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On November 23rd SurveyUSA released a 600 sample poll of adults taken in Missouri from November 20th through the 22nd (Yeah, yeah, we’re just getting to it now, we know.) which shows a drop in the approval numbers for Missouri Governor Jay Nixon (D) when compared to September 2009 (there was no October release from SurveyUSA). The margin of error is 4.1%.

The poll was sponsored by KCTV in Kansas City.

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jay Nixon is doing as Governor?

All

44% – approve

46% – disapprove

10% – not sure

Democrats [30% of sample]

57% – approve

37% – disapprove

6% – not sure

republicans [31% of sample]

36% – approve

52% – disapprove

12% – not sure

Independents [32% of sample]

43% – approve

43% – disapprove

15% – not sure

There has been significant erosion among “Independents”, an improvement (!) among republicans, and some erosion in approval among Democrats.

Regionally there is net positive approval for Jay Nixon in St. Louis and Northern Missouri (!). There is net disapproval in the Southwest and Southeast regions of the state with a slight (2%) net disapproval in Kansas City.

The gender gap apparent in the September poll is not quite where it was. It’s been reversed(!) somewhat, with a significant increase in “not sure” among females:

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jay Nixon is doing as Governor?

Gender

Male [48% of sample]

47% – approve

49% – disapprove

4% – not sure

Female [52% of sample]

41% – approve

43% – disapprove

16% – not sure

Given the generally dismal political polling fortunes of almost everyone else in Missouri and the country, these numbers [don’t] exactly portend disaster for Governor Nixon. We’ll keep an eye on future releases to see if this particular poll is an outlier or a trend.