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Tag Archives: Election 2016

Fun with numbers

09 Monday Jan 2017

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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Claire McCaskill, Election 2016, missouri, republicans, Voter apathy, voter suppression

In an earlier post today I noted in passing that Trump’s victory in Missouri was not exactly a landslide and did not represent a majority of eligible voters in Missouri. I laid out the numbers in a footnote to support my casual assertion to that effect:

Missouri’s had 4,109,936 registered voters as of 2012; only 2,808,605 Missourians voted in 2016 – and of those, only 1,594,511 voted for Trump – 39% of the eligible voters in Missouri delivered the state to Trump.

After I made this observation, I began to think about  what it might signify and a couple of things occurred to me:

  • Everyone takes it as a given that in order to survive the red-wave, Missouri Democrats like Claire McCaskill have to walk down the center line, balancing their few deviations leftwards with genuflections towards the right side of the road. But could this careful political parsing be why so many Missourians are politically disengaged? Could it be that lots of Missourians are staying away from the polls because they don’t want to vote the strict all guns, no gays ticket, but they just don’t see that there’s a real alternative? Or at least an alternative that makes its presence known. Could an overly cautious Claire McCaskill be stifling the voter enthusiasm that might reward a more principled progressive stance?
  • Shouldn’t folks like McCaskill and other state Democrats be dong more to combat voter suppression – especially since it’s poised to take off big-time now that the GOP vote suppression gang is running the state show? How about greeting the voter ID perfecting Jay Ashcroft and Josh Hawlely with a lawsuit?

Numbers tell stories, and the story they tell about Missouri’s voter turnout is one of disengagement and apathy that will only be augmented by the machinations on the part of Missouri’s Republican political establishment to keep Democrats away from the polls. Lest you doubt, there’s ample evidence that the GOP voter fraud concerns are directed at keeping as many Democrats from voting as possible. And that’s bad, but just as bad is if the efforts of Grundy-pandering Democrats to work the political room are having the same effect.

Democrats are limping toward the Trumpocalypse

17 Saturday Dec 2016

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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Claire McCaskill, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Emanuel Cleaver, Joe Donnelly, missouri, politics

Missouri Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D-5) was pretty emphatic that he isn’t planning to “attend any meeting in any hotel or elsewhere to plot the failure of the President-elect.” The reference, of course, is to the infamous meeting that took place shortly after the inauguration of Barack Obama wherein congressional GOPers laid out the plan for the eight years of obstruction that followed. Some other wannabe high-minded types, so-called “centrist” Democrats, however, do seem to have gotten together in order to coordinate the rhetoric they’ll use to explain why, like Cleaver, they’re going to roll over and play nice whenever they can in the four years ahead.

Missouri’s Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill replied to a letter I wrote her asking that she support an independent investigation into Russian tampering with the last election by informing me that, “no matter who wins or loses, elected officials have an obligation to serve all constituents, not just their supporters.” She added that she is proud of her “record of working across the aisle to help all Missourians.” Fast upon the heels of McCaskill’s response, I heard Senator Joe Donnelly (D-Indiana) claim in an interview with NPR’s Audie Cornish that his “job isn’t to represent the Democrat Party or the Republican Party. It’s to represent Hoosier families.”

Do you see why I think there’s some coordination? Same message, slightly different words, intended to let these timid souls off the hook. Because these two responsible adults have taken the moral high road they can condescend to childish democratic voters and, at the same time, fiddle while Trump puts the match to Rome.

There are, however, two misleading claims packed into their rhetorical stance:

(1) The voters have spoken, but was Trump the message?:

  • Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes – the largest margin ever by which a candidate has won the popular vote but lost the electoral college. Trump’s electoral college win in the three states that put him over the edge was razor thin, less than 80,000 votes in all three states together.
  • The legitimacy of the election is questionable given the covert actions of Russia, directed by Putin, and confirmed by both the CIA and FBI, to aid Trump. If Trump or his campaign entourage were complicit in the Russian meddling – which may be the case – they were guilty of treason and he is unfit to hold the office of President.
  • There was clear-cut evidence of voter suppression in crucial swing states.

