (R-Fairdealing). Cookson will be one of at least one members of the House to keep the same district number. There might be a second member who keeps the same house district somewhere in the St. Louis area. The district is 65.5/34.5 (2002/2010) and 66/34 (2008) Republican.

HD155 is a seat made up of Douglas, Ozark, and Taney Counties. Douglas County has a plurality of District residents (13684, 37%) with 36% in Taney County and 26% in Ozark County. The district’s incumbent is Lyle Rowland and the district is 69/31 (2002/2010) and 65/35 (2008) Republican.

HD158 is an open seat made up of Barry, Lawrence, and Stone Counties. Barry County residents comprise 95.6% of the district (35597 of 37210 people). With 3.5% in Lawrence and 0.8% in Stone Counties. The seat is opened by term limits and is 70/30 Republican (2002/2010 and 2008)

HD162 is an open seat made of Jasper County and 132 residents of Newton County. Yes, 99.6% of district residents are from Jasper County. The closest paired incumbent is Charlie Davis who could run here instead of the 163rd. This seat is 76/24 (2002/2010) and 70/30 (2008) Republican.

So, when it comes to the splitting of counties. Several Counties could have had a majority of residents in a district if they weren’t divided. Those counties are Benton County (19 thousand, split two ways, most influential in HD125 with 29%), Miller County (24748 people, split 4 ways, highest share was 40% in HD124), Perry County (almost 19 thousand, split two ways, most influential in HD145), Ste. Genevieve (18145 people, most influential in HD116), and Washington County (25195 people, most influential in HD118).

But in most cases, even with the random division of counties (Johnson County, Randolph County), these counties have a majority of residents in at least one district. So it all works out in the end.

So this wraps up another edition of Missouri’s redistricting, and the various bits of information about the new districts and where the incumbents are eyeing a move to help their chances in 2012.

Presented with minimal comment, a collection of local news stories of the early reactions and pivoting from the new legislative maps.

From the Columbia Daily Tribune: Chris Kelly considering a run in the 47th (50/50 on the 02/10 av) over the 50th (55/45 Republican on the 02/10 av). Former Boone County Presiding Commissioner Don Stamper is considering a run for the 47th if Kelly doesn’t run there. Columbia School Board member Jonathan Sessions is considering running for the 45th if Mary Still runs against Kurt Schaefer for the 19th Senate District.

From the Washington Missourian comes a quote that could be repeated in a few parts of the state from Franklin County Presiding Commissioner John Grieshamer:

“It is terrible, The (26th) Senatorial District is real good, but the House districts, they basically took a stick of dynamite and blew them up.”

A newer article from the Missourian has the Dave v. Dave showdown at a moment of uncertainty as both Dave Schatz and Dave Hinson are unsure of what to do. Scott Dieckhaus speaks of differences between the communities on both sides of his 61st district. Brian Nieves is happy with his district.

Springfield News-Leader: Incumbents looking over the maps, still making considerations for future moves.

Daily Dunklin Democrat: Kent Hampton was surprised to find that he’d be put in 152nd district. Hampton may choose to run in the open 150th district (which averages 56/44 Democratic from 2002 to 2010). Meanwhile State Senate candidates Billy Pat Wright (R-Dexter) and Terry Swinger (D-Caruthersville) are joined by State Rep. Ellen Brandom (R-Sikeston).

Southeast Missourian brings news of Holly Rehder (R-Sikeston), who was running to replace Ellen Brandom, being shown no mercy by the etch-a-sketch Redistricting force.. she got dropped into the 149th district (which is 50/50 on average) instead of a district like the 148th (which was 62/38 Republican on average). Incumbent State Rep Steve Hodges (D-East Prairie) was put in the 148th but may run in the 148th or 149th.

Jason Holsman announced his candidacy in the 37th district, and endorsed Kevin McManus for the 36th district.

Rick Stream is running in the 90th

STL Post-Dispatch notes that Tishaura Jones may run for STL City Treasurer in 2012.

And there’s this from Wednesday:

Sen. John Lamping, R-Ladue, said he hadn’t had time to figure out the implications yet.

“What district do I live in?” he asked.

Probably a relevant question. (Answer: Lamping lives in the 24th, with Jane Cunningham. Cunningham will be running in the 27th, presumably with the help of efficient child labor)

Some people have suggested Iowa-style redistricting for Missouri. In lieu of Iowa-style redistricting, we’re getting lots of paired incumbents.

How many?

