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Monthly Archives: December 2015

Campaign Finance: nowhere else to go

21 Monday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in campaign finance

≈ 4 Comments

Tags

campaign finance, Chris Koster, governor, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission

This past weekend at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Chris Koster’s (D) probable 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

C031159 12/19/2015 KOSTER FOR MISSOURI Supporters of Health Research & Treatments PO Box 11591 St Louis MO 63105 12/18/2015 $30,000.00

[emphasis added]

One could say that about a number of contributors.

Previously:

Chris Koster (D) – July 2015 Campaign Finance Report (July 18, 2015)

Campaign Finance: No, tell us how you really feel… (October 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: adding up (October 7, 2015)

Campaign Finance: just another really good day (October 19, 2015)

Campaign Finance: and another good day (October 22, 2015)

Campaign Finance: like a rock (October 29, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Treat! (October 31, 2015)

Campaign Finance: making a statement (November 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: electricity (November 9, 2015)

Independence USA PAC ad – Chris Koster (D) (November 11, 2015)

Campaign Finance: almost routine (November 14, 2015)

Campaign Finance: again, with the working people (November 17, 2015)

Hey, Chris Koster, are you really listening? (November 18, 2015)

Campaign Finance: bet the farms (November 23, 2015)

Still, unlike others, it does have a place at the Thanksgiving table (November 26, 2015)

Campaign Finance: yada, yada, yada… (December 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Manhattan, the Bronx, and Staten Island, too (December 8, 2015)

Campaign Finance: okay, then (December 13, 2015)

Campaign Finance: probably (December 14, 2015)

Campaign Finance: hook and ladder (December 16, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Oh, yeah? (December 18, 2015)

Rep. Vicky Hartzler (r): Yes, about your vote to fund the government…

20 Sunday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in social media

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

4th Congressional District, budget, facebook, missouri, social media, Twitter, Vicky Hartzler

Nothing seems to upset right wingnut constituents more than than the concept that government functions for somebody other than themselves.

Representative Vicky Hartzler (r) on her vote on funding the government, via Twitter:

Hartzler121815

Rep. Vicky Hartzler ‏@RepHartzler
It’s not perfect, but today’s legislation gives America more conservative policies than the alternative. [….] 11:43 AM – 18 Dec 2015

From Representative Hartzler’s (r) press release, with some of the goodies she likes:

Hartzler Votes to Fund the Government, Turns Gaze to 2016

WASHINGTON—Congresswoman Vicky Hartzler (R-Mo.) today voted to pass H.R. 2029, a bill to fund government activities through the end of the 2016 fiscal year.

“Missourians and Americans across the country want to focus on the holidays and spending time with their families,” Hartzler started. “They do not need to worry that the government isn’t going to be available when they need it. This package provides the certainty Americans need that their social security checks will go out on time, the Department of Homeland Security will have the resources it needs to keep them safe as they travel to see loved ones, and Congress will be able to focus on other American priorities as it goes forward.”

[….]

….does not fund the President’s climate change initiatives within Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and National Protection Programs Directorate (NPPD) within DHS.

[….]

….cuts EPA funding by $452 million below the President’s request, holding the agency to its lowest funding levels since 2008 and its lowest staffing levels since 1989;

….provides local schools increased relief from whole grain and sodium nutritional standards in school lunches.

[….]

….prohibits funding for the “light bulb” standard regulations, allowing Americans to continue buying affordable incandescent light bulbs.

[….]

….maintains existing protections that prohibit the use of federal funding for abortion….

….increases funding for abstinence education.

[….]

Because climate change isn’t happening? Because we all want to breathe crappy air and drink poisoned water? Because whole grains are bad for our children and more salt in their diet is so very good for them? Because incandescent light bulbs equal freedom! Because abstinence only education works so well?

Priorities.

Some of the social media replies, from unhappy right wingnuts:

Cowan121815B

Mitchell Cowan ‏@mackelby
@RepHartzler It was a complete disaster and you are to blame. Sickened by your progressive votes and attitude. 11:46 AM – 18 Dec 2015

Uh, that’s really not the definition of progressive. Just pointing that out for you. The same individual continues with their upset, promising action:

Cowan121815C

Mitchell Cowan ‏@mackelby
@RepHartzler I will vote dem next time so we can finish off America and start rebuilding. 11:46 AM – 18 Dec 2015

Uh, if you really want to finish off America vote to put another underachieving Bush in the White House. The last one damn near completed that job. Otherwise, I’m sure Hillary Clinton or Martin O’Malley or Bernie Sanders will appreciate your vote in 2016.