(2) The preferences of Trump voters should be honored because he won the election and Democrats should try to cooperate with Republicans:

  • These Democrats were presumably elected by folks who knew their party affiliation, which means they were elected because they stand for certain values and principles that they are expected to embody in their legislative demeanor.
  • These principles are not compatible with the idea of bipartisanship when the other party is as ruthless, ideologically rigid, and as corrupt as the Republican party has shown itself to be. High-minded ideals are useless when the other guys come armed with brass knuckles and shivs, determined to protect and extend their territory.
  • Many of the folks who were energized by Trump’s explicitly nationalist and white supremacist messages were overt racists and covert racist sympathizers – folks who were driven into a frenzy by America’s first black president. Should these voices be honored?
  • Other Trump supporters are folks who were misled by Trump’s populist rhetoric – which is already belied by the elitist wrecking crew he is assembling around him. Isn’t deference to a president who won by lying abut his intentions a bad thing?
  • Trump and his cabinet mafia are promising to destroy vitally important institutions – Medicare, Social Security, Obamacare, public schools – the list goes and on and on – and will ultimately hurt every one of us, including many Trump voters. Will bipartisanship in these cases really help everyday families? Have our so-very-nice Democrats ever heard of Neville Chamberlain and the Munich Pact?

An article about Obama’s weak response to RussiaGate at Slate Magazine has the subtitle “he [i.e. Obama] has his dignity and his faith in civic norms. Republicans have the government.” The same could be said abut the weak response to the Trumpocalypse on the part of several centrist Democrats.They’ll stand by their one-sided principles and we’ll pay the price. They don’t seem to realize that the rules of the game, civic and political norms, if  you will, were broken over the past eight years and all the king’s men and all the king’s horses can’t put them back together again.

There are Democrats who are rising to the challenge, calling for an independent investigations of RussiaGate, or readying challenges to Trump’s mostly insane cabinet picks. Elizabeth Warren and  few others have filed a bill that would force Trump to “disclose and divest” businesses that represent conflicts of interest. Legitimate and consistent opposition that focuses on true abuses should not excite the scruples of our more easily intimidated Democrats – if they really mean what they say about representing the needs of their constituents.

Which is why Missouri Democrats need to know if Claire McCaskill will stand up for them, or if she intends to continue busying herself with minor bean-counting issues, good in their way, inoffensive, but in the face of our current challenges, almost irrelevant. If she prefers to confine her activities to avenues that don’t rile the short-fused Trump supporters, and goes AWOL when she is most needed, perhaps she should have to depend on Trump supporters come next election.

Of course, that would require Missouri Democrats to be as hard-headed as Missouri Trump supporters – when Republican Rep. Ann Wagner turned up her too-nice nose at the prospect of Donald Trump, they threatened to vote for Bill Otto, her Democratic opponent, instead. And they were willing to carry through; I saw signs for Otto go up in yards sporting Trump signs. And guess what? Wagner snapped into line. Keep it in mind.

*Edited slightly for clarity. Third bullet point added under (1). (12/17, 4:23 pm)

Ann Wagner brings her comedy routine to the Post-Dispatch

18 Friday Nov 2016

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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#nevertrump, Ann Wagner, Election 2016

The St. Louis Post-Dispatach’s Chuck Raasch interviewed Rep. Ann Wagner (R-2) about her take on the election of Donald Trump, a candidate she declined to support until threatened with retribution by ardent Trumpies. In response, she made a few funnies:

  • When asked if she was stepping back from her congressional leadership position to ready for a run against Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill, Wagner demurred, noting that “Missourians were tired of campaigns.” And there’s the explanation for the past two campaigns during which she refused to debate or engage on the issues – at least, out in the open, where she might have gotten get some troublesome questions. She was just trying not to fatigue the delicate Missouri psyche.
  • Wagner noted that she was eager to help the GOP “repeal Obamacare and replace it with something that Republican leaders have yet to formulate.” What’s funny about this – apart from her preference for a plan that GOPers “have yet to formulate”? Simply that Obamacare is a Republican plan. Caused Mitt Romney, who adopted a nearly identical plan in Massachusetts, some serious grief after Republicans decided that they couldn’t accept their own ideas when promoted by a black Democrat. Sadly, GOPers aren’t likely to have much left in their healthcare plan inventory if they continue to pretend that Obamacare is anathema.
  • Wagner denied Democratic claims that GOP rule is going to mean a “return to a lax regulatory environment.” Then she listed all the consumer protection regulations she looks forward to helping deep-six.
  • Wagner also thinks Obama’s clean air regulations are solely responsible for the demise of coal industry jobs. Evidently she knows nothing about the way the vaunted GOP free market works, the prevalence of natural gas, or the automation of coal mining. Or about the importance of clean air.
  • Funniest of all? Wagner declares that she is “most excited and focused on the opportunity to work with President Trump and this unified Republican government.” Guess she hasn’t been reading the news lately. Good luck with that “unified” Republican government thing.

Looks like Wagner, though, is ready to play ball. If there is going to be a Republican civil war, Wagner wants to let the newly ascendant GOP fascist wing know that she isn’t going to be on the front lines fighting for the other side any more, principles or no principles – she likely had her fill of angry authoritarians carrying big metaphorical sticks after Traitorstotrump.com came after her. And anyway, the financial industry folks she really works for are finally probably going to get their way – down with Dodd-Frank – so it’s all good.

*Last paragraph slightly revised for clarity.

Post mortems and road maps for navigating the Trumpocalypse

15 Tuesday Nov 2016

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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Donald Trump, Election 2016

We all know that the election of Donald Trump means heartbreaking times ahead. Racists are feeling entitled, authoritarians are readying their clubs, Republicans are moving in for the kill they’ve been waiting for since FDR gave us the New Deal, lobbyists are licking their chops, and rich, rightwing oligarchs are settling down in their lavish lairs, a snifter of brandy in hand, and a satisfying sense of a job well done. Many Americans will suffer.

How did it happen? And what can we do?

Kevin Drum suggests that we can’t really know definitively what happened yet if we ever can. But he nevertheless lines up “all the usual suspects” in order to consider whether or not they actually played a role in the Trumpocalypse, and if so, how much of a role. He looks at the contribution of FBI Director Comey, what he calls whitelash, white working class anomie, racism, third parties, the “fundamentals,” the media, sexism, millennials, turn-out, voter suppression and the electoral college. He concludes that:

Once again: this is my best take on all of these theories right now. But the actual evidence is still weak. CPS data won’t be available for years, and in the meantime we have exit poll data—which is suggestive but not much more—and a lot of people looking at county and precinct level data, trying to tease out who voted for whom. We’ll eventually know more, but it will take a while. Until then, it’s probably best not to be too sure of whatever your own pet theory is.

Except for James Comey, of course. That guy sucks.

Personally, I think we can also be pretty sure about the role played by the electoral college. It sucks too.

Peter Drier at The American Prospect also gives us his take on some of the usual suspects: Comey, voter suppression, media bias, and rightwing money, and concludes that they were all in it together. He takes it a bit further, though and argues that the future looks better thanks to demographics, and what polls show to be a preference for progressive policies among voters – but only if we get it together. He concludes:

This is no time for liberals and progressives, Bernie Sanders supporters and Clinton followers, to point fingers. This is a time for cooperation and strategizing. Unions, Planned Parenthood, the Sierra Club, the NAACP, community organizing groups, LGBT activists, and wealthy progressives must collaborate. Progressives must raise the money—hundreds of millions of dollars—to send an army of paid organizers to key swing states and House districts now. We can’t just parachute organizers into swing states a few months before the next election. We need to build on and expand the base by organizing ordinary people around local and national issues. We need to ramp up protest and engage in civil disobedience to stop Donald Trump’s initiatives. And we need to register voters, so they’ll be “fired up and ready to go” for the midterm elections in two years and the presidential race in 2020.