54 (link says 55, includes David Day, who is term-limited)

So there won’t be 25 incumbent v. incumbent battles. Let’s layout the possibilities and likelyhoods for the districts.

Here’s one quirk about residency rules. Since they enacted the map this late, the “one year from the election” residency rule in the Constitution doesn’t quite take effect.

Let’s read the text of the relevant section:

Article III, Section 4. Each representative shall be twenty-four years of age, and next before the day of his election shall have been a qualified voter for two years and a resident of the county or district which he is chosen to represent for one year, if such county or district shall have been so long established, and if not, then of the county or district from which the same shall have been taken.

This text dates from 1875. Missouri’s House was elected by county until 1966. So the wording is outdated. But it’s not a bug, it’s a feature. If you go by the exact wording, incumbents can either run in their own district, run in a district that overlaps with their district (there may be some legal wrangling as to the definition of district, if it’s the same number, or same territory) or same county.

Now, if anybody switches districts, they’d have until November 2013 to establish residency in their new district to run in 2014.

That being said, let the list begin

You can follow along at home by going to the OA’s New Legislative District Mapper

2 Casey Guernsey (R-Bethany), Glen Klippenstein (R-Maysville)

Klippenstein would have the advantage in a primary as he lives in the largest county in the 4 county 2nd. But Klippenstein left the Senate after almost half a term in 1994 in favor of letting Sam Graves move from the House to the Senate. Guernsey has more time in the House, but he could be an underdog here.

5 Tom Shively (D-Shelbyville), Lindell Shumake (R-Hannibal)

This district is Shumake’s old district without Ralls and with Shelby County. Shumake’s 2010 victory came over Carl Thompson of Monroe City. So the odds have to favor Shumake over Shively for a few reasons. But if Shively has a strong showing outside of Marion County and can fare somewhat well in Marion, he could make it interesting.

21 Tom McDonald (D-Independence), Ira Anders (D-Independence)

The 21st appears to include more of Ira’s district than Tom’s district. In all likelyhood, a primary is avoided here and Ira Anders would get to represent this district.

24 Mike Talboy (D-Kansas City), Judy Morgan (D-Kansas City)

Judy Morgan would likely step aside, take in this session, and possibly run in 2014 when Talboy is termed out of the Legislature.

36 Jason Holsman (D-Kansas City), Kevin McManus (D-Kansas City)

If I had to wager, I’d wager on McManus running in the 37th which includes a lot more of his current district than the 36th. Pairing Holsman and McManus is no stunner as both of them lived close to each other.

43 Jay Houghton (R-Martinsburg), John Cauthorn (R-Mexico)

Houghton would rather run for the Senate than lose a primary here (for the sake of reference, Cauthorn is termed out of the Senate). So i’d imagine the 7th Senate district which is a larger version of Houghton’s current house district is more tempting than facing a guy from a larger town in your county.

50 Caleb Jones (R-California), Chris Kelly (D-Columbia)

Jones has been rumored to be running statewide. A large number of voters are in Boone County and not on Jones’ side of the river. But if you go off of partisan leanings, the district leans Republican and will be a big target no matter which Republican runs.

57 Scott Largent (R-Clinton), Wanda Brown (R-Lincoln)

Either one of these Representatives could run for the Senate in the opened 31st District. Brown got in a car accident in January and broke her neck. If there’s any Rep here more likely to step aside, it might be Brown. If there’s any Rep more likely to run for the Senate, it’s Largent. But this district is 50/50, so if no incumbent runs here somehow, it’ll be interesting. If the incumbent isn’t based in Henry County, it could be more competitive than otherwise. The 125th district is also open for Wanda Brown if both Brown and Largent wish to stay in the Legislature.

67 Sylvester Taylor (D-Black Jack), Steve Webb (D-Florissant)

There is an open Senate seat in this area. No idea on which incumbent has an upperhand on population, as Webb has the Western half and Taylor has the Eastern half. But Taylor lost everything south of 270.

76 Jamilah Nasheed (D-STL), Karla May (D-STL), and Chris Carter (D-STL)

Moments like this make me wish I had more knowledge of the world of St. Louis politics. May and Nasheed being paired wouldn’t have been shocking. Pairing 3 incumbents is a bit much here. Carter represented the parts of the 76th north of I70 aside from one neighborhood which is in Karla May’s 57th district. May represents the parts of the district west of Union Blvd until it cuts over into the area mentioned earlier. Nasheed represents the areas around Kingshighway and Penrose. How this breaks down statistically is not known to me right now. Ask a St. Louisian in the meantime.

