Released October 21, 2008:
Missouri (11)
McCain-Palin 48.3%
Obama-Biden 48.0%
Not Sure/Other 4.6%
Both candidates run strongly with their base constituencies, and for now independents aren’t breaking either way. So we have a tie.
Zogby Interactive – Missouri Oct 17 – Oct 20 n=717 – MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points
The folks at fivethirtyeight don’t think very highly of Zogby Interactive:
Pollster Pollster-Introduced Error
Zogby Interactive +5.73
Average pollster +1.97
Take this one with a grain of salt, or two, or three, or 5.73.
speaking at the Women’s Democratic Forum on Tuesday. I suspect that having close polling should be good for his appearance there – add to the excitement?
I stopped believing in Zogby’s polling years ago.
according to 538, is his weighting by party ID. Not a problem in and of itself, but apparently he weights by previous election. Does anyone believe that there are as many Republicans in 2008 as in 2004, in Missouri or elsewhere?