…it would have been considered serious money. Not anymore.

Yesterday at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Peter Kinder’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

C151161 09/15/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR PETER KINDER Larus Corporation 12444 Powerscourt Drive St Louis MO 63131 9/14/2015 $10,000.00

C151161 09/15/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR PETER KINDER Rhodes Development Co. LLC 2301 Bloomfield Rd. Cape Girardeau MO 63703 9/14/2015 $10,000.00

[emphasis added]

It’s a very difficult thing these days for a campaign to raise funds in $10,000.00 increments…

Previously:

Campaign Finance: Peter who? (May 6, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What’s up with that? (May 29, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, exploring a run for Governor (June 13, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, probably running for Governor (June 25, 2015)

Campaign Finance: in the past this might have been impressive (July 1, 2015)

Campaign Finance: wild card (July 6, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) announces for the 2016 gubernatorial race (July 12, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) – July 2015 Campaign Finance Report (July 17, 2015)

Campaign Finance: If this keeps up… (July 28, 2015)

PPP Missouri Poll: 2016 U.S. Senate and Governor – August 11, 2015 (August 11, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What else is new? (August 25, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Everyone thinks they’re so cute when they’re little… (September 4, 2015)

Campaign Finance: surge (September 5, 2015)

Well, not comparatively.

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Peter Kinder’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

C151161 09/05/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR PETER KINDER Larus Corporation 12444 Powerscourt Drive Suite 170 St Louis MO 63131 9/4/2015 $10,000.00

C151161 09/05/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR PETER KINDER CNS Corporation 500 E. 9th Street Kansas City MO 64106 9/5/2015 $10,000.00

[emphasis added]

It’s not chess either.

Previously:

Campaign Finance: Peter who? (May 6, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What’s up with that? (May 29, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, exploring a run for Governor (June 13, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, probably running for Governor (June 25, 2015)

Campaign Finance: in the past this might have been impressive (July 1, 2015)

Campaign Finance: wild card (July 6, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) announces for the 2016 gubernatorial race (July 12, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) – July 2015 Campaign Finance Report (July 17, 2015)

Campaign Finance: If this keeps up… (July 28, 2015)

PPP Missouri Poll: 2016 U.S. Senate and Governor – August 11, 2015 (August 11, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What else is new? (August 25, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Everyone thinks they’re so cute when they’re little… (September 4, 2015)

Comparatively.

…until you take a closer look.

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Peter Kinder’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

C151161 09/04/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR PETER KINDER Robert Hartle 2201 Walton Dr Suite A Jackson MO 63755 RCH Development Real Estate Developer 9/2/2015 $5,001.00

[emphasis added]

Earlier in the week for John Brunner’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

C151077 09/01/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR JOHN BRUNNER Kevin Childress 1001 W 57th St Kansas City MO 64113 My Freight World Technologies Inc. CEO 8/31/2015 $5,100.00

[emphasis added]

They’re twins, in more ways than one.

Dueling 2016 republican lieutenant governor campaigns:

C091129 09/03/2015 PARSON FOR MISSOURI Peter Herschend 538 Oak Bluff Road Branson MO 65616 Silver Dollar City Principal 9/3/2015 $10,000.00

[emphasis added]

C141581 09/03/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR RANDLES R Lee Harris 3815 W 84th Terr Leawood KS 66206 Cohen-Esrey Real Estate Services, LLC President 9/3/2015 $5,001.00

[emphasis added]

The latter has a really, really big head start.

In the past few days at the Missouri Ethics Commission for a few of the 2016 republican gubernatorial candidates (exploratory and otherwise):

C151053 08/24/2015 GREITENS FOR MISSOURI Gary Crossley 8050 N. Church Rd Kansas City MO 64158 8/24/2015 $25,000.00

[emphasis added]

Nope, nothing out of the ordinary there.

C151077 08/25/2015 MISSOURIANS FOR JOHN BRUNNER Gregory Delaney 108 Teal Nest Ct Ponte Vedra Beach FL 32082 Retired Retired 8/25/2015 $5,001.00

[emphasis added]

That’s a familiar amount.

C091145 08/25/2015 FRIENDS OF PETER KINDER John Danforth 911 Tirrill Farms Rd St Louis MO 63124 Dowd Bennett Attorney 8/25/2015 $10,000.00

[emphasis added]

Well, that’s interesting.

Previously:

John Brunner (r) – July 2015 Quarterly Campaign Finance Report (July 15, 2015)

Eric Greitens (r) – July 2015 Quarterly Campaign Finance Report (July 15, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) – July 2015 Campaign Finance Report (July 17, 2015)

PPP Missouri Poll: 2016 U.S. Senate and Governor – August 11, 2015 (August 11, 2015)

Like, maybe, social media?