85 Clem Smith (D-Velda Village Hills), Sharon Pace (D-Northwoods)

The district is a bit shaped like an upsidedown V. The district goes from the county/city line to St. John, then goes south to Page Avenue and 170. Both incumbents live in the Eastern half of the district. Pace was elected in 2008, Smith was elected in 2010. Can’t really make a diagnosis of what will happen here.

87 Stacy Newman (D-STL Co), Susan Carlson (D-STL Co)

Carlson represents part of the city of St. Louis right now. With how little of her current district is now in the 87th, it would make sense for Carlson to run in a STL City district, but the catch is that it appears her district in STL City got a bit chopped up. The 83rd and 84th are open. But the 83rd seems pretty STL County heavy and the 84th is majority-African American. So no idea on what happens here.

88 Jill Schupp (D-Creve Coeur), Tracy McCreery (D-STL Co)

West of Lindbergh Blvd, it’s Schupp’s district. East, it’s mostly McCreery’s district which she won on November 8th. Ladue is added. Until I know more about the populations, I can’t say for sure who is a favorite, but Schupp would probably be a favorite here. Although, it’s not like Tracy McCreery let being the underdog stop her before.

89 Rick Stream (R-Kirkwood) and John Diehl (R-Town and County)

Cole McNary (R-Chesterfield) was included in the district but he chose to run for Treasurer. Manchester Road appears to be the main dividing line between the districts currently represented by Stream and Diehl. It should be noted that Stream is a few blocks away from the purple-ish open 90th district, which is similar to his current district.

92 Genise Montecillo (D-STL County), Scott Sifton (D-STL County)

Both incumbents live around Affton and their seats were joined together. Sifton’s current seat goes from Affton to Lemay. Montecillo’s current seat goes from Affton to around Bevo Mill in STL City. So naturally their district is condensed from the city/County line to Concord. Sifton’s house is in the 1st Senate District (Montecillo is in the 4th SD) and the bluer 93r
d district is wide open right now. No idea what happens here.

97 Gary Fuhr (R-STL County), John McCaherty (R-High Ridge)

From what I can tell on the map, the 97th District is very similar to McCaherty’s district, but with Fuhr’s neighborhood in STL County included now. Neither district near Fuhr’s house is open. So he doesn’t have a lot of options.

100 Don Gosen (R-Chesterfield), Sue Allen (R-Town and County), and Andrew Koenig (R-Winchester)

Koenig is blocks away from the open 99th District. Gosen is blocks away from the open 101st district. So all sorts of things could happen here. No idea who has the advantage if 2 of these incumbents tangle.

103 Doug Funderburk (R-St. Peter’s), Kurt Bahr (R-St. Charles)

Looks like the only options are retirement, a primary battle, or start looking for a house in the 107th district.

110 Paul Curtman (R-Pacific), Tim Jones (R-Eureka)

Pretty sure this ends with Paul Curtman deciding to do something else with his life. Jones has the advantage in geography, status, stature and everything else for this race. Curtman’s current district is mostly the new 111th, which seems real blue for a Freshman to willingly try moving into.

118 Ben Harris (D-Hillsboro), Paul Fitzwater (R-Potosi)

3/5ths of the population is in Jefferson County, Harris has represented a lot of Washington County in this district. Fitzwater could stay where he’s at and take on a 59/41 Dem district, or move across the highway (being literal, the line is that close to his house) and go for the 144th (which is 52/48 Republican). That’s a tough one.

119 Dave Schatz (R-Sullivan), Dave Hinson (R-St. Clair)

Both guys are Republicans, Both guys are freshmen, Both guys are from Franklin County, Both are named Dave. No idea which way this goes.

133 Thomas Long (R-Battlefield), Eric Burlison (R-Springfield)

Seems like there’s no options other than primary or someone backs down.

148 Ellen Brandom (R-Sikeston), Steve Hodges (D-East Prairie)

Brandom is running for the Senate. Pairing averted. Hodges is also very close to the open bluer 149th (which includes East Prairie, but not his house).

152 Kent Hampton (R-Malden), Todd Richardson (R-Poplar Bluff)

Butler County makes up 4/5ths of the district. Most of Hampson’s current seat is the opened and bluer 150th. The Senate Seat is also open if neither House open is alluring enough. Decisions, Decisions.