In an article published in the Washington Post, Harold Pollack elaborates on what it means to take to heart Drier’s admonition to “mourn, then organize.” He identifies thirteen steps that progressives need to follow in order to reclaim our democracy. They run the gamut from fighting voter suppression and supporting good journalism, to not allowing the GOP and compliant media to normalize the Great Orange Atrocity. His final prescription:

Chin up. I remain heartbroken. I’m also oddly exhilarated, girded for the coming fights. There is a clarity to these coming battles. We must remove a grifting demagogue from the White House. The stakes could hardly be higher. Those of us who oppose him have one another. We have much of the country, too, which I suspect will soon experience massive buyers’ remorse.

So cheer up, progressives, and let’s work. It won’t be easy. Important things rarely are. We can weave our own silver lining within the dark cloud that now hovers over our nation.

Read all these articles; they aren’t that long. They’ll make you feel better, ready to get to work. If you read only one, however, read the last. Dr. Pollack has prescribed just the right medicine.

The end of the game

09 Wednesday Nov 2016

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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Donald Trump, Election 2016

A vulgar, colossally ignorant, TV reality show host will be the next president of the United States. The Republican mafia rode his coattails to retain control of the Congress, insuring that he will face little or no opposition in the exercise of his whims as long as their donors get what they want – low taxes and compliant government regulatory agencies. The obscenely rich folks who have for many years been planting the seeds that grew into the coming Trump administration may find the blooms they have fostered garish, but they will get a Supreme Court that will insure that the incipient American oligarchy will keep on keeping on. And the evangelicals will probably get to restore back-alley abortion.

Years ago I grieved when Nixon was elected President. And he did set back the progressive program that the two Roosevelt’s had put into motion. But we survived.

Later, I was dumbfounded when Americans elected Bush Junior. Twice. And he was worse than we had envisioned. He lied to us and embroiled us in an expensive and unnecessary war that we are still fighting in one way or another today. He crashed our economy, leaving millions of Americans worse off than they were before. But we survived.

This evening I learned that Donald Trump would be our next president and I am still trembling.

Americans elected the candidate of the Ku Klux Klan and gave him the power to mete out justice.

Americans elected Putin’s useful fool – or his active accomplice – and gave him the power to direct our foreign policy.

Americans elected an unstable, vindictive authoritarian and gave him the power to declare war and martial law.

Americans elected a failed businessman and shameless grifter and gave him power over our economy.

Americans elected a man facing indictment for fraud and possibly for sexual assault and installed him as a role model for our children.

Markos Moulitsas of the Daily Kos says we have to regroup, keep on fighting and he’s right. But I’ve been fighting in one way or another since I was seventeen and it’s been many, many years of struggle. It hurts to see so much that we and our parents gained lost little by little until tonight when the country fell victim to the Father Coughlin of our time. It’s hard not to mourn for the American Experiment which may, finally, be irredeemably debased.

But  it may not make that much difference in the long run. After all, Americans elected a scientific illiterate who is too ignorant to understand what he doesn’t know, and gave him the power to determine energy policy during a crucial period of climate change that, if mishandled, could threaten global survival.

Cross posted to Occasional Planet.

Addendum:  When I was describing above the escalating horror I experienced with each destructive GOP administration over the past fifty or so years, I somehow forgot to mention Ronnie Raygun. That fact, in itself, and the psychological state of denial that it suggests, is damming enough. The old New Deal just barely made it out alive, but it and we survived. There’s no more to say.

Articles to read and pass around on the weekend before election 2016

05 Saturday Nov 2016

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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Donald Trump, Election 2016, Emails, Hillary Clinton

It’s likely that most people have made up their mind about who they are voting for by now. But you may have noticed that the reasons some folks give for their decisions don’t inspire confidence in their level of information or even their seriousness – references, for example,  to Clinton’s emails, or Trump as a change agent are rampant but rarely convincing. Many of the people who speak this way aren’t able to accurately describe the problem with the Clinton emails. Nor can many tell you why they believe Trump’s claims that he can fix a problem he can’t define accurately. Well, there’s some last minute help if you want to gather your facts.

