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Monthly Archives: November 2008

A blogger conference call with Howard Dean: "…the next state on my list is Texas."

19 Wednesday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

bloggers, DNC, Howard Dean

I participated in a blogger conference call with Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean today. He made brief opening remarks and then proceeded to take questions from bloggers in on the call:

Kombiz Lavasany: Hi guys, this is Kombiz Lavasany with the Democratic National Committee. I’ve got Governor Howard Dean here. I’m gonna go ahead and put him on and we’ll take your questions right afterwards.

Howard Dean: Hi guys. Which is the generic term, of course, meaning guys and gals. Let me just say, thank you for your incredible commitment to change. And your incredible commitment to making sure that ordinary Americans are empowered by empowering the grassroots. It was a great campaign, for a lot of reasons. And, as you may remember, there was a guy who ran for president in 2004 who had the slogan “you have the power”. Well, you really do have the power and you exercised it well. And I, and you helped a lot of people in the grassroots exercise it which is even more important. So I just wanted to say thanks. I am happy to take comments, questions, and field rude remarks. There are a couple of things I’m not gonna talk about, but you’ll find out what those are if you ask me any questions about ’em. So, with that we’ll just open…

…Question: Hi Governor Dean.

Howard Dean: Hi.

Question: This is Amy Morton down in Georgia. Hope you’re well. We’re not quite done with elections [crosstalk] in Georgia…

Howard Dean: No, you’re not. How’s the early voting going? The early voting reports were pretty good.

Question: Early voting is okay. It’s not uniform across the state, though. It did not begin at the same time.

Howard Dean: Uh huh.

Question: But I wanted to ask you about what the DNC’s efforts are regarding our senate race.

Howard Dean: We’ve got folks on the ground. The Obama people have kept all their offices open. There’s a fair amount of money going in. I think you, you’ve seen that in the ads. And this is a test for us. And it’s a difficult test. Because, it’s you know, this, as you know, this business of runoffs is really crazy. Everybody gets worked up and then they, there’s a let down. And, but, business is not over in Georgia.

Question: Right.

Howard Dean: So, we clearly need to energize the same voters that went out and voted for Barack Obama, to vote for Jim Martin. Now, Jim Martin, in my view is a wonderful, wonderful candidate. He’s a great human being. And anybody who voted for Barack Obama should be very proud to vote for Jim Martin. But, you know, this is a turnout game and there’s lots of work to be done. And this is, this is a test for us.

Question: Yes, and, and for us, too. And we certainly appreciate all the help the, that we’re getting in terms of field, from not just the DNC, but from volunteers all over the country. And just want to encourage everybody to encourage their readership to keep the good thoughts and volunteers and phone calls and all that coming to Georgia.

Howard Dean: And they’re knocking on doors, which is really…if we can get out the big vote that’s gonna make all the difference in the world.

Question: Yes, I agree. It’s what it’s all about. But thank you.

Howard Dean: Thank you…

…Question: Hi, Governor Dean. I have a question about the fifty state strategy. Comparing the electoral math from 2008 to 2004 and 2000, it’s evident that Barack Obama over performed, out performed John Kerry and Al Gore in most states. But, there, there are regions in Appalachia and the inland south where he significantly under performed. I was wondering if you think that is any way a failure of the fifty, fifty state strategy or if that’s the result of not enough commitment on, on Senator Obama’s part, to campaign in those regions or what you think about that.

Howard Dean: The truth is we don’t know. Until we dissect all the exit polls we’re not gonna know. I, let me just tell you about my own experience in this is. People always want to dissect campaigns after they’re over, whether you win or lose. People did this when I ran my campaign. I, I hadn’t really figured it out until about eighteen months later, what the real problems with my campaign were. So, you know, clearly we would prefer to do better in the Appalachian regions. But the win in Florida, which is the most complex state in the country, to win in North Carolina and Virginia, and to win in the west is a huge, huge improvement over our position and playing defense in those states in 2012 is going to be very, very good for the Democratic Parties in those regions. So, again, I don’t know why we didn’t do better in the Appalachian regions, but I, over time we’ll figure that out. And, and we’ll try to go back in and do better the next time. But, again, I think the real story, at least for me, were, were Florida, the, the crack in the Confederacy, for the first time in a long time, other than a couple of states with Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter. And, and the most importantly of all to me, not from a sort of a morale point of view, because the south is incredibly important that way, was, and so is Florida, but, was the west. Because we started out four years ago with a strategy that the road to the White House leads through the west and that you could win without Ohio or Florida if you had to if you could take those western states. We took all of the ones we intended to take except for Arizona, for obvious reasons. And we added Iowa to make up for that. And, and that’s very, very important. I think we can be a permanent presence in the west and I think we can be a permanent presence now in Virginia and North Carolina. And I tell you what the next state on my list is Texas. We’re getting closer and closer there. I think we can win there, too…

Part 2 of our transcript will follow.

Is this it for our counting fun?

