• About
  • The Poetry of Protest

Show Me Progress

~ covering government and politics in Missouri – since 2007

Show Me Progress

Monthly Archives: August 2008

Celebrating John McCain's 72nd Birthday

29 Friday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

Birthday, George Bush, John McCain, missouri, Sam Page

Today is John McCain’s birthday. That’s easy to remember, because on August 29, 2005, Hurricane Katrina made landfall in New Orleans as a Category 3 hurricane, bringing ruin and devastation to an impoverished population unable to evacuate partially because of decades of neglect and partially because of an unresponsive government.

And part of the unresponsivity is directly tied in with John McCain. On August 29, 2005, John McCain was celebrating his 69th birthday with George Bush in Arizona, and apparently the festivities couldn’t be called off so that the president of the United States could coordinate some sort of effective response. Now we have indelible images like this:

juxtaposed with this:

This is yet another shameful legacy Bush, along with his enablers like John McCain, has given us. When you don’t believe government can be useful or effective, you don’t spend time trying to figure out how it can actually be useful or effective.

Speaking of responses, our very own Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor Sam Page volunteered his time and effort providing free medical services for Katrina in Jennings, LA. That’s especially touching to me, because not only was I born in Louisiana, I still have lots of extended family in Jennings. Thank, Sam, for showing that you cared when those higher up in government did not.

Photos courtesy of Flickr users John McGaffe and weBranding.

Barack Obama's Acceptance Speech Open Thread

29 Friday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

Barack Obama, Democratic National Convention, John McCain, speech

What did you think of the speech last night? What were your favorite lines? Least favorite?

The entire text of the speech is here.

Denver, we have a bounce…

29 Friday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

Barack Obama, Democratic National Convention, poll bounce

The latest three-day Gallup Poll Daily tracking average (Aug. 25-27) is directly coincident with the first three days of the Democratic National Convention in Denver, and is no doubt beginning to reflect the typical convention “bounce” that Gallup has observed in most party conventions in recent decades…

It was Obama 45%, McSame 44%. It’s now Obama 48%, McSame 42%.

Update:

The Gallup Poll Daily tracking average released on August 29 – Obama 49%, McSame 41%.

Kristy Manning and the four week incumbent

29 Friday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

HD 16, Kristy Manning, Mark Parkinson, missouri

Mark Parkinson, the Republican representative in HD 16, is a four-week incumbent. At least that’s what Cheryl Hibbeler calls him when she’s going door to door on behalf of his Democratic opponent, Kristy Manning. If a constituent confesses to not knowing who his state rep is, she points out that it’s perfectly understandable he wouldn’t know. After last February’s special election, by the time Parkinson was actually sworn in and ready to participate in the legislative session, there were only four weeks left in the session. He has no other experience in state government, having only one job on his resume, that of being an aide to Kit Bond. Manning, on the other hand, (Cheryl tells the person at the door) has worked six years in state government as an aide to Senator Joan Bray.

Ah, sad but true, though, the best qualified candidate doesn’t always win. And that’s especially true in St. Charles County where, as Kristy’s ad (just shift your eyes to the left hand column) points out, Democrats are typically outspent by Republicans 5 to 1. What’s more, the money gap is even worse than the ad lets on because that 5 to 1 gap is only the gap between the official spending of the campaigns themselves. It doesn’t take into account the spending of other organizations on behalf of the candidate. By the time the HRCC and the Missouri Right to Life have plowed some more money into the race, the gap might be closer to 8 or 9 to 1.

Like so many outspent Democrats, Kristy and her volunteers are working their tails off going door to door. So far, they’ve knocked on 7,000 doors. She herself has knocked on 4,000 and has actually spoken to a couple of thousand people. Conventional wisdom is that 2,000 personal contacts can be enough to swing a close district, and oh this one is close all right. Tom Fann lost to Parkinson last February 51.6 percent to 48.4 percent.

Kristy is by no means assuming that introducing herself to 2,000 people will hand her the election. She follows through on every personal contact with a “nice to meet you” note that includes personal details, if possible. She mentions the person’s dog or asks after the baby’s cough. And she enjoys sometimes running into those people at community functions and having them say, “Hey, you came to my door!” Thank goodness for a sharp memory because she often remembers the dog or the baby’s cough even then.

