Your Presidential margin as of Monday Morning, the 17th
John McCain, Sarah Palin REP 1,444,367 49.43%
Barack Obama, Joe Biden DEM 1,439,651 49.27%
Bob Barr, Wayne A. Root LIB 11,371 .39%
Chuck Baldwin, Darrell Castle CST 8,189 .28%
Ralph Nader, Matt Gonzalez IND 17,790 .61%
Cynthia McKinney, Rosa Clemente WI 661 .02%
Total Votes 2,922,029
Where was the movement?
Not in provisionals from STL or KC.
But Obama picked up votes in Callaway County, moving the county from 11388-7578 McCain (58.95-39.23) to 11388-7850 McCain (58.23-40.07).
Also, McKinney didn’t win 162 write-ins in Cass and 28 write-ins in Oregon. She won 0 write-ins there. I’m pretty sure she didn’t pick up 37 write-ins in Crawford or Douglas Counties. Or 57 write-ins in Lafayette County.
So, the 6300 magic provisionals are still out there.
Missouri’s percentage for the national victor in their state (and the national average)
2008: 49.27% (52.7%)
2004: 53.3% (50.7%)
2000: 50.4% (47.9%)
1996: 47.5% (49.2%)
1992: 44.1% (43%)
1988: 51.8% (53.4%)
1984: 60% (58.8%)
1980: 51.2% (50.75%)
1976: 51.1% (50.1%)
1972: 62.3% (60.7%)
1968: 44.9% (43.4%)
1964: 64.05% (61.05%)
1960: 50.3% (49.7%)
1956: 49.9% (57.4%)
1952: 50.7% (55.2%)
1948: 58.1% (49.55%)
We’ve at least been in the margin of error for 52 years. But being a bellweather after the 1950s is remarkable in itself.
And we don’t even have any good county streaks going on. Jefferson County has voted for the national popular vote winner in every election since 1972. And that’s it. Iron County voted for Clinton twice, Bush twice, and Obama. But they also voted for Dukakis and Carter twice. Iron County is also the only county to go for Obama that didn’t go for Gore.
the results?