Farmstead121815D

Farmstead Realty ‏@FarmsteadRealty Dec 18
@RepHartzler If it wasn’t perfect you don’t vote for it. You should be ashamed. It gives Obama everything he wanted. 11:49 AM – 18 Dec 2015

Apparently President Obama is really missing those incandescent light bulbs.

Striper121815E

realbigstriper ‏@realbigstriper
@RepHartzler and we will remember your vote 11:56 AM – 18 Dec 2015

And everyone else is thinking: “The next election is eleven months away, nah…”

Hartenbower121815F

Amber Hartenbower ‏@AHartenbower
@RepHartzler If it’s not perfect, you vote no. Way to screw over Americans, but, hey, you keep your cushy job, right? 11:57 AM – 18 Dec 2015

Uh, technically, she did that when she (probably) supported George W. Bush for president. The screw over Americans part that is.

Wayman121815G

Jeff Wayman ‏@PetsandPucks
@RepHartzler by “not perfect”, I can only assume you mean an evil monstrosity. You should be ashamed of voting for it. 1:04 PM – 18 Dec 2015

It’s the light bulb part that upset you, isn’t it? But will you remember that in November 2016? Nah.

Myers121815H

Larry Myers ‏@lmyersloz
@RepHartzler That is a cowardly and misleading statement. What essential functions would have stopped? None. You no longer have my support. 2:37 PM – 18 Dec 2015

Let’s hear it for whole grains!

The storm on Facebook is quite similar. A sampling of the responses:

[….] I’m sorry you supported the Obama Spending Bill Budget that provides funding for bringing in more Muslim terrorists, keeping Obamacare and Planned Parenthood. Democrats are gleeful and we the people (including unborn babies) are the losers again.

They didn’t notice all the anti-abortion stuff? There’s no pleasing some people.

[….] Et tu, Brutus?

Ah, a classicist.

[….] I am thinking when she holds town hall meetings we should attend, but not mouth at her, but instead stand and turn our backs to her when she begins speaking.

Yeah, that’ll certainly show her. While we’re at it, let’s put on a play!

[….] Thanks for selling us out again. You are not a conservative like you tried to say you were. You have lied and cheated to the people way to many times. We need someone who represents and will listen to the people not the establishment GOP. We are sick of this we want the person who will not bow to special interest groups. Enjoy your last time in Washington DC because if I can help it you won’t be going back next election.

Promises, promises…

[….] Explain just why you are different than a Democrat?

Heh.

We just love social media. It’s so Democratic.

Bigger than South Carolina and a bit low, actually

19 Saturday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

crazification, polling, Primary, Public Policy Polling, republicans

“…Too small to be a republic, too large to be an insane asylum…”

Long ago at Kung Fu Monkey:

Friday, October 07, 2005
Lunch Discussions #145: The Crazification Factor

….John: Hey, Bush is now at 37% approval. I feel much less like Kevin McCarthy screaming in traffic. But I wonder what his base is —

Tyrone: 27%.

John: … you said that immmediately, and with some authority.

Tyrone: Obama vs. Alan Keyes. Keyes was from out of state, so you can eliminate any established political base; both candidates were black, so you can factor out racism; and Keyes was plainly, obviously, completely crazy. Batshit crazy. Head-trauma crazy. But 27% of the population of Illinois voted for him. They put party identification, personal prejudice, whatever ahead of rational judgement. Hell, even like 5% of Democrats voted for him. That’s crazy behaviour. I think you have to assume a 27% Crazification Factor in any population.

John: Objectively crazy or crazy vis-a-vis my own inertial reference frame for rational behaviour? I mean, are you creating the Theory of Special Crazification or General Crazification?

Tyrone: Hadn’t thought about it. Let’s split the difference. Half just have worldviews which lead them to disagree with what you consider rationality even though they arrive at their positions through rational means, and the other half are the core of the Crazification — either genuinely crazy; or so woefully misinformed about how the world works, the bases for their decision making is so flawed they may as well be crazy.

