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SurveyUSA released a 705 sample poll of “likely voters” in Missouri on September 25th which was in the field from September 23rd through the 24th. The poll runs head to head match ups in the governor race between Attorney General Jay Nixon (D) and Kenny Hulshof (r) (and the two leading other minor party candidates on the ballot). The margin of error is 3.8%.

The poll was sponsored by KCTV in Kansas City.

Missouri voters will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Kenny Hulshof? Democrat Jay Nixon? Libertarian Andrew Finkenstadt? Or Constitution Party candidate Gregory Thompson?

All

Kenny Hulshof (R) – 37%

Jay Nixon (D)- 55%

Andrew Finkenstadt (L) – 2%

Gregory Thompson (CP) – 2%

Undecided – 5%

Some of the crosstabs:

Party Affiliation

Democrats [38% of sample]

Kenny Hulshof (R) – 11%

Jay Nixon (D) – 83%

Andrew Finkenstadt (L) – 1%

Gregory Thompson (CP) – 2%

Undecided – 3%

republicans [32% of sample]

Kenny Hulshof (R) – 72%

Jay Nixon (D) – 23%

Andrew Finkenstadt (L) – 1%

Gregory Thompson (CP) – 2%

Undecided – 2%

Independents [23% of sample]

Kenny Hulshof (R) – 34%

Jay Nixon (D) – 49%

Andrew Finkenstadt (L) – 6%

Gregory Thompson (CP) – 2%

Undecided – 9%

Gender

Male [50% of sample]

Kenny Hulshof (R) – 39%

Jay Nixon (D) – 53%

Andrew Finkenstadt (L) – 4%

Gregory Thompson (CP) – 2%

Undecided – 3%

Female [50% of sample]

Kenny Hulshof (R) – 35%

Jay Nixon (D) – 56%

Andrew Finkenstadt (L) – 1%

Gregory Thompson (CP) – 2%

Undecided – 7%

Not much of a gender gap. Then again, when you’re down by 18 points forty or so days out all the “sub-gaps” get subsumed by stark reality.