Clinton’s Emails

Vox has got the goods on all the silly allegations surrounding the putative email scandals. An article by Matthew Iglesias, descriptively titled “The real Clinton Email Scandal is that a Bullshit Story has Dominated the Campaign,” covers every angle of the current email derangement syndrome. Yglesias deals with Clinton’s reasons for using a private email account and personal server; the transparency issues that have been raised in the media, including the famous 33,000 deleted emails; general government email practices and regulations along with what he terms the classification “red-herring.” He concludes:

… Clinton wasn’t even breaking with an informal precedent. The very worst you can say is that, faced with an annoying government IT policy, she used her stature to find a personal workaround rather than a systemic fix that would work for everyone. To spend so much time on such a trivial matter would be absurd in a city council race, much less a presidential election. To do so in circumstances when it advances the electoral prospects of a rival who has shattered all precedents in terms of lacking transparency or basic honesty is infinitely more scandalous than anything related to the server itself.

Trump as President

The Daily Beast‘s Michael Tomasky writes convincingly about “What a President Donald Trump Actually Would Do in Office.”

First, Tomasky tells us just why Trump would not be able to follow through on some of his more extravagant promises like reviving manufacturing; keeping businesses from locating outside the US;  bringing coal back; and repealing and replacing Obamacare. According to Tomasky, what Trump would do, however, is start a financially disastrous trade war with China, and, assuming he follows through with his deportation plan, cost the U.S. treasury something in the neighborhood of 500 billion dollars, not to mention associated labor market costs.

To add to these potential disasters, Tomasky reminds us that Trump has not only shown himself to be morally unfit to hold office –  “he would be serving while involved in a fraud trial over his bogus university, and quite possibly a child-rape trial as well” – but that he has also demonstrated consistently that he is intellectually and temperamentally incapable of handling potential international or financial crises that may be in the offing. He concludes:

I suppose the people on this transition team [i.e. the Trump transition team] are fooling themselves by preparing briefing papers and whatnot. But really, they might as well be playing Free Cell all day. And through some miracle in these last few days it might be nice for cable news to stop obsessing about the latest supposed crisis in Hillaryland and remind people that they are voting for a president, and one of the two candidates has been deemed unqualified by nearly every newspaper in the country, by most retired generals, by a huge phalanx of foreign-policy people of both parties, by nearly every serious economist, and basically by everyone except a few people who are either blinded by their hatred of Clinton or too scared of their more rabid constituents to say a cross word about this madman. To quote someone close to the situation, believe me, it’s a disaster, folks.

In a nutshell, the gist of both articles is that one candidate is trustworthy and qualified to be president and the other isn’t.  We don’t need to know anything else. Thus armed, go forth and vote.

Faster than a whirling top: Wagner changes positions yet again

03 Thursday Nov 2016

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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Ann Wagner, Bill Otto, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Hillary Clinton, political endorsements

Today Digby observed  that:

As the polls tighten in the last few days of the presidential election campaign, it’s interesting to see the reluctant GOP establishment start scurrying back into Donald Trump’s fold. Apparently, prominent Republicans are all making the bet that Trump will at least come close enough to make it necessary to back him, lest they be blamed for his failure.

We can now add to the number of GOP pols coming home to Trump and the new realities of the Republican Party our own GOP Rep. Ann Wagner (Dist. 2). A month ago she was quite clear that she wouldn’t touch the “the predatory and reprehensible” Donald Trump with the proverbial ten foot stick, and that she had no recourse other than to “withdraw my endorsement and call for Governor Pence to take the lead so we can defeat Hillary Clinton.”

Now that Pence has failed to heed the call to glory, she’s evidently had second thoughts. Although that’s not the way she tells it. After asking to go on the air to “clarify” her position, she told local conservative radio host Jamie Allman that:

“I have always been voting for Donald Trump, and I will do that next Tuesday, and I encourage everyone listening to vote for Trump as well,” Wagner said of the Republican nominee.

“You know, Jamie, and I don’t know why there has been some, perhaps some confusion here, but since last May, after Donald Trump released his list of Supreme Court justices I made it clear that I am voting for Donald Trump. I want an entire ticket sweep up and down. I would never be voting for Hillary Clinton. We need to stop this criminal enterprise and it is the only way, only way we are going to have a corruption-free White House.”