John: You realize this leads to there being over 30 million crazy people in the US?

Tyrone: Does that seem wrong?

John: … a bit low, actually….

This, via Public Policy Polling:

December 18, 2015
Trump Lead Grows Nationally; 41% of His Voters Want to Bomb Country From Aladdin; Clinton Maintains Big Lead

….To put some of these findings about real modern day issues and Trump voters in context, 41% of his voters think Japanese internment was a good thing, to 37% who don’t. And 41% of his supporters would favor bombing Agrabah to only 9% who are opposed to doing that. Agrabah is the country from Aladdin. Overall 30% of Republican primary voters say they support bombing it to 13% who are opposed. We asked the same question of Democrats, and 36% of them opposed bombing Agrabah to 19% in support….

I haven’t seen the movie. Does that make me an undecided on Agrabah?

There’s more [pdf]:

[….]

Public Policy Polling surveyed 532 usual Republican primary voters and 525 usual Democratic primary voters on December 16th and 17th. The margin of error for both parties is +/-4.3%. 80% of participants responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet.

[….]

[Republican primary voters]

Q32 Would you support or oppose banning Muslims from entering the United States?
Support banning Muslims from entering the United States 54%
Oppose banning Muslims from entering the United States 25%
Not sure 21%

Q33 Do you believe that thousands of Arabs in New Jersey cheered when the World Trade Center collapsed on 9/11 or not?
Believe thousands of Arabs in New Jersey cheered when the World Trade Center collapsed on 9/11 36%
Do not believe thousands of Arabs in New Jersey cheered when the World Trade Center collapsed on 9/11 35%
Not sure 29%

Q34 Would you support or oppose shutting down mosques in the United States?
Support shutting down mosques in the United States 28%
Oppose shutting down mosques in the United States 47%
Not sure 26%

Q35 Would you support or oppose creating a national database of Muslims in the United States?
Support a national database of Muslims in the United States 46%
Oppose a national database of Muslims in the United States 37%
Not sure 17%

Q36 Do you think the religion of Islam should be legal or illegal in the United States?
Islam should be legal in the United States 53%
Islam should be illegal in the United States 26%
Not sure 21%

Q37 Looking back, do you support or oppose the policy of Japanese Internment during World War II?
Support the policy of Japanese Internment 28%
Oppose the policy of Japanese Internment 49%
Not sure 23%

Q38 Would you support or oppose bombing Agrabah?
Support bombing Agrabah 30%
Oppose bombing Agrabah 13%
Not sure 57%

[….]

Yeah, those numbers are probably a bit low, actually.

Campaign Finance: Oh, yeah?

18 Friday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in campaign finance

≈ 5 Comments

Tags

campaign finance, Chris Koster, governor, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission

Yesterday at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Chris Koster’s (D) probable 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

031159 12/17/2015 KOSTER FOR MISSOURI Missouri Drive Fund 1850 E Division St Springfield MO 65803 12/17/2015 $25,000.00

[emphasis added]

Not a slouch in the campaign fundraising department either. $25,000.00 ain’t peanuts.

Previously:

Chris Koster (D) – July 2015 Campaign Finance Report (July 18, 2015)

Campaign Finance: No, tell us how you really feel… (October 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: adding up (October 7, 2015)

Campaign Finance: just another really good day (October 19, 2015)

Campaign Finance: and another good day (October 22, 2015)

Campaign Finance: like a rock (October 29, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Treat! (October 31, 2015)

Campaign Finance: making a statement (November 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: electricity (November 9, 2015)

Independence USA PAC ad – Chris Koster (D) (November 11, 2015)

Campaign Finance: almost routine (November 14, 2015)

Campaign Finance: again, with the working people (November 17, 2015)

Hey, Chris Koster, are you really listening? (November 18, 2015)

Campaign Finance: bet the farms (November 23, 2015)

Still, unlike others, it does have a place at the Thanksgiving table (November 26, 2015)

Campaign Finance: yada, yada, yada… (December 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Manhattan, the Bronx, and Staten Island, too (December 8, 2015)

Campaign Finance: okay, then (December 13, 2015)

Campaign Finance: probably (December 14, 2015)

Campaign Finance: hook and ladder (December 16, 2015)

Campaign Finance: a never ending flow

18 Friday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in media criticism

≈ 3 Comments

Tags

campaign finance, Eric Greitens., governors, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission

This isn’t going to end, is it? Ever.

