Released October 21, 2008:

Missouri (11)

McCain-Palin 48.3%

Obama-Biden 48.0%

Not Sure/Other 4.6%

Both candidates run strongly with their base constituencies, and for now independents aren’t breaking either way. So we have a tie.

Zogby Interactive – Missouri Oct 17 – Oct 20 n=717 – MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points

The folks at fivethirtyeight don’t think very highly of Zogby Interactive:

Pollster   Pollster-Introduced Error

Zogby Interactive +5.73

Average pollster +1.97

Take this one with a grain of salt, or two, or three, or 5.73.