19 Wednesday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

The results

U.S. President And Vice President

Precincts Reporting 3533 of 3533

John McCain, Sarah Palin  REP 1,445,022  49.4%  

Barack Obama, Joe Biden  DEM 1,440,667  49.3%  

Bob Barr, Wayne A. Root  LIB 11,376  .4%  

Chuck Baldwin, Darrell Castle  CST 8,193  .3%  

Ralph Nader, Matt Gonzalez  IND 17,801  .6%  

Cynthia McKinney, Rosa Clemente  WI 437  .0%  

Total Votes   2,923,496

The margin of McCain’s lead is 4355.

The MO SOS site doesn’t have the JCEB results which are +31 McCain and +35 Obama (and plus +2 Nader, +1 Barr, +1 Baldwin). So the margin is at 4351.

So, where were votes gained this afternoon?

Obama gained 102 votes from Boone County, lost 2 votes from Carter County, gained 12 votes from Dunklin County, gained 4 votes from Howell County, gained 6 votes from Pike County, lost two votes from Pulaski county, gained 2 votes from Reynolds County, gained 20 votes from St. Charles County, and gained 7 votes from Taney County.

Plus 149 votes.

McCain gained 46 votes in Boone County, gained 2 votes in Carter county, gained 10 votes in Dunklin County, gained 8 votes in Howell County, gained 3 votes in Lawrence County, gained 6 votes in Pike County, gained 1 vote in Pulaski County, gained 1 vote in Reynolds County, gained 12 votes in St. Charles County, and gained 22 votes in Taney County.

Plus 111 votes.

Barr and Baldwin picked up one vote each. Ralph Nader picked up 4 votes. Cynthia McKinney lost 65 votes. She picked up write-ins from Boone (8 votes) and Shannon County (1 vote). But she ‘lost’ credit for 74 write-ins in Crawford and Douglas Counties.

I’m not entirely sure if the counting is over. Because McKinney is not credited with a single write-in from STL City or STL County. Judging by her results from KC (5 write-ins), she’s due for at least 6 write-ins from the combination of the city and county. Also, McKinney will probably drop below 100 write-ins when the JCEB reports the write-ins (they haven’t, yet.. when you take out the uncertified write-in candidates, the JCEB write-in total WILL drop from 394 to around 4.)

So.. someone should nudge the media to call Missouri around 20 minutes into their show. Being the Bellweather was fun, but i’m sure we Missourians can make the most out of being “The closest state in the Nation” (never mind that Obama won by 6, we need a new gimmick so that we don’t get our volunteers sent to Iowa in November 2012)

Democrats Work: Yes We Cans!

18 Tuesday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

“This victory alone is not the change we seek. It is only the chance for us to make that change.”
President-elect Barack Obama

Across the country, food banks are struggling to keep up with increased demand.  And with the holidays approaching, Democrats Work is doing something about it.  We need your help.

Today, we are launching the Yes We Cans Virtual Food Drive to help you donate to the food bank in your community.

In Missouri we are helping the St. Louis Area Food Bank, Central Missouri Food Bank, Boot Heel Food Bank, Ozarks Food Harvest, America’s Second Harvest of Greater St. Joseph, and the Harvesters Community Food Network.

Here’s how it works:

1.    Click here to go to our Yes We Cans Virtual Food Drive website. 

2.    Put food or cash contributions in your shopping cart.

3.    When you check out, you will be able to designate one of over 200 food banks that will receive your donation.

No matter where you live, you can give to a food bank in your area.  Put turkey on the table in Colorado or fill a child’s bowl with mac and cheese in Atlanta.  Together, by making donations through Yes We Cans, we are giving food banks the power to buy in bulk and provide more food than each of us could donate individually. 

This election was about bringing positive change to our country.  We don’t have to wait for others to act: we can make a difference in our communities year-round.  Thanks to you, we are putting our values into action when they are needed the most. 

Yes We Cans!

Also! — If you want to volunteer or deliver goods directly to your local food bank, you can find the location of one near you by visiting Feeding America.  And please send an email to info@democratswork.org so we can keep track of what the Democrats Work community is contributing this holiday season. 

Sign Wars

18 Tuesday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

McCain sign, missouri, Obama sign

I walked by these houses today, two days after filming, to find the Obama sign still up and the McCain sign gone. I’m not sure whether this means that the McCain fans decided to graciously blink first or whether their droopy looking sign gave up the ghost.

4393

18 Tuesday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

As of Tuesday Morning

John McCain, Sarah Palin REP 1,444,911 49.43%  

Barack Obama, Joe Biden DEM 1,440,518 49.28%  

Bob Barr, Wayne A. Root LIB 11,375 .39%  

Chuck Baldwin, Darrell Castle CST 8,192 .28%  

Ralph Nader, Matt Gonzalez IND 17,797 .61%  

Cynthia McKinney, Rosa Clemente WI 502 .02%  

Total Votes  2,923,295

The changes this morning

Obama gains… 2 from Andrew, 7 from Buchanan, 41 from Clay, 5 from Franklin, 493 from Kansas City, and 3 from Linn

McCain gains 31 from Clay, 4 from Franklin, 125 from Kansas City, and 1 from Linn.