Kristy’s got 67 days to knock on more doors, and believe it: she will. Show her some love by clicking on her ad.

Retail Politics: getting the mail out

29 Friday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

campaigns, mail, volunteers

Members of a college student Democratic organization multitask during a meeting, putting together a mailing for a local Democratic Party candidate.

There are many things that fuel local campaigns. Yes, money is very important. A good candidate with excellent political skills also helps quite a bit. Having a plan and executing it is a good thing, too. One thing that is overlooked by the general public is the value of campaign volunteers. Note I didn’t say the same of candidates and campaigns. They love volunteers. Having a lot of volunteers makes those tedious, yet very important, tasks happen. The work is not glamorous, but it is essential, and having volunteers who actually do those crucial tasks takes a load off the resources (and stress level) of a campaign.

So, here’s the pitch. There’s far too much to do in all local campaigns, there are too few resources to accomplish them, and time is running out. If you haven’t already done so, find a local or General Assembly candidate in your area, go to their headquarters, and volunteer. You’ll be glad you did and you’ll be greatly appreciated.

If you love to talk on the phone, they’ll put you to work in a phone bank. If you’re a phone-a-phobe, you can stuff envelopes. If you’re artistic you can make posters for the campaign office. If you like to walk you can go door to door. If you don’t want to talk to people, but you want some exercise, you can do literature drops. There’s a lot to do and there’s definitely something to fit your skill set and comfort level.

If you can’t give money you can always give your time as a volunteer. It will make a big difference. Believe me.

Assembly lines work well for this process.

Kenny's Health Care Follies

28 Thursday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

health care, Kenny Hulshof

Kenny Hulshof finally released his health care plan the other day, months overdue. Strange timing, because if someone’s confident in every detail of their proposal, they usually tend to release it when the news cycle isn’t already being dominated by a predictable event, like say, the opponent’s convention. Looks like Hulshof is throwing out a bunch of half-baked pablum disguised as a plan to grab a little attention from Jay Nixon at the convention, and to have some paper to wave around later in the campaign just so he can’t be attacked any more for not even having a plan.

I’ll just skip past the excellent point that the Missouri Democratic Party is currently making – Hulshof is unsure as to whether the plan will cost closer to $50 million or $500 million – and get right to some of the details that have been bothering me.

Hulshof’s plan is based on enrolling Missourians into HSAs – Health Savings Accounts – supposedly controlling our spiraling health care costs and allowing uninsured Missourians to get back on the rolls of the insured. An HSA is essentially a tax-exempt interest-bearing bank account that you can only use to pay for health care, and they are typically tied to high-deductible health insurance plans (HDHPs).  In theory, instead of paying a premium every month and a co-pay when you go to the doctor for a checkup or for a minor illness, you would save a percentage of your income, then pay the doctor out of your account as needed.

Confused as to what’s the difference between having an HSA and being uninsured? Well, you neither have to pay income tax on the amount you saved nor on the amount you withdraw, but that’s about it. And in case you were thinking that this might be an ideal situation for a tax shelter, you are absolutely correct.

Hulshof also claims that “putting these HSA plans into HealthMAX will guard against the risk of adverse selection.” Either he’s being disingenuous or he doesn’t know what adverse selection is (or possibly both), because an HSA/HDHP is more likely to increase the risk of adverse selection, not decrease. A 2006 GAO study showed that the healthy and the wealthy were the primary beneficiaries of HSAs. The healthy, because they have fewer costs in an HSA compared to a traditional plan, and the wealthy, because they have enough extra income to divert some money into tax-free savings.

Think about it this way. If you’re a young, healthy man with no history of serious illness or little taste for extreme sports, you would rationally choose an HSA, because you don’t need health care services except for the occasional checkup or flu shot. If your family has a history of illness, or you had an accident when you were younger that still requires regular attention, or you’re a woman (women tend to consume more heath care services than men because of regular checkups and you know, giving birth) you might want to stick with your traditional health plan.