160 Bill Lant (R-Joplin), Bill Reiboldt (R-Neosho)

Newton County had 3 State Reps living there. So one side-effect of putting all of McDonald County in one district (HD159) is that Lant and Reiboldt are paired against each other in HD160. No idea what will happen there.

163 Charlie Davis (R-Webb City), Tom Flanigan (R-Carthage)

Webb City is divided, with part of it in the open 162nd. But i’d imagine Flanigan would have the upper hand here.

So, that’s another installment of the Redistricting Drama that we’ll get to live through this winter. We’ll have even more soon.

The educated guesses appear to have been correct, as the 18 member bipartisan House Redistricting Commission deadlocked on drawing the 163 districts.

Both sides unveiled new maps yesterday but couldn’t move towards a map for their final meeting.

Deeper reviews of both maps might be posted on here although it’s kind of a look at maps that are frozen due to the impasse.

Since the Commission deadlocked, the Missouri Supreme Court will appoint six members of the Court of Appeals to draw districts by December.

The Senate Redistricting Commission might deadlock and require judges to draw the Senate map as well.

Well, the map for 4th Congressional district state House districts proposed by Violet Corbett (R) and Paula Willmarth (D). They’re both members of the 18 member redistricting commission representing the 4th Congressional district.

The map can be viewed at http://oa.mo.gov/bp/redistricting/housemap/ under the label “Corbett Willmarth 4th Cong Tentative”

So here’s the map and some commentary on the districts.

HD26 (open, term-limits, held by Joe Aull (D), 37569 people)

The 26th drops most of Lafayette County (keeping Alma and Waverly) and adds Howard County along with Houstonia and Hughesville. This pretty much moves the 26th back to somewhat close to it’s 1993-2003 form when it last crossed the Missouri River at Glasgow. In all likelyhood, replacing the more Democratic half of Lafayette County with a more 50/50 Howard County may not be a helpful change for an open seat.

HD36 (open, term-limits, held by Bob Nance (R), 36217 people)

The 36th picks up parts of Clay County west of Lawson. No real difference expected.

HD113 (held by Jay Barnes (R), 36351 people)

The 113th takes in most of Jefferson City, dropping Western Cole County.

HD114 (held by Mike Bernskoetter (R), 37082 people)

The 114th takes in St. Martins, some of Jeff City, and Westphalia in Osage County.

The 113th is bluer (if such a thing could exist in Cole County) and the 114th doesn’t seem too odd, aside from the only connection from Cole to Osage county being partially in the 114th.

HD115 (held by Steve Largent (R), 37219 people)

Here’s where it starts to get weird. The 115th takes 120th district incumbent Scott Largent of Clinton and puts him in a district that slices Henry County in half, slices Benton County in three pieces (Warsaw to the 115th), goes into Morgan County (Gravois Mills), and takes in part of Camden County (Climax Springs). It appears the only way to directly cover this district is with a boat. In the scheme of things, there’s not really a need to chop up 4 counties for a district which looks like a dog.

HD116 (held by Wanda Brown (R), 34753 people)

Ok, so that district stands out for being a bit small. It goes from Southern Johnson County and Northern Henry County to Southern Pettis and Northern Benton county to Morgan County (Versailles). Creating a district that is a bit underpopulated and looks like a dragon.

HD117 (held by Caleb Jones (R), 37186 people)

This district doesn’t really change much from it’s current shape aside from picking up more of Cole County and dropping parts of Pettis and Morgan counties.

HD118 (held by Stanley Cox (R), 34888 people)

The district drops Houstonia and Hughesville and adds Smithton.

HD119 (held by Sandy Crawford (R), 35644 people)

The district adds Southeast Benton County.

HD121 (held by Denny Hoskins (R), 36787 people)

The district drops a tiny area north of Knob Noster.

HD122 (open, term limits, held by Mike McGhee (R), 36115 people)

The district adds Lexington and shaves off parts of Johnson and Cass Counties.

HD123 (held by Rick Brattin (R), 35839 people)

The district loses Harrisonville and Peculiar and picks up Raymore and moves towards Pleasant Hill (splitting it with HD125)

HD124 (held by Chris Molendorp (R), 35979 people)

This is a Belton/Peculiar district instead of a Belton/Raymore district.

HD125 (open seat, 32867 people)

This is a very underpopulated district. It combines Harrisonville and central Cass County with Western Johnson County)

HD126 (held by Mike Kelley (R), 37004 people)

This becomes a Barton/Dade district with Southern Vernon and North/West Cedar county.