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission:

C091145 08/18/2015 FRIENDS OF PETER KINDER Randy Brown 16651 Hwy. V Diamond MO 64840 Retired 8/17/2015 $10,000.00

[emphasis added]

Previously:

Campaign Finance: Peter who? (May 6, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What’s up with that? (May 29, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, exploring a run for Governor (June 13, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, probably running for Governor (June 25, 2015)

Campaign Finance: in the past this might have been impressive (July 1, 2015)

Campaign Finance: wild card (July 6, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) announces for the 2016 gubernatorial race (July 12, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) – July 2015 Campaign Finance Report (July 17, 2015)

Campaign Finance: If this keeps up… (July 28, 2015)

PPP Missouri Poll: 2016 U.S. Senate and Governor – August 11, 2015 (August 11, 2015)

Public Policy Polling (PPP) conducted a survey [pdf] of 859 voters (440 Republican voters) in Missouri from August 7th through August 9th. The margin of error was 3.3% (4.7% for the Republican primary voters).

In the 2016 U.S. Senate race:

….Roy Blunt is one of the least popular Senators in the country, with only 30% of voters approving of the job he’s doing to 47% who disapprove. Blunt has become increasingly unpopular over the course of hi s first term in the Senate….

….Blunt is quite unpopular with independents (24/52) and Democrats (17/62) but what really makes his numbers soft is that he’s only at 46/28 approval even with Republican voters. Those are the kinds of numbers that usually make you susceptible to a primary challenge.

Blunt leads Democratic challenger Jason Kander 40/35 for reelection with 25% of voters undecided. That high level of indecision may have a lot to do with voters just not being that familiar with Kander at this point-only 35% know enough about him to have formed an opinion either way….

Talk about a possible game changer. Think about what could happen in a presidential election year with a Democratic Party nominee investing in a serious GOTV campaign in Missouri. Yep.

In the gubernatorial race:

….The Governor’s race looks like a sheer toss up at this point. Republican hopeful Peter Kinder leads Democratic candidate Chris Koster 40-37. But Koster has leads of 4-8 points over the rest of GOP field-it’s 39/35 over Bob Dixon, 40/36 over Catherine Hanaway, 40/35 over Randy Asbury, 41/36 over John Brunner, 40/34 over Eric Greitens, and 39/31 over Bart Korman….

If it’s Koster (D) and Kinder (r) in 2016 the difference (now within the margin of error) will be between $4,000,000.00 and $60,000.00. At least for now, until voters start paying attention to the Twitterverse past, hotel bills, and a living wage. Just think about all the possible general election campaign commercials and mailings.

There’s an interesting result from probable 2016 republican gubernatorial primary voters:

[….]

Q8 (Republicans) Given the choices of Randy Asbury, John Brunner, Bob Dixon, Eric

Greitens, Catherine Hanaway, Peter Kinder, and Bart Korman who would you most like to see as the Republican candidate for Governor next year?

5% Randy Asbury

9% John Brunner

7% Bob Dixon

4% Eric Greitens

11% Catherine Hanaway

27% Peter Kinder

0% Bart Korman

37% Not sure

Those candidates who currently have significant campaign assets will be able to spend their primary money on that undecided 37% and in redefining some of Peter Kinder’s (r) advantage in superficial name recognition into liabilities. Again, the campaign commercials could be epic.

Previously:

PPP polling results in Missouri: social media hints (August 11, 2015)

Public Policy Polling (PPP) recently completed a poll in Missouri. There are a few hints of the results coming out this morning via Twitter:

Kevin Robillard ‏@PoliticoKevin

First in Score: @ppppolls has @RoyBlunt 40%, @JasonKander 35% in #MOSen.  7:53 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Jeff Smith ‏@JeffSmithMO

.@ppppolls out with new MO-SEN and MO-GOV #s this am. Very good news for @JasonKander + @PeterKinder; bad news for nearly everyone else.  7:48 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Jeff Smith ‏@JeffSmithMO

.@ppppolls has @JasonKander just 5 pts behind Sen. Roy Blunt, whose fav/unfav is way upside down at 30-47. The head-to-head is 40-35.  7:58 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Well, well.

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls

Blunt is actually much more unpopular than Portman, Toomey, Ayotte who are all accepted to be vulnerable   7:59 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Well, well.

Kevin Robillard ‏@PoliticoKevin

.@ppppolls survey also has @Koster4Missouri with small leads over a number of Republicans in #MOGov, but knotted with @PeterKinder.  8:15 AM – 11 Aug 2015

Well, well.

We’ll take a look at the PPP release when it comes out.