Well, if any significant number of the healthiest consumers leave the pool of those participating in the traditional health plan, that leaves the same amount of risk (and expense) in the pool with fewer enrollees. To make their money, insurance companies will jack up premiums, leaving some of those who previously thought the traditional plan was still more cost-effective for them to instead choose an HSA. Every round of premium increases leave the pool a little riskier and more expensive, until you have two pools, the healthy with cheap plans and the chronically ill with expensive plans. That’s a textbook example of a adverse selection death spiral, and that’s not what we want in Missouri.

Finally, HSAs don’t do anything to reduce the overall runaway health care costs in America. Think about it. If you have an HSA paired with a high deductible plan, you’re less likely to pay for preventive care, like doctor visits for checkups and treating minor illness like the flu. Most people don’t like going to the doctor anyway, and you’re really going to avoid it if you have to pay the entire cost of the visit out of pocket. But those doctor visits help catch problems that can develop into much more dangerous conditions later on, the ones that, you know, cost a lot of money to treat. By the time it reaches the point of really expensive to treat, you’re probably not going to care too much about cost, especially since after the deductible, the insurance company picks up the tab. Problem is, someone has to pay for the expensive tests and treatments, so the costs rise for all of us in the form of higher premiums and deductibles and more expensive prescription drugs. So rather than helping control costs, HSAs help drive costs up.

No thanks, Kenny. By the way, when Hulshof had the chance in Congress to increase health care coverage for Missouri children last year, he stood with Bush and locked the door.  

Peter Hart: a coldblooded analyst

28 Thursday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 5 Comments

Tags

missouri, Obama, Peter Hart, pollster

Speaking at the Missouri Caucus breakfast, pollster Peter Hart styled himself as a “coldblooded analyst”. Being a coldblooded pollster, though, doesn’t mean Hart isn’t partisan. He’s done polling for so many years for the Carnahans and for Ike Skelton that he claims to have worked for Ike in his junior high run for student council.

Some partisans can be objective, and as someone who has helped run the NBC/Wall Street Journal polls for the last twenty years, Hart feels he is that person, and he was there to give us his unbiased take on Democratic chances and on Obama’s chances in particular this fall.

2008, he says, “is as good a year as it gets for the Democratic party.” Voters are as unhappy and disappointed as he’s seen them in his 35 years as a pollster. In fact, 80 percent of them believe the country is on the wrong track. That’s some number. I don’t think you could get 80 percent of Americans to agree that the earth is round.

It does look as if voters plan to throw the bums out. When asked which party should be in control of Congress, Dems get the nod 47-36. That bodes ill for Republicans in congressional races, and Hart figures Dems are likely to take as many as twenty more House seats and five more Senate seats. When asked whether they want a Democrat or a Republican for president, they prefer the Dem brand 46-37.  

Those raw numbers will also be influenced this November by what I think of as the booster factor. Fervent support from large numbers of people boosts a candidate’s chances, and Obama has that. A whopping 46 percent of Democrats say they are excited about Obama for president. McCain, on the other hand, has 12 whole percent of Republicans excited. Sheesh, talk about tepid. With support like that, a candidate could launch a … a frisbee? The booster factor makes this year very different from ’04, when most of those who voted Democratic were voting against Bush but with little relish for Kerry.

Hart did, however, issue one cautionary note. He says Democrats need to reach out with three messages that they are so far not adequately conveying. First, they must convince voters that the party is unified. Before the convention, only 35 percent of voters thought we were unified. That is a mistaken impression due in part to the media exaggerating our divisions. It’ll be interesting to see whether those poll numbers rise now that Hillary has spoken at the convention.

Even more important than correcting that misconception is the need to define McCain. It will never do for Obama merely to fend off attacks on himself as an elitist or as someone who hangs with a domestic terrorist. He must firmly brand his opponent as McSame, George W. McCain, or McBush.

And finally, Democrats must expand the portrait of Obama. What the electorate knows about him so far, they like, but they don’t know enough.