HD127 (open, term limits, held by Barney Joe Fisher (R), 35337 people)

This district has all of Bates County, Southern Cass (Archie/Drexel) and Northern Vernon (Nevada and north).

HD133 (held by Sue Entlicher (R), 35264 people)

This district goes from all of Cedar and part of Polk to all of Polk and part of Cedar.

HD145 (held by Lyndall Fraker (R), 36678 people)

This district splits Webster County (almost enough people for one district) for no logical reason, in order to split Laclede County (which has enough people for one entire district). Alrighty then.

HD146 (held by Diane Franklin (R), 35470 people)

This district takes in part of Laclede County, then aids in the splitting of Camden County (also with enough people for one district). Franklin is from Camden County, so it’s possible for Laclede County, large enough for it’s own single seat, to not have a single resident in the Missouri State House.

HD147 (open seat, 36895 people)

This district is made up of Waynesville, St. Robert, and Fort Leonard Wood. So the number of voters in this district will lag behind most other districts as it puts all of Fort Leonard Wood in one district.

HD148 (open, term limits, held by David Day (R), 36728 people)

This district is made up of north/west Pulaski County, part of Miller County, and part of Cole County.

HD155 (open seat, 35469 people)

This district is centered around “the Lake”, with Osage Beach, Sunrise Beach, Lake Ozark, Laurie and Camdenton.

Overall..

22 districcts are presented, 13% of the map. 7 of 22 districts are above the ideal of 36741. 3 districts are more than 5% away from 36741 (36741*.95 = 34903.95). If you divide the population of the districts (793341) by the ideal, you get 21.59 districts. So with the area covered, creating 22 districts is a stretch.

Most of the area’s districts are safe Republican, but it’s an exercise in creative linedrawing to split Camden County 3 ways with it not having the entireity of one district, to split Laclede County two ways with a shot that no Laclede County resident is in the Missouri House, to split Henry and Benton Counties west/east, to split Johnson County 4 ways, and some real odd looking things which are more than just adjusting for the Lakes.

The positives include a better district for Lafayette County and the all Jeff City district. But in general, it just seems like there are more flaws than features on this partial redistricting map.

The second “Work product of commission” (WPC) map to be reviewed is the Republican commissioners map, which they dubbed “minimum changes”. They called it that, not me or anybody else. Just keep that in mind.

The Republican and Democratic maps contrast in a few ways.

The Democratic map has 13 African-American majority districts (4 in Kansas City, 9 in St. Louis). The Republican map has 11 of those districts (3 in KC and 8 in St. Louis). Apparently the increase in the percentage of African-Americans in Missouri from 11.2% to 11.5% merits a drop in seats.

I know lawyers. I’m sure they can cite specifics. But I know lawsuit bait when I see it. You can see by the percentages listed below that 8 of the 11 districts are 70% or more African-American, an unnecessarily high percentage.

But the Republican map is far less aggressive with pairing (well, aside from two Northeast Missouri Democrats who they paired). As well, they seem to be slightly less willing to cut across county/city lines in some areas (North Missouri). But the Republican map also cuts up Pulaski County, cuts Vernon County in two, continues the cut of Newton County to unintentionally keep a McDonald County resident out of the House, and slices University City across four districts.

The map is also adhering to the idea of “cluster Democrats in as few districts as possible, so that we can have the rest”.

So perhaps minimal change means “minimal change” from the 106 to 57 standings in the Missouri state house. After all, a state which is 54/40 in a bad year is totally a 106/57 state.

Also, it’s worth noting that in all the pairings, the pairing of Craig Redmon (R) and Tom Shively (D) on the Republican map is bold. You will see this when I show you where the district line is located and where Shively’s house is located. Craig Redmon is one of three legislators to get paired on both maps (the others being Lindell Shumake, and Rory Ellinger).

There are some similarities between both maps. They both create new districts in Boone County. Currently Boone has 3 whole districts, part of Quinn’s district and part of Cauthorn’s district. Both maps give Boone 4 whole seats and leave the rest to Cauthorn (Centralia) or Asbury (Harrisburg). Both maps also pair incumbents representing St. Louis City (well, if they didn’t, it’d be a great magic trick, but still)

I can point out some districts on the Democratic map that I’d disagree with. But you can see on the KCMO district map that the Republican map proposes a disservice by matching North Kansas City and Northeast KC in one district, and when they propose pairing Western Independence and Eastern Kansas City in a pretty contrived-looking open district. The STL experts can point out something in both maps, i’m sure. But if you’re going to promise minimal changes, try not making a map that seems to violate the law and that definitely violates the idea of communities of interest.