The fact that there are no McKinney write-ins reported out of STL City or County may suggest magic provisionals are still pending.

The percentage margin is the smallest since 1908 (when 0.09 [629 votes] separated Taft and Bryan). The vote margin is still larger than 1956 [3,984 votes]. McCain has recieved the second highest vote total in Missouri presidential history, Obama the third, running behind Bush’s 1,455,713 in 2004.

Inquiring minds want to know…

18 Tuesday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 4 Comments

Tags

Claire McCaskill, Homeland Security, Joe Lieberman, Senate

…Senator McCaskill, were you one of the thirteen?

Lieberman Retains Chairmanship By 42-13 Margin

It’s Official: Lieberman Won

Lieberman Survives on 42 to 13 Vote

I hope so. Especially since oversight is so important to you.

4783

18 Tuesday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Your results as of Monday the 17th:

John McCain, Sarah Palin  REP 1,444,750  49.43%  

Barack Obama, Joe Biden  DEM 1,439,967  49.27%  

Bob Barr, Wayne A. Root  LIB 11,374  .39%  

Chuck Baldwin, Darrell Castle  CST 8,192  .28%  

Ralph Nader, Matt Gonzalez  IND 17,797  .61%  

Cynthia McKinney, Rosa Clemente  WI 489  .02%  

Total Votes   2,922,569

Eventually they’re going to certify the numbers with provisionals added. I think it’ll be tomorrow or sometime this week.

As for what is now in

Greene County: 290 McCain, 253 Obama, 2 Barr, 3 Baldwin, 5 Nader, 2 McKinney

Howard County: 19 McCain, 16 Obama, 1 Barr, 2 Nader

Jasper County: 33 McCain, 12 Obama

Jefferson County: 11 McCain, 10 Obama, 1 McKinney

Lafayette County: 11 Obama, 9 McCain, and McKinney recieved 0 write-ins, instead of the 57 that was reported before

Stone County: 10 McCain, 4 Obama

McKinney also lost votes in Lincoln, Maries, and McDonald counties as local officials made sure to note that not every write-in was cast for the Green Party nominee.

I’m pretty sure we’ll see KC provisionals tomorrow, along with the fine-tuned Boone County results, and maybe some STL stuff.

It's going to be a long holiday season

17 Monday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

symbolism

American Family Association:

Because nothing says “Christmas” like a burning cross in your front yard

…I pulled up the picture on my phone, showed it to my Jewish friend Matt, and asked him what it was. He says “a burning cross.” Nice…

From Balloon Juice:

…Yes, thanks to the AFA, Christians everywhere can have their very own burning cross in their front yard for a mere $81.85, plus shipping and handling. Oddly enough, this does not seem to be a big seller in African American communities…

I showed the photo to my spouse without comment. She immediately said, “It’s a burning cross. They’re not serious, are they? That’s some sort of spoof, right?”

It’s going to be a long holiday season.

Update:

From They gave us a republic…

…How often have you thought that what your home really needs to maximize curb appeal is the image of a burning cross?  Well fret no more!  The American Family Association is there for you!  For just $81.85, you can have the Original Christmas Cross glowing on your lawn, a reminder to all your friends and neighbors that Easter is the reason for the season!…

If that's the case, Newsweek, we'll get all their stuff

17 Monday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 5 Comments

Tags

media criticism, Newsweek

Of all the stoopidity:

BELIEF WATCH

Lisa Miller

Is Obama the Antichrist?

The winning lottery number in Illinois was 666, which, as everyone knows, is the sign of the Beast.

Published Nov 15, 2008

From the magazine issue dated Nov 24, 2008…

…On his Web site, he has something called the Rapture Index, a calculation based on signs and prophecy of the proximity of the end. According to Strandberg, any number over 160 means “fasten your seat belts.” Obama’s win pushed the index to 161…

Hmmm. I wonder what they’re saying about the stock market?

Just perfect – Newsweek, the Faux News Channel of print…

4716

17 Monday Nov 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 3 Comments

Your Presidential margin as of Monday Morning, the 17th

John McCain, Sarah Palin REP 1,444,367 49.43%  

Barack Obama, Joe Biden DEM 1,439,651 49.27%  

Bob Barr, Wayne A. Root LIB 11,371 .39%  

Chuck Baldwin, Darrell Castle CST 8,189 .28%  

Ralph Nader, Matt Gonzalez IND 17,790 .61%  

Cynthia McKinney, Rosa Clemente WI 661 .02%  

Total Votes  2,922,029

Where was the movement?

Not in provisionals from STL or KC.

But Obama picked up votes in Callaway County, moving the county from 11388-7578 McCain (58.95-39.23) to 11388-7850 McCain (58.23-40.07).

Also, McKinney didn’t win 162 write-ins in Cass and 28 write-ins in Oregon. She won 0 write-ins there. I’m pretty sure she didn’t pick up 37 write-ins in Crawford or Douglas Counties. Or 57 write-ins in Lafayette County.

So, the 6300 magic provisionals are still out there.

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