But despite these weaknesses in Obama’s execution of the campaign so far, Hart feels optimistic. He predicts that the following states will turn from red to blue: Iowa, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia, Colorado … and Missouri. He wants a little more icing on the cake, though: he wants McCain to pick the right running mate: “Please, oh God, select Mitt Romney. That would be the most silver spoon ticket ever.”

I’d like to know why he thinks those particular states will turn blue, especially in the case of Missouri. I see only polls here with Obama trailing by five points or more. I’d also like to ask him why he left Ohio off the list. Sherrod Brown kicked an incumbent Republican senator out of office there two years ago by talking about jobs and the economy, but I take Hart’s omission of that state to mean he doesn’t believe Obama can do the same. I just googled Ohio polls and I find that SurveyUSA puts the two men about even and that a Time/CNN poll shows them splitting Ohio.

I hope Hart’s optimism turns out to be justified, but I know that Democrats better bust butt communicating to voters who McCain really is–and who Obama really is.

Missouri Supreme Court to Margaret Donnelly: not here, not now

28 Thursday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 3 Comments

Tags

Attorney General primary, Chris Koster, Margaret Donnelly, Missouri Supreme Court, recount

Mo. AG candidate files new suit contesting ballots

Associated Press – August 26, 2008 6:24 PM ET

JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) – Losing Democratic attorney general candidate Margaret Donnelly has been rebuffed on procedural grounds by the Missouri Supreme Court in her quest for a review of uncounted ballot.

But Donnelly has quickly re-filed her lawsuit in Clay County Circuit Court…

tiny URL

So, the lawsuit was filed in Clay County:

08CY-CV08262 – MARGARET DONNELLY ET AL V SANDY COLLOP ET AL

Judge Assigned: HARMAN, LARRY DALE Date Filed: 08/26/2008

Location: Clay Case Type: CC Other Miscellaneous Actions

Disposition: Not Disposed

Who got sued?:

It’s a long list.

08CY-CV08262 – MARGARET DONNELLY ET AL V SANDY COLLOP ET AL

DONNELLY , MARGARET , Plaintiff     represented by     RHYNE , RICHARD DALY , Attorney for Plaintiff

68 LAKE FOREST DRIVE

SAINT LOUIS, MO 63117

2345 GRAND BOULEVARD

KANSAS CITY, MO 64108

DOE , JOHN , Plaintiff     represented by     RHYNE , RICHARD DALY , Attorney for Plaintiff

2345 GRAND BOULEVARD

KANSAS CITY, MO 64108

COLLOP , SANDY , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK OF ADAIR COUNTY

106 W WASHINGTON, 2ND FLOOR

KIRKSVILLE, MO 63501

HARVEY , SHELLEY , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK OF AUDRAIN COUNTY

101 N JEFFERSON, ROOM 101

MEXICO, MO 65265

CONWAY , PAT , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK OF BUCHANAN CO

411 JULES, ROOM 121

SAINT JOSEPH, MO 64501

REINHART , DAVE , Defendant    

CO-DIR OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF CLAY COUNTY

100 W MISSISSIPPI STREET

LIBERTY, MO 64068

EVANS , PATTY , Defendant    

CO-DIR OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF CLAY COUNTY

100 W MISSISSIPPI STREET

LIBERTY, MO 64068

KEMPF , DARRYL , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK OF COOPER COUNTY

200 MAIN STREET, ROOM 23

BOONVILLE, MO 65233

DOOR , DEBBIE , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK OF FRANKLIN CO

400 E LOCUST, STE 201

UNION, MO 63084

NICHOLS , ROBERT C JR , Defendant    

CO-DIR OF THE BOARD F ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF JACKSON CO

215 N LIBERTY ST

INDEPENDENCE, MO 64051

DAVIS , CHARLENE , Defendant    

CO-DIR F THE BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF JACKSON CO

215 N LIBERTY STREET

INDEPENDENCE, MO 64051

WAGNER , WES , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK OF JEFFERSON CO