…we’ll be talkin’ some serious money.

Today at the Missouri Ethics Commission for Peter Kinder’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign:

C091145 07/28/2015 FRIENDS OF PETER KINDER Norman Harty PO Box 188 Dexter MO 63841 Gideon Health Center, Inc. Executive 7/27/2015 $25,000.00

[emphasis added]

Previously:

Okay, this is really funny in a schadenfreude kind of way (August 18, 2011)

Kinder losing brownie points with major donor (August 19, 2011)

Campaign Finance: somebody’s still raising big bucks for 2012 (August 23, 2011)

Lt. Gov. Peter Kinder (r): the republican cult of the victim (August 29, 2011)

Peter the Tweeter has a Tantrum (July 8, 2012)

It’s hard to get by on $86,484.00* a year (February 19, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Peter who? (May 6, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What’s up with that? (May 29, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, exploring a run for Governor (June 13, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, probably running for Governor (June 25, 2015)

Campaign Finance: in the past this might have been impressive (July 1, 2015)

Campaign Finance: wild card (July 6, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) announces for the 2016 gubernatorial race (July 12, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) – July 2015 Campaign Finance Report (July 17, 2015)

Peter Kinder’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign (yeah, we know, he just announced) filed its July quarterly campaign finance report with the Missouri Ethics Commission on July 15th:

C091145: Friends Of Peter Kinder

  Committee Type: Candidate

Po Box 712 Party Affiliation: Republican

Jefferson City Mo 65102 Established Date: 06/30/2009

[….] Termination Date:

Information Reported On: 2015 – July Quarterly Report

Beginning Money on Hand $830.02

Monetary Receipts + $129,701.00

Monetary Expenditures – $61,513.20

Contributions Made – $0.00

Other Disbursements – $9,151.54

Subtotal     $59,036.26

Ending Money On Hand   $59,866.28

[emphasis added]

There wasn’t much there to begin with, but some high dollar donors have been stepping in. Anyone think he won’t be able to raise money?

The contributions:

Contributions to Peter Kinder’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign

reported on its July 2015 quarterly campaign finance report.

Contributions to Peter Kinder’s (r) 2016 gubernatorial campaign reported on its July 2015 quarterly campaign finance report.

August Busch III $50,000.00

James Henry Cooper $10,000.00

Larus Corp $10,000.00

Loren Cook II $10,000.00

Cape Radiology $10,000.00

W Bryan Magers $7,500.00

Riverton Enterprises $5,001.00

William Holekamp $5,000.00

Tri-State Treatment $5,000.00

Missouri Realtors $2,500.00

Rudolph Farber $2,500.00

Citizens for New Health $2,500.00

Coalition for Disability Rights $2,500.00

Laclede Corporation $2,500.00

Gene Schwartz $2,000.00

Edward Robinson $1,500.00

David Barklage $1,200.00

Not exactly the sign of a populist wave.

Some of the expenditures:

MISSOURI ETHICS COMMISSION

ITEMIZED EXPENDITURES OVER $100 SUPPLEMENTAL FORM

FRIENDS OF PETER KINDER [pdf] 7/15/2015

New Capitol City Warehouse 1011 Industrial Dr Jefferson City MO 65109 5/5/2015 Sign Storage $75.00

New Capitol City Warehouse 1011 Industrial Dr Jefferson City MO 65109 5/13/2015 Sign Storage $25.00

Willis Jones 135 Jupiter Street Holts Summit MO 65043 5/29/2015 Research $1,000.00

The J Harris Company 122 E High St Ste 200 Jefferson City MO 65101 6/1/2015 Research/Fundraising $6,000.00

Applied Research Coordinates 11753 North Shore Drive Reston VA 20190 6/16/2015 Research $4,000.00

[emphasis added]

Previously:

Okay, this is really funny in a schadenfreude kind of way (August 18, 2011)

Kinder losing brownie points with major donor (August 19, 2011)

Campaign Finance: somebody’s still raising big bucks for 2012 (August 23, 2011)

Lt. Gov. Peter Kinder (r): the republican cult of the victim (August 29, 2011)

Peter the Tweeter has a Tantrum (July 8, 2012)

It’s hard to get by on $86,484.00* a year (February 19, 2015)

Campaign Finance: Peter who? (May 6, 2015)

Campaign Finance: What’s up with that? (May 29, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, exploring a run for Governor (June 13, 2015)

Campaign Finance: running for Governor, may run for Governor, probably running for Governor (June 25, 2015)

Campaign Finance: in the past this might have been impressive (July 1, 2015)

Campaign Finance: wild card (July 6, 2015)

Peter Kinder (r) announces for the 2016 gubernatorial race (July 12, 2015)