Public Policy Polling (PPP) conducted a survey (pdf) from August 13th through August 17th of 750 likely General Election voters in Missouri. The results were released on August 20th. The margin of error is 3.6%.
Q1 The candidates for President are Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
McCain/Obama
All
McCain – 50%
Obama – 40%
Undecided – 9%Men
McCain – 53%
Obama – 39%
Undecided – 8%Women
McCain – 47%
Obama – 42%
Undecided – 11%
The sample appears a bit heavy on republicans – they constitute 38% of the interviews with Democrats at 37% and “Other” at 24%.
McCain/Obama by Party
Democrat
McCain – 15%
Obama – 78%
Undecided – 8%Republican
McCain – 87%
Obama – 9%
Undecided – 4%Other
McCain – 46%
Obama – 33%
Undecided – 21%
Whoa. That’s a huge percentage of undecideds among the “others”.
PPP also ran various statewide races head to head:
Q2 The candidates for Governor are Republican Kenny Hulshof and Democrat Jay Nixon. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
Hulshof/Nixon
All
Hulshof – 42%
Nixon – 48%
Undecided – 11%Men
Hulshof – 46%
Nixon – 45%
Undecided – 9%Women
Hulshof – 37%
Nixon – 51%
Undecided – 12%Hulshof/Nixon by Party
Democrat
Hulshof – 11%
Nixon – 80%
Undecided – 9%Republican
Hulshof – 76%
Nixon – 18%
Undecided – 6%Other
Hulshof – 34%
Nixon – 45%
Undecided – 21%
Again, that’s a chunk of undecideds in the “others”.
It’s still “the economy, stupid” among voters:
Q10 I am going to name 7 issues. Which of these is most important to you?
War in Iraq – 15%
Education – 7%
Economy and Jobs – 47%
Taxes – 4%
Moral and Family Values – 13%
Health Care – 8%
Immigration – 5%
Other – 1%
[emphasis added]
The other statewide races are also interesting. It would appear that television is key for those down ticket races.
And that poll is here.
Color me skeptical that there’s more Republicans now than in 2004.