Several interesting points here:

First: Wagner is trying to obfuscate her earlier, very clear-cut repudiation of Donald Trump. Which leads one to ask how sanctimonious GOPers like Wagner can lie regularly with impunity and then call Hillary Clinton, who has racked up a pretty clean record for honesty if you bother to look at the facts, a liar.

Second: Wagner’s voting for a man who, speaking of criminal enterprises, may well be facing numerous indictments for fraud, bribery, and sexual assault. There are strong intimations that he’s in cahoots in some way, financial or otherwise, with Russia’s Putin. His business dealings open him to numerous looming conflicts of interest, both in the U.S. and abroad, from which he has indicated he has no intention of extricating himself. It’s just too rich to hear Wagner declare that she’s voting for a man implicated in not one but many potentially criminal scandals because she wants to stop a Clinton “criminal enterprise,” by which she means, I would guess, the demonstrably misleading spin surrounding Clinton’s use of a personal email server and the almost comically flimsy allegations about the Clinton Foundation, all very small potatoes indeed when compared to the record of Wagner’s newly reaffirmed choice for president.

Third: Wagner falls back on the argument that a vote for Trump is a vote to give conservatives the Supreme Justices they want. Such a supreme court would undoubtedly turn the flirtation between conservative constitutional interpretation and corporate hegemony into a torrid romance, giving birth to a fully empowered right-wing oligarchy in the U.S. It could also put the kibosh on abortion along with other feminist and minority aspirations – which is the real “get” for most of the folks Wagner is trying to appease with her about-face.

One wonders if Wagner’s most recent change of heart has anything to do with the fact that the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, the local paper of record, has just endorsed her opponent, Democrat Bill Otto? Does that endorsement reinforce fears that her hold on her redefined, more moderate second district isn’t as strong as it needs to be? Does she feel forced to turn back to Trumpsters for support? Or did she get more vitriolic GOP flak for turning on The Donald than she was expecting. Digby ably characterizes the dilemma that Trump poses for pols like Wagner:

It’s been a tough time for Republican officials and elite conservative pundits, and that’s understandable. They’ve just discovered that their voters have a different interpretation of conservatism than they thought they did.

Claire McCaskill outs GOP Senators for Clinton

02 Wednesday Nov 2016

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Claire McCaskill, Donald Trump, Election 2016, republicans, Senate

Via TPM, we learn that Missouri’s Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill is claiming that many of her senate colleagues are saying one thing – they support Donald Trump – and planning on doing something else, namely, vote for Hillary Clinton:

“I believe, and I’m basing this on some of the things my colleagues have said to me, I believe the majority of the Republicans in the U.S. Senate are not going to vote for Donald Trump,” she told radio host McGraw Milhaven Wednesday on Missouri’s KTRS, as reported by CNN.

“Because they know that they can work with Hillary Clinton and get some things done,” she continued.

McCaskill’s assertion that GOPers might vote for Hillary in order “to get some things done” is surprising and renders her judgment suspect. Who really believes that Republicans want to get anything done? We’ve certainly seen scant evidence of such a desire over the past eight years – unless it’s cutting taxes for rich folks or repealing Obamacare, goals with which I doubt Hillary will concur. And we’re already hearing about how Republicans are planning to logjam her administration.

And if McCaskill’s right, what does it mean about Republicans?

First, it would imply that these folks are totally out of sync with the most numerous part of their base and scared silly that that base will find out. And given the angry, racist, authoritarian nature of many of the groups they have empowered via years of reprehensible and only partially masked dog whistles, their fear is understandable.

Second, it lends credence to claims that Republicans depend on their base to give them power that they then use to serve an entirely different master. The GOP manipulates poorly-informed, older, angry, white voters, Trump’s main supporters, who are largely motivated by resentment to help the party obtain the power it needs to service the needs of the corporate and oligarchic elites who pay the bills. Those elites, however, fear the havoc that a Trump victory could create.

