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Monthly Archives: September 2008

Matt "baby" Blunt coulda been a contender…

12 Friday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

Alska, e-mail, government transparency, governor, Matt "baby" Blunt, missouri, republicans, Sarah Palin

There’s got to be a super secret republican governor’s handbook somewhere that tells them: “Whatever you do, don’t let anybody see your embarrassing e-mails.”

Alaskan Governor Sarah Palin (r – apparent heir to the legacy of Darth Cheney) has obviously read the handbook:

Palin e-mails off public record

by Rebecca Palsha

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

ANCHORAGE, Alaska – E-mails from the Palin administration are being withheld from the public and the governor is citing executive privilege.

With subject lines like “Fagan,” “Andrew Halcro” and even “Alaska Ear,” it makes some wonder how those topics could possibly be policy related; especially since those same e-mails were copied to the governor’s husband…

Heh. Just think what our world would be like if Missouri Governor Matt “baby” Blunt were the republican nominee for vice president. He has some of the same qualifications and most of the same ideology as Sarah Palin.

Judy Baker's First General Election TV Ad

12 Friday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

congressional race, Judy Baker, missouri, Ninth COngressional district

Judy Baker has an excellent new ad on the air right now. I know us bloggers generally like unconventional ads, but for a conventional ad, this one is just about perfect.

I Have A Question

12 Friday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

ballot law, missouri

This just in from the inbox:  A Missouri voter wants to know what the process is for replacing a candidate on the ballot for a statewide election. Not sure why but a fascinating question. Anybody know the answer?

What makes me really curious is why would someone want to replace a candidate on the ballot at this late date? Is it because they want to or the State of Missouri might have to?

To keep loss limits or not: a quandary

12 Friday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 6 Comments

Tags

Loss Limits, missouri, Proposition A

Anne Marie Moy did a brave thing last Monday: she walked into the Democrats’ den to speak in favor of the Yes for Schools First ballot measure (Proposition A). She tried to convince members of the West County Dems, many of whom are retired teachers, that they should vote for Prop A, which would repeal the loss limits imposed by Missouri voters, restrict the number of casinos to those already built or being built, and increase the casino tax by one percent. Since repealing the loss limit would, according to her, increase school funding in Missouri by more than $100 million, you’d think the audience would have been applauding; instead, they were underwhelmed.

Ms. Moy argued that the loss limits Missouri imposed when it legalized gambling in 1992 have been ineffective at controlling problem gambling, ineffective at anything except driving customers away from Missouri casinos. Not only do gamblers dislike the loss limit system, they really dislike the long lines that result from checking on whether they’ve exceeded the limit. Moy asserted that our casinos lose 30 percent of otherwise would-be visitors to casinos in other states because of the loss limit. She further asserted that Iowa repealed its loss limit law and that studies showed no increase in problem gambling in that state.

Discouraging people from doing their gambling in Missouri translates into lost revenue for our state and our schools, she said. Right now, the state gets about $780 million a year in revenue from casinos, and $300 million of that goes to school funding. But the casinos are facing increasingly stiff competition from other states. In 1992, only two nearby states had casinos, one in each state. Now we’re surrounded by states with casinos, and Kansas City, KS is slated to bring four new casinos online soon.    

Moy said several times that repealing the loss limits would increase school funding by more than $100 million dollars, and she assured us that the funds would be subject to the “ultimate safeguard” of requiring an annual audit by the state auditor to assure that the funds were being used as intended.

When the Q & A session started, though, the first question got right to the heart of the objections many audience members had: “What guarantee is there that the additional money that comes in will not be reduced by a similar amount from the regular general revenue budget?” That was the voice of experience. I remember thinking in 1992, when I was still teaching, that if we legalized gambling, the legislature would just do a double shuffle with funds and schools would be no better off. That’s exactly what happened.

Moy’s response:

“We’ve written our measure to make it tamper proof. There are several layers of protection written into the measure to ensure that all of the funds generated by Proposition A will go into, first, a special fund called the “Schools First, Elementary and Secondary Education Fund” so we can easily track it and see where it’s going. … If it weren’t for that special fund, it would make it easier for the money to be losst in the shuffle or in some Jefferson City shell game. But by directing it to this fund, we can see where it’s going, we can track it, and if any legislator would want to attempt to do something improper with that money, they’d have to do it in the light of day. We would be able to see it and track it and call them on it.”