729 MAPLE ST, ROOM 217

HILLSBORO, MO 63050

KIEFFER , SHAWN , Defendant    

CO-DIRECT OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF KANSAS CITY

1828 WALNUT, SUITE 300

KANSAS CITY, MO 64108

MCTHOMAS , SHELLEY , Defendant    

CO-DIRECT OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF KANSAS CITY

1828 WALNUT, SUITE 300

KANSAS CITY, MO 64108

CHRISTOPHER , KELLY , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK OF LIVINGSTON CO

700 WEBSTER STREET, SUITE 10

CHILLICOTHE, MO 64601

GROEPPER , ANITA E , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK OF MONITEAU CO

200 E MAIN STREET, ROOM 106

CALIFORNIA, MO 65018

ERICKSON , MARY BETH , Defendant    

CO-DIR OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF PLATTE CO

2600 NW PRAIRIE VIEW ROAD

PLATTE CITY, MO 64079

FLANIGAN , WENDY M , Defendant    

CO-DIRECT OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF PLATTE CO

2600 NW PRAIRIE VIEW ROAD

PLATTE CITY, MO 64079

CHRISMER , RICH , Defendant    

ST CHARLES CO ELECTION AUTHORI

397 TURNER BLVD

SAINT PETERS, MO 63376

JONES , MARY WHEELER , Defendant    

CO-DIRECT OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF ST LOUIS CITY

300 N TUCKER

SAINT LOUIS, MO 63101

LINENDECKER , SCOTT , Defendant    

CO-DIRECT OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSIONERS OF ST LOUIS CITY

300 N TUCKER

SAINT LOUIS, MO 63101

DONAHUE , JOE , Defendant    

CO-DIRECT OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSION OF ST LOUIS COUNTY

12 SUNNEN DRIVE, STE 126

SAINT LOUIS, MO 63143

GOEKE , JOSEPH , Defendant    

CO-DIRECT OF BOARD OF ELECTION

COMMISSION OF ST LOUIS COUNTY

12 SUNNEN DRIVE, STE 126

SAINT LOUIS, MO 63143

REGISTER , MARVIN , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – COLE COUNTY

311 E HIGH STREET, ROOM 201

JEFFERSON CITY, MO 65101

LUCK , ELAINE , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – LINCOLN COUNTY

201 MAIN STREET

TROY, MO 63379

WILLIAMS , BARBARA , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – MCDONALD COUNTY

602 MAIN STREET

PINEVILLE, MO 64856

BAUM , KAY , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – NEWTON COUNTY

101 S WOOD STREET

NEOSHO, MO 64850

BRYANT , KENNETH R , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – SALINE COUNTY

101 E ARROW, ROOM 202

MARSHALL, MO 65340

TAYLOR , SUSETTE , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – ATCHISON COUNTY

400 S WASHINGTON

ROCK PORT, MO 64482

SMITH , CONNIE , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – CRAWFORD COUNTY

203 MAIN STREET

STEELVILLE, MO 65565

STEWARD , LINDA , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – DAVIESS COUNTY

102 N MAIN STREET

GALLATIN, MO 64640

BERRY , MARY , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – DEKALB COUNTY

109 N MAIN STREET

MAYSVILLE, MO 64469

REIDLINGER , CAROL , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK – GENTRY COUNTY

200 W CLAY

ALBANY, MO 64402

BASIER , KAY , Defendant    

COUNTY CLERK-STE GENEVIEBE CTY

55 S THIRD STREET

SAINTE GENEVIEVE, MO 63670

CARNAHAN , ROBIN , Defendant    

SECRETARY OF STATE

STATE OF MISSOURI

600 WEST MAIN STREET

JEFFERSON CITY, MO 65101

KOSTER , CHRIS , Defendant    

1100 SOUTH MAIN STREET

HARRISONVILLE, MO 64701

And this is what’s happened so far:

08CY-CV08262 – MARGARET DONNELLY ET AL V SANDY COLLOP ET AL

08/26/2008

Docket Entry:   Pet Filed in Circuit Ct

Docket Entry: Certificate of Service

Filing Party: RHYNE , RICHARD DALY

Docket Entry: Motion Filed

Text: MOTION TO SHORTEN TIME TO RESPOