Survey USA poll released a poll of various presidential match ups in Missouri on December 18, 2007. The sample was of 547 registered voters and had a margin of error of 4.3%. The poll was sponsored by KCTV in Kansas City.
The match ups:
Clinton – 49%
Giuliani – 43%
Undecided – 8%Clinton – 49%
Huckabee – 47%
Undecided – 4%Clinton – 50%
McCain – 46%
Undecided – 4%Clinton – 51%
Romney – 41%
Undecided – 8%
Obama – 47%
Giuliani – 42%
Undecided – 11%Obama – 45%
Huckabee – 47%
Undecided – 8%Obama – 47%
McCain – 44%
Undecided – 9%Obama – 49%
Romney – 39%
Undecided – 12%
Missouri is in play. It’ll be interesting to see if the polling match ups (and numbers) change after the Iowa caucuses.
to see if, after the Iowa caucuses, Survey USA adds John Edwards to those possible matchups. I would think that in Missouri he’d do better than either of the other two.
although of course within the MOE in both cases (as are they all, except against Romney, I should point out). But leaving aside MOE, I find it interesting that Obama polls the worst against Huckabee.
I know Huckabee has no money or organization and is unlikely to win the nomination. But … stranger things have happened. So let’s assume that he manages to somehow get the nomination just for argument’s sake.
I think one of his biggest advantages is a positive media narrative (at least so far). The media LIKES him. And I’ve said for a long time that if he gets the nomination he could beat the Democrat if he wins the media narrative in the same way that Bush beat Gore and Kerry because he won the media narrative. I still think I’m right on that. He may not pull it out and win, but I think he’s got the best shot of all the Republicans.
I also said that if by Feb. 5 it looked like Huckabee was a real threat I’d have to take into consideration the likely media narrative for the Democratic candidates. The media doesn’t like Hillary or Edwards but they seem to like Obama. On the other hand, that might shift coming out of Iowa. And based on this polling the media narrative on Obama thus far hasn’t helped him against Huckabee in Missouri.
In any event, it’s going to be a close one in Missouri as always.