The fun thing about these maps is that you get to see them essentially go for the entire package of quirks in the hope that some of them wind up on the final map (that will likely be drawn by judges). After all, the final map could give entire districts to Newton County (Dem map), Johnson County (Rep map), Pettis County (Rep map) and all sorts of things which make good logical sense (If the county has the population to support one house district in it’s boundaries, unless there’s a logistical quirk, that county should get get district)

So, on to the maps and the walls of text. Paired in italics. Open in bold.

HD1 (Clark, Knox, Lewis, Schuyler, Scotland counties. Part of Marion (everything outside of Palmyra/Hannibal) and Shelby (putting Shively’s house in the district by several feet) – Redmon (R) and Shively (D)

HD2 (Adair, Putnam, Sullivan) – Wyatt (R)

HD3 (Gentry, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer. Part of Daviess (everything except a SW corner)) – Guernsey (R)

HD4 (Atchison, Holt, Nodaway, Worth) – Thomson (R)

HD5 (Clinton and DeKalb. Parts of Caldwell (Kidder) and Daviess (SE corner) – Klippenstein (R)

HD6 (Ralls. Parts of Marion (Palmyra/Hannibal) and Monroe (Monroe City) – Shumake (R) and Quinn (D)

HD7 (Carroll and Livingston. Parts of Caldwell and Chariton (Brunswick/Keytesville)) – Lair (R)

HD8 (Linn and Macon. Parts of Chariton (Salisbury) and Shelby (Places where Tom Shively doesn’t live) – Open

HD9 (Saline. Parts of Lafayette (Higginsville) and Pettis (NE Corner) – Open (term limits)

HD10 (Pike. Parts of Audrain (Eastern half), Callaway (Kingdom City), and Lincoln (Northern) – Houghton (R)

HD11 (Lincoln. Troy) – Schieffer (D)

HD12 (St. Charles County. St. Peters/Cottleville) – Funderburk (R)

HD13 (St. Charles Co) – Gatschenberger (R)

HD14 (St. Charles Co) – Conway (R)

HD15 (St. Charles) – Open (until Sally Faith’s seat is filled in a special election)

HD16 (St. Charles) – Parkinson (R)

HD17 (St. Charles) – Open (term limits)

HD18 (St. Charles) – Zerr (R)

HD19 (O’Fallon) – Bahr (R)

HD20 (Callaway) – Riddle (R)

HD21 (Parts of Audrain (Western), Boone (Centralia), Monroe (Most of the county)) – Cauthorn (R)

HD22 (Howard and Randolph. Parts of Boone (Harrisburg) – Asbury

HD23 (Western Columbia) – Webber (D)

HD24 (Southern Columbia) – Kelly (D)

HD25 (Eastern Columbia) – Still (D)

HD26 (Western Boone) – Open

HD27 (St. Joseph) – Conway (D)

HD28 (Andrew, Northern Buchanan) – Johnson (R)

HD29 (Southern Buchanan, NW Platte) – Higdon (R)

HD30 (Parkville, KCMO) – Marshall (R)

HD31 (KCMO in Clay County, Part of North KC) – Swearingen (D)

HD32 (Riverside, KCMO) – Schieber (R)

HD33 (Gladstone/Pleasant Valley) – Open (term-limits)

HD34 (Liberty/Claycomo) – Neth (R)

HD35 (Kearney) – Berry (R)

HD36 (Excelsior Springs/Ray County) – Open (term-limits)

HD37 (Smithville, NE Platte) – Open

HD38 (KCMO in Clay County) – Open (term-limits)

HD39 (The Plaza) – Open until special election

HD40 (Northeast KC and North Kansas City) – Rizzo (D) – 38% Hispanic

HD41 (Eastern KC, western Independence, Sugar Creek) – Open (until a special election in HD41?) – 22% Hispanic/16% African-American

HD42 (Eastern KC) – Open (term limits) – 75% African-American

HD43 (Eastern KC) – McCann Beatty (D) – 75% African-American

HD44 (Brookside to US71) – Kander (D) – 31% African-American

HD45 (KCMO) – Holsman (D) – 40% African-American

HD46 (Grandview and KCMO) – McManus (D) – 34% African-American

HD47 (Downtown KC) – Talboy (D) – 54% African-American

HD48 (Lee’s Summit) – Cross (R)