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Eric Greitens’ (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

C151053 12/18/2015 GREITENS FOR MISSOURI Paul Melnuk PO Box 16504 St Louis MO 63105 ABGB Capital LLC Managing Partner 12/18/2015 $25,000.00

C151053 12/18/2015 GREITENS FOR MISSOURI Craig Frazier 704 S Hickory Ter. Springfield MO 65809 Self Self 12/18/2015 $5,001.00

[emphasis added]

Or maybe it just seems that way. Nah. Sigh.

Previously:

Campaign Finance: Why the difference when there is no difference? (September 30/October 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: it’s like a campaign contribution, only smaller – part 19 (December 9, 2013)

Campaign Finance: Junior! (December 10, 2013)

Campaign Finance: going back to the well (December 11, 2015)

Campaign Finance: diversity (December 15, 2015)

Campaign Finance: it’s always sunny in Springfield (December 16, 2015)

Campaign Finance: it’s like a campaign contribution, only smaller – part 20 (December 17, 2015)

Campaign Finance: taking steps

18 Friday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in campaign finance

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

campaign finance, Judy Baker, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission, state treasurer

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Judy Baker’s (D) 2016 State Treasurer campaign:

C151178 12/18/2015 BAKER FOR MISSOURI Hilda Jones PO Box 57 Williamsburg MO 63388 Retired 12/18/2015 $5,100.00

[emphasis added]

Again, unlike republican candidates the probability of a down ticket statewide Democratic Party candidate in Missouri receiving a single $1,000,000.00 contribution from a billionaire approaches zero.

Previously:

Judy Baker (D) is running for State Treasurer in 2016 (October 2, 2015)

Judy Baker (D) – announcement for State Treasurer in 2016 (December 7, 2015)

Campaign Finance: there is another (December 14, 2015)

Retail politics (December 14, 2015)

Campaign Finance: making the rubble bounce

18 Friday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in campaign finance

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

17th Senate District, campaign finance, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission, Ryan Silvey

The end of the year is fast approaching. Along with that, the end of the year campaign contributions will be ramping up, too.

Yesterday at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Ryan Silvey’s (r) 17th Senate District reelection campaign:

C051232 12/17/2015 SILVEY FOR MISSOURI White Dog Properties LLC 1111 S Glenstone Ste. 2-100 Springfield MO 65804 12/17/2015 $15,000.00

C051232 12/17/2015 SILVEY FOR MISSOURI CHIPP Political Account 1401 Hampton Ave 3rd Floor St Louis MO 63139 11/16/2015 $10,000.00

C051232 12/17/2015 SILVEY FOR MISSOURI White Dog Asset Holding LLC 1111 S Glenstone Ste. 2-100 Sprinfield MO 65804 12/17/2015 $15,000.00

[emphasis added]

That’s a lot of money, even for a state senate reelection campaign.

What’s in the kitty (from the October quarterly campaign finance report)?:

C051232: Silvey For Missouri
Committee Type: Candidate
Po Box 10626 Party Affiliation: Republican
Gladstone Mo 64118 Established Date: 10/17/2005
[….]

Information Reported On: 2015 – October Quarterly Report

Beginning Money on Hand $339,157.92
Monetary Receipts + $60,450.00
Monetary Expenditures – $11,663.44
Contributions Made – $0.00
Other Disbursements – $0.00
Subtotal $48,786.56
Ending Money On Hand $387,944.48

[emphasis added]

Yeah, that additional $40,000.00 will certainly help make the rubble bounce before November 2016.

Interestingly the White Dog entities made the same contributions in 2014:

C051232 02/20/2014 SILVEY FOR MISSOURI White Dog Asset Holding LLC 1111 S Glenstone Ste 2-100 Springfield MO 65804 2/20/2014 $15,000.00

C051232 02/20/2014 SILVEY FOR MISSOURI White Dog Properties LLC 1111 S Glenstone Ste 2-100 Springfield MO 65804 2/20/2014 $15,000.00

That, too, was a nice chunk of change.