Third, it means that lots of Republicans are flat-out hypocrites who care more about self-preservation than they do about public welfare and the future of the United States. Otherwise, they’d put GOP spin aside, tell the truth to their constituencies and encourage them to vote for Hillary too.

Finally, it tells us that the GOP believes Trump is a loser, both personally and on Nov. 8.

Reality really does bite: Where Hillary’s emails and God’s problems with profanity intersect

29 Saturday Oct 2016

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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Election 2016, Emails, Hillary Clinton, Media, morality, Roderigo Duterte

I read today that Philippine’s President Rodrigo Duterte has had a message from God:

Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte has promised to stop swearing, saying God spoke to him on a flight from Japan on Thursday, warning him the plane would crash if he kept using bad language.

This is the same Duterte who is directly or indirectly responsible for the murder of more than 2,400 people in a less than three month period. Most of these people were suspected drug dealers or users which, according to the quasi-facist Duterte and his supporters, makes it okay for police and death squads to condemn and execute them at will.

And then Duterte has the chutzpah to tell us that God is disturbed by his bad language.

It’s enough to put one off God.

But religion isn’t the real issue. Nor does the matter at hand have anything to do with conditions that are unique to the Philppines or any other “foreign” or “under-developed” country. It’s a question of perspective and its relation to our moral values, a question we in the United States have been confronted with every day during the current election.

Today, for instance, the paper version of my local paper, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, ran a headline in one-inch caps reading “FBI Reviews New Emails.” The text ran down the left side of the front page and, on the other half, a half-lit profile of Hillary Clinton emerged from the dark background. Pretty sensational news, right?

Well no — although almost anyone seeing that headline layout will go away thinking that these emails constitute a momentous, game-changing discovery.

But as most of those who’ve paid attention know, once again this is much ado about nothing. The “new” emails were as Political Animal’s Nancy Letourneau notes, not from Hillary Clinton, not from her private server, not withheld from the FBI by Clinton, and are likely duplicates of emails already examined by the FBI — which is not, as many in the (perhaps intentionally) credulous media have asserted, “reopening” their investigation of Clinton.

Nevertheless, this latest irrelevant diversion will hold center stage for the next few days and possibly influence the direction of the election. The big orange pseudo-Mussolini is already crowing about how this news vindicates his absurd “Hillary Clinton for prison” war cry. Although it is unlikely to cost Clinton the presidency (knock on wood), it could depress her margin of victory, which would clear the path for a resurgent Trump or an über–nationalist Trump clone in 2018. Nor would it help with down-ballot races. At the very least, it may provide more ammunition for the GOP dead-enders who will inevitably seek to delegitimize a Clinton victory.

Meanwhile, the complex of forces unleashed in the Middle East by Bush’s invasion of Iraq are laying waste to the region, immigrants are flooding into the Western World — an influx that will only grow as the ravages of climate change increase. The warming of our world, if not mitigated in a timely fashion, will create environmental and economic wastelands. Economic and social inequality threaten the stability of the West while we are held in thrall by the ascendancy of ‘free market” advocates and oligarchs who seek to weaken the power of government to effect necessary long-term changes.

There are hard days ahead no matter who wins the election and none of it has anything to do with emails. And yet the media wants to persuade us that the election of our leaders should hinge on a just such unfounded suggestions of scandal.

It’s all a matter of moral perspective. Something that both Duterte’s God and our trivial entertainment and celebrity-sodden media culture seem to lack.

*Cross posted to Daily Kos.

Blunt and Wagner: The not so dynamic duo take on energy policy.

28 Friday Oct 2016

Posted by willykay in Uncategorized

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Ann Wagner, cap-and-trade, clean energy, Election 2016, energy policy, Hillary Clinton, Jason Kander, Political mailers, Roy Blunt, Waxman-Markey Bill

I noted in an earlier post that GOP Senator Roy Blunt and Rep. Ann Wagner (R-2) have teamed up to produce some glossy mailers detailing their joint policy positions. Admittedly, such mailers provide a limited canvas upon which present complex issues to voters – although this oversimplification is likely considered a feature rather than a bug by many politicians including, one suspects, Blunt-Wagner. Nevertheless, the mailers are so misleading that it might be useful to shovel out some of the muck that they’re trying to spread.