HD49 (Independence, KCMO, Raytown) – McDonald (D) – 15% African-American

HD50 (Raytown, KCMO) – Open – 30% African-American

HD51 (Northeast Independence) – Anders (D)

HD52 (Southern Independence) – Torpey (R)

HD53 (Eastern Independence, Northeast Jackson County, Gran Valley, Oak Grove) – Lasaster (R)

HD54 (Independence, Blue Springs) – Lauer (R)

HD55 (Blue Springs) – Solon (R)

HD56 (Lee’s Summit) – Cierpiot (R)

HD57 (South/Southwest STL) – Colona (D) – 18% African-American

HD58 (North-Central STL) – Hubbard (D) – 62% African-American

HD59 (Lee’s Summit/Raymore) – Grisamore (R)

HD60 (North-Central STL) – Nasheed (D) – 89% African-American

HD61 (North STL) – Carter (D) and May (D) – 94% African-American

HD62 (Stone County and part of Taney) – Phillips (R)

HD63 (Central STL)
– Jones (D) – 44% African-American

HD64 (Western STL, Clayton, University City) – Carlson (D) and Newman (D) – 41% African-American

HD65 (SW STL) – Kratky (D)

HD66 (Webster Groves) – Kirkton (D)

HD67 (SE STL) – Open – 52% African-American

HD68 (Barry County. Part of Shell Knob that’s in Stone County and only accessible from Barry County) – Open (term limits)

HD69 (Bellefontaine Neighbors) – Pierson (D) – 82% African-American

HD70 (Jennings, Ferguson, Berkeley) – Pace (D) – 81% African-American

HD71 (Blackjack, Spanish Lake) – Taylor (D) and Walton Gray (D) – 83% African-American

HD72 (University City, Pagedale) – Ellinger (D) and Smith (D) – 77% African-American

HD73 (University City, Clayton, Richmond Heights, Maplewood) – Open

HD74 (Spanish Lake, North STL County) – Webb (D) – 55% African-American

HD75 (Florissant) – Atkins (D) – 32% African-American

HD76 (Ferguson, Hazelwood, Dellwood, Florissant) – Spreng (D) – 60% African-American

HD77 (St. Ann and St. John) – McGeoghegan (D) – 25% African-American

HD78 (Hazelwood and Bridgeton) – McNeil (D) – 23% African-American

HD79 (Maryland Heights) – Nichols (D)

HD80 (SW St. Charles County) – Open

(current district lines in pink)

HD81 (Parts of St. Charles (Wentzville), and Lincoln (Moscow Mills)) – Open

HD82 (Creve Coeur and Olivette) – Schupp (D)

HD83 (Overland, University City, Olivette) – Open until Special Election

HD84 (Chesterfield, Wildwood) – Gosen (R)

HD85 (SE STL Co. Concord, Mehlville, Green Park) – Brown (R)

HD86 (Chesterfield, Maryland Heights) – McNary (R)

HD87 (Town and County, Ladue, Frontenac, Brentwood) – Diehl (R)

HD88 (Ballwin) – Koenig (R)

HD89 (Eureka, Wildwood) – Jones (R)

HD90 (Jefferson County. Murphy, High Ridge) – McCaherty (R)

HD91 (Jefferson County. DeSoto) – Harris (D)

HD92 (Manchester. Town and County) – Allen (R)

HD93 (Valley Park. Fenton) – Scharnhorst (R)

HD94 (Kirkwood) – Stream (R)

HD95 (Sunset Hills. Fenton) – Leara (R)

HD96 (Affton. Lemay) – Sifton (D)

HD97 (Concord. SE STL Co) – Fuhr (R)

HD98 (Franklin County. Union and St. Clair) – Hinson (R)

HD99 (Montgomery County. Part of Warren) – Korman (R)

HD100 (Oakville) – Haefner (R)

HD101 (Jefferson County. Arnold and Imperial) – Open (term-limits)

HD102 (Jefferson County. Barnhart) – Wieland (R)

HD103 (Jefferson County. Festus and Crystal City) – Open (term-limits)

HD104 (St. Francois (Park Hills/Bonne Terre), Jefferson, and Washington Counties) – Open

HD105 (Franklin County (Pacific) and Jefferson County (Cedar Hill) – Curtman (R)

HD106 (Ste. Genevieve. Parts of Jefferson and Perry (Perryville) Counties) – Fallert (D)

HD107 (St. Francois County) – Linda Black (D)