I could almost see the audience thinking: “Umm-hmm. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.” And the woman sitting next to me said, “What? Fiddle with the will of the voters? You mean like they did when they overrode the conceal/carry legislation? Oh no, surely they’d never!”

Casinos have sunk more than three and half million dollars into passing Prop A, and another audience member, noting that taxing casinos is just another regressive way to take the burden off the wealthy and shift it to more vulnerable members of society, asked Ms. Moy who paid her salary. She had to admit that the casinos employ her. “I rest my case,” he said.

And a strong case it is.

But consider: if loss limits are kept, not only would we not get the $105-130 million for schools, but our casinos would continue to bleed and we’d get perhaps $45 million less than we’re used to. I guess we have to ask ourselves whether, in a state where a truly progressive income tax is about as likely any time soon as the Second Coming, is it wise to forfeit, say, $150 million a year for our schools?  

Democratic Attorney General primary recount certified by Secretary of State

12 Friday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 6 Comments

Tags

Attorney General, Chris Koster, Margaret Donnelly, recount

Robin Carnahan, the Missouri Secretary of State, has certified the results of the Democratic Attorney General primary recount. State Senator Chris Koster is the Democratic nominee:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Thursday, September 11, 2008

CARNAHAN CERTIFIES RECOUNTS FOR ATTORNEY GENERAL DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY AND STATE SENATE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES

Jefferson City, Missouri – Missouri Secretary of State Robin Carnahan today announced the certified results from the recounts of the Attorney General Democratic primary election and two State Senate Democratic primaries.

The final results of the Democratic Attorney General primary recount confirmed the victory of State Senator Chris Koster over Representative Margaret Donnelly. The difference between the two candidates after the recount is 829 votes, and the difference before the recount was 780 votes.

Final results of the recount are as follows:  Sen. Chris Koster, 118,934 votes; Rep. Margaret Donnelly, 118,105 votes; Rep. Jeff Harris 86,550 votes; and Molly Williams, 23,140 votes….

….The Democratic Attorney General primary recount is the second statewide recount conducted since Secretary Carnahan took office in 2005. In 2006, a recount of the Republican State Auditor primary confirmed the victory of Sandra Thomas over Jack Jackson.

— 30 —

[emphasis added]

Chris Koster’s campaign issued the following press release:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 11, 2008

KOSTER CALLS FOR UNITY; LOOKS FORWARD TO FALL CAMPAIGN

Senator Chris Koster, the Democratic nominee for Attorney General, today issued the following statement regarding the certification of recount results in the Attorney General primary election:

“Throughout a hard-fought primary campaign, Representatives Donnelly and Harris championed issues critical to Missouri’s future, ranging from important consumer protections to the prosecution of cyber crimes. I look forward to working with both of them and their supporters to carry those issues and others through the November election and into the Attorney General’s Office. It is now time to move forward as one strong, united Democratic ticket led by Missouri’s next governor, Jay Nixon, to deliver the change our state’s working families so desperately need.”

###

Update: Margaret Donnelly’s campaign sent out the following e-mail:

The Secretary of State has certified the results of the recount and the outcome is the same. I have called Chris Koster and congratulated him. Although we all would have liked a different ending to this story, I am proud of the campaign that we ran and the doors that we opened.

The friendship and support you have shown me over the past year have been at times overwhelming. During these past weeks of the recount, I continued to be humbled and gratified by the sacrifices made by so many in order to help.

I will now focus my efforts on making sure that Democrats from Barack Obama down to legislative candidates are elected. This is a critical election and I hope you will join me in doing everything we can to insure that we put Democrats in those positions.

I will never forget all of your many kindnesses and your efforts on behalf of my campaign.

Best regards,

Margaret Donnelly

In Memoriam

11 Thursday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

9/11, World Trade Center

May we do our utmost to prevent something like this from happening here or elsewhere in the world ever again.

UPDATE: As I receive words from state politicians, I’ll add them below the fold. And as always, feel free to add your thoughts in comments.

Kay Barnes:

Seven years ago today, our nation was attacked.

Fundamentalist Islamic terrorists chose to take thousands of innocent lives.

But in the midst of this tragedy, our nation became one.

Our first responders – police, firefighters, service men and women, and volunteers – showed great courage and resolve. Our elected officials, at all levels, worked to protect their communities. Our people rejected the fear and paralysis that our enemies attempted to inflict on us.

Today, we remember, and we honor, those who lost their lives and those who showed great courage. And again, we come together, as one nation.