In the first mailer that I received, images of a benignly smiling Wagner and a manically grimacing Blunt doing his best to mimic the act of smiling are juxtaposed with their promise to fight for “affordable American energy.” The reverse side identifies the object of their pugilistic posture as “the Kander-Clinton energy agenda,” obviously aiming at Blunt’s senate election opponent, Jason Kander.

Silly me – I didn’t know that Kander shared top billing with Clinton when it comes to her energy agenda. I hope this means that Kander, unlike other Missouri Democrats (do you hear me Claire McCaskill?), will be on board with Hillary Clinton’s smart proposals to curb climate change – which are very heavy on investing in clean, renewable energy sources while supporting those whose livelihoods could be will be disrupted by the transition from fossil fuels.

The mailer suggests that Blunt-Wagner are in some type of time warp, busily relitigating the 2009 Waxman-Merkey energy bill. It agonizes about a “type of radical cap-and-trade energy tax favored by Hillary Clinton” – although her Web pages dealing with climate change do not mention cap-and-trade, nor has she endorsed the concept elsewhere. The Waxman-Markey bill did include cap-and-trade provisions, and it seems to form the basis for the Blunt-Wagner scaremongering about “radical” energy policy.

Oddly, the mailer claims that Kander voted for cap-and-trade three times. But Vote Smart does not record any votes by Kander on energy policy from his time as a state senator. Nor, as a state Senator, would he have voted on the federal-level Waxman-Markey Bill.

What the “three votes” probably refers to was Kander’s vote in the State Senate against HCR 46, a non-binding resolution that encouraged Missouri’s Congressional Delegation to vote against cap-and-trade. If so, I, along with many Missourians, say “good on ya, Jason. ” Somewhere down the road, Missouri, as an agricultural state, is going to have to come to terms with the fact climate change will, over time, hurt farmers more than higher energy prices. We call it foresight as opposed to short term thinking and it’s supposed to be highly desirable in governance.

Nor, to be honest, would cap-and-trade, were it a part of the Clinton energy proposals, necessarily pose an insurmountable problem for Missouri farmers. California, another agricultural power-house, made the transition to cap-and-trade three years ago and the results have been far from the catastrophe promised by the Blunt-Wagner duo and their fellow partisans:

“We think we do have a good story to tell,” says Mary D. Nichols, chairwoman of the California Air Resources Board, which administers cap-and-trade.

The program’s quarterly auctions of emissions allowances have gone on largely without a hitch. The program has fit in, as was expected, with other emissions reduction programs implemented under AB 32, the state’s landmark greenhouse gas legislation, including mandates for renewable fuels sources for electrical utilities and emissions standards for new cars and trucks.

It has done so without a measurable drag on economic growth. The program generated $969 million in revenue for the state through the end of 2014, and is expected to generate $2 billion a year or more in the future. The money must be spent on efforts to reduce carbon emissions.

“What we’ve learned is that a cap-and-trade system will not kill the California economy,” says Stanford economist Lawrence H. Goulder, who advised the ARB on the program’s design. “The economy has continued to flourish.”

The mailer includes some cost estimates that first turned up in 2009 when the GOP was fighting tooth-and-nail to kill Waxman-Markey. Needless to say, all of the estimates were shown to be bunkum at the time (see also here). They’re still bunkum.

Borrowing discredited arguments from seven years ago to address an imaginary cap-and-trade agenda only proves how bankrupt the energy policy espoused by Wagner-Blunt is. Contrary to their claims, cap-and-trade is proving to be viable where it has been implemented although it does not, at this time, seem to be the main mechanism endorsed by Hillary Clinton to address climate change. Additionally, clean energy alternatives, which Clinton does emphasize, are currently creating numerous jobs while the industry as a whole is booming.

What this all means is that maybe Missourians should take the Wagner-Blunt duo with a very big pinch of salt.

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