HD108 (SE STL) – Hummel (D)

HD109 (Parts of Franklin (Washington), St. Charles (SW Corner) and Warren (SE Corner) – Dieckhaus (R)

HD110 (Camden County) – Franklin (R)

HD111 (Western Franklin, SE Corner Gasconade, and Northern Crawford) – Schatz (R)

HD112 (Osage and Maries. Gasconade) – Open (term-limits)

HD113 (Eastern Jefferson City) – Bernskoetter (R)

HD114 (Western Jefferson City) – Barnes (R)

HD115 (Miller and Northern Pulaski) – Open (term-limits)

HD116 (Northern Benton, NW Corner Camden, Morgan County and Southern Pettis) – Brown (R)

HD117 (Cooper and Moniteau, and part of Cole) – Jones (R)

HD118 (Pettis) – Cox (R)

HD119 (Dallas, Hickory, and St. Clair, part of Laclede) – Crawford (R)

HD120 (Henry County. Part of Benton and Johnson) – Largent (R)

HD121 (Central Johnson County. Warrensburg/Knob Noster) – Hoskins (R)

HD122 (Western Lafayette, Northern Johnson, NE Cass) – Open (term-limits)

HD123 (NW Cass) – Molendorp (R)

HD124 (Harrisonville) – Brattin (R)

HD125 (Bates County. Southern Cass and Northern Vernon) – Open

HD126 (Barton County. Southern Vernon, Western Cedar, Northern Jasper) – Kelley (R)

HD127 (Jasper County. Carthage) – Flanigan (R)

HD128 (Jasper County. Webb City and Joplin) – Davis (R)

HD129 (Joplin and NE Newton) – White (R)

HD130 (SW Newton (Neosho) and Western McDonald) – Reiboldt (R)

HD131 (Rest of Newton and Eastern McDonald) – Lant (R)

HD132 (Lawrence County) – Ruzicka

HD133 (Parts of Cedar and Polk Counties) – Entlicher (R)

HD134 (Greene County. Republic) – Long (R)

HD135 (Greene County. SE Greene. Part of Christian County) – Denison (R)

HD136 (Greene County. SW Springfield) – Burlison (R)

HD137 (Greene County. NW Springfield) – Leach (R)

HD138 (Greene County. SE Springfield) – Open (term limits)

HD139 (Greene County. West Springfield. Willard) – Schoeller (R)

HD140 (Greene County. East/NE Springfield) – Hough (R)

HD141 (Christian County. Nixa) – Elmer (R)

HD142 (Christian County. Ozark) – Open

HD143 (Taney County. Branson and Hollister) – Open

HD144 (Wright County. Parts of Texas and Pulaski (Ft. Leonard Wood) Counties) – Dugger (R)

HD145 (Webster County. Part of Laclede County) – Fraker (R)

HD146 (Laclede County, Part of Pulaski County) – Pollock (R)

HD147 (Shannon and Oregon County. Eastern Texas County) – Open

HD148 (Central Pulaski County and SW Phelps County) – Open

HD149 (Northern Phelps County) – Frederick (R)

HD150 (Dent County. Parts of Crawford and Phelps County) – Smith (R)

HD151 (Howell County) – Open (term limits)

HD152 (Dade County. Parts of Greene, Lawrence, and Polk Counties) – Open

HD153 (Eastern Taney County, Douglas, Ozark, and part of Howell County) – Rowland (R)

HD154 (Butler County) – Richardson (R)

HD155 (Iron and Reynolds Counties, Part of Washington County) – Fitzwater (R)

HD156 (Bollinger and Madison Counties. Parts of Cape Girardeau, Scott, and Stoddard Counties) – Keeney (R)

HD157 (Parts of Cape Girardeau and Perry Counties) – Lichtenegger (R)

HD158 (Cape Girardeau) – Wellingford (R)

HD159 (Stoddard County. Part of Scott County) – Open (Term limits)

160 (Parts of Mississippi, New Madrid, and Scott) – Open (Brandom running for Senate)

HD161 (Carter, Ripley, and Wayne Counties. Part of Butler County) – Cookson (R)

HD162 (Pemiscot County. Parts of Mississippi and New Madrid Counties) – Hodges (D)

HD163 (Dunklin County. Parts of Butler and New Madrid Counties) – Hampton (R)

That’s the Republican map. Perhaps I can give the Senate some much needed attention and look at their maps.

But if you’ve looked over the maps, feel free to add thoughts or hopes for the final product.