As Americans, we must stand together with resolve to do everything in our power to ensure that a terrible tragedy such as this never happens again

To the world, and especially to those we lost: We shall never forget.

God bless you, and God bless America.

Biden in full cry

11 Thursday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 11 Comments

Tags

Joe Biden, missouri

Joe Biden kept the crowd with him on Tuesday, partly with red meat rhetoric. You’ll see his outrage in the clips below about health care and  about the Republican policy of offering deferred taxes to corporations that move operations to other countries. Humor played a part in his presentation, as well, as you’ll also see.

Another ingredient in his appeal is that he sympathizes with middle class people because of his own middle class background. He talked about going to his dad’s place of work, an auto agency, to see about borrowing the car for the prom and finding his dad out on the car lot. (Hey, my dad sold cars. You think I didn’t identify?) Anyway, his dad was visibly upset because he’d been turned down for a loan for Joe’s college education.

And finally, of course, the crowd loved Biden because they were fired up and ready to add their energy to his message.

On health care, he hits McCain hard for proposing to tax health care benefits as if they were income:

CNN/Time/Opinion Research poll: Missouri presidential head to head

11 Thursday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 3 Comments

Tags

McCain, missouri, Obama

Opinion Research (pdf) conducted a poll of 940 registered voters in Missouri for Time/CNN from September 7th through the 9th. The margin of error is 3%.

2/2a.  If Barack Obama and Joe Biden were the Democratic Party’s candidates and John McCain and Sarah Palin were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for — Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans?  (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?  (RANDOM ORDER)

Obama – 45%

McCain – 50%

Neither – 3%

Other – 1%

No Opinion – 1%

There’s a variation on the theme, too:

3/3a.  Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party’s candidate, John McCain as the Republican candidate, Bob Barr as the Libertarian party candidate, Cynthia McKinney as the Green party candidate and Ralph Nader, who is unaffiliated with a national party, who would you be more likely to vote for? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?  (RANDOM ORDER)

Obama – 44%

McCain – 48%

Barr – 2%

McKinney – *

Nader – 3%

None – 1%

Other – *

No Opinion – 1%

That’s interesting – with the fringe candidates in the mix McCain loses 2% and Obama only loses 1%.

Obama Keeping It Simple, but Brutal

11 Thursday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

The Obama campaign needs to have every Democrat repeat the same talking points over and over again.  I suggest the following:  Your neighbor has lost his job.  He no longer has health insurance.  The bank has foreclosed on his home.   YOU’RE NEXT!  You’re next if you elect McCain.

Why haven’t the Missouri Democrats pointed out that McCain made a profit from the Anheuser-Busch InBev deal?  Stress the fact that he didn’t care that a foreign company took over our beloved  beer company.  This point should be hammered every day.

Lipstick on a Pig: Embrace the meme (with Video)

11 Thursday Sep 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Today, several postings by Josh Marshall of TalkingPointsMemo demonstrated how good ideas are born, in this case culminating in a telling video that deserves attention since it models a particularly potent way to respond to the McCain/Palin campaign lies. Note how cleverly it capitalizes on the lipstick on a pig meme:

Humor can kill, truth can kill.  Put ’em together and watch out!

This video is the ultimate expression of Marshall’s disgust at the sleazy campaign that McCain/Palin are running.  In an post early today he observed that:

… what is already apparent is that John McCain is running the sleaziest, most dishonest and race-baiting campaign of our lifetimes. So let’s stopped being shocked and awed by every new example of it. It is undignified. What can we do? We’ve got a dangerously reckless contender for the presidency and a vice presidential candidate who distinguished her self by abuse of office even on the comparatively small political stage of Alaska. They’ve both embraced a level of dishonesty that disqualifies them for high office. Democrats owe it to the country to make clear who these people are. No apologies or excuses.

The second step in the development of this video came from Marshall’s reaction to the lipstick on a pig brouhaha.  His real insight was that we should not bother to dispute or discuss the charges, just embrace the image in the spirit it was meant by Obama–and capitalize on the publicity that McCain has engendered by making it into a logo.  An attack logo, perhaps?.  

To this end, Marshall has created a graphic that I really wish I had on a bumper sticker or car magnet.  I can’t figure out how to copy it here, so you will have to look at on Marshall’s site here.  You will recognize there the piggy from the video which I suspect we will see again in TPM videos if not elsewhere.

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