On November 23rd SurveyUSA released a 600 sample poll of adults taken in Missouri from November 20th through the 22nd (Yeah, yeah, we’re just getting to it now, we know.) which shows a drop in the approval numbers for Missouri Governor Jay Nixon (D) when compared to September 2009 (there was no October release from SurveyUSA). The margin of error is 4.1%.
The poll was sponsored by KCTV in Kansas City.
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jay Nixon is doing as Governor?
All
44% – approve
46% – disapprove
10% – not sureDemocrats [30% of sample]
57% – approve
37% – disapprove
6% – not surerepublicans [31% of sample]
36% – approve
52% – disapprove
12% – not sureIndependents [32% of sample]
43% – approve
43% – disapprove
15% – not sure
There has been significant erosion among “Independents”, an improvement (!) among republicans, and some erosion in approval among Democrats.
Regionally there is net positive approval for Jay Nixon in St. Louis and Northern Missouri (!). There is net disapproval in the Southwest and Southeast regions of the state with a slight (2%) net disapproval in Kansas City.
The gender gap apparent in the September poll is not quite where it was. It’s been reversed(!) somewhat, with a significant increase in “not sure” among females:
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jay Nixon is doing as Governor?
Gender
Male [48% of sample]
47% – approve
49% – disapprove
4% – not sureFemale [52% of sample]
41% – approve
43% – disapprove
16% – not sure
Given the generally dismal political polling fortunes of almost everyone else in Missouri and the country, these numbers [don’t] exactly portend disaster for Governor Nixon. We’ll keep an eye on future releases to see if this particular poll is an outlier or a trend.