Campaign Finance: it’s like a campaign contribution, only smaller – part 20

17 Thursday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in campaign finance

≈ 4 Comments

Tags

campaign finance, Eric Greitens., governor, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Eric Greitens’ (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

151053 12/17/2015 GREITENS FOR MISSOURI Sally Coleman 1608 Forest Aire St Louis MO 63131 Retired Retired 12/17/2015 $5,001.00

151053 12/17/2015 GREITENS FOR MISSOURI Steven Hantler 6740 Commerce Rd. West Bloomfield MI 48324 Marcus Family Foundation Executive 12/17/2015 $5,001.00

[emphasis added]

* What is it with $5,001.00 almost all the time? Is there a secret handshake, too? Just asking.

* Yes, we know that the extra $1.00 over $5,000.00 means that the contribution must be reported within 48 hours to the Missouri Ethics Commission. It’s the campaign finance disclosure version of strutting your stuff – for both the contributor and the campaign.

Previously:

Campaign Finance: Why the difference when there is no difference? (September 30/October 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: it’s like a campaign contribution, only smaller – part 19 (December 9, 2013)

Campaign Finance: Junior! (December 10, 2013)

Campaign Finance: going back to the well (December 11, 2015)

Campaign Finance: diversity (December 15, 2015)

Campaign Finance: it’s always sunny in Springfield (December 16, 2015)

Campaign Finance: ya gotta make it up somewhere

16 Wednesday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in campaign finance

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

campaign finance, governor, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission, Peter Kinder

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Peter Kinder’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

C151161 12/16/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR PETER KINDER Pfizer Inc. 6730 Lenox Center Ct. Memphis TN 38115 12/15/2015 $5,001.00

How nice.

Previously:

Peter Kinder (r) announces for the 2016 gubernatorial race (July 13, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) – July 2015 Campaign Finance Report (July 18, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) – October 2015 Quarterly Campaign Finance Report (October 25, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r): ruh, roh (December 5, 2015)

Campaign Finance: different interests

16 Wednesday Dec 2015

Posted by Michael Bersin in campaign finance

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

Attorney General, campaign finance, Josh Hawley, Kurt Schaefer, missouri, Missouri Ethics Commission

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Kurt Schaefer’s (r) 2016 campaign for Attorney General:

C081145 12/16/2015 CITIZENS TO ELECT KURT SCHAEFER ATTORNEY GENERAL Supporters of Health Research and Treatments P.O. Box 11591 St Louis MO 63105 12/14/2015 $20,000.00

[emphasis added]

Well, that’s certainly a different interest.

And, Josh Hawley, one of the other republican candidates for Attorney General in 2016, also received a significant amount in a single campaign contribution, reported today at the Missouri Ethics Commission:

C151132 12/16/2015 HAWLEY FOR MISSOURI C Boyden Gray 1627 I St NW #950 Washington DC 20006 Boyden Gray & Associates Attorney 12/15/2015 $10,000.00

[emphasis added]

The C. Boyden Gray? Yep. It can’t get more establishment republican than that.

Pass the popcorn.

Previously:

Why would anyone trust Kurt Schaefer? (April 14, 2015)

Attorney General – July 2015 Campaign Finance Reports (July 20, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Are they gonna bring back the blimp rides? (August 1, 2015)

An open letter to MU Chancellor R. Bowen Loftin (September 26/October 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: the giant checkbook awakes (October 9, 2015)

Kurt Schaefer (r) – October 2015 Quarterly Campaign Finance Report (October 18, 2015)

Because words that criticize bad behavior are so much more harsh than airstrikes? (December 7, 2015)

==========

Campaign Finance: no limits (August 22, 2015)

Understanding your job… (September 5, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What flavor? (September 6, 2015)

Campaign Finance: You paid what for what? (September 23/October 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Do you pick your faction, or do they pick you? (September 29/October 2, 2015)

Campaign Finance: there’s no such thing as a “moderate” republican (October 14, 2015)

Josh Hawley (r) – October 2015 Quarterly Campaign Finance Report (October 18, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What was that again about contributions under $5,000.00? (October 22, 2015)

Campaign Finance: can’t vote in the republican primary (November 13, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What else is new? (December 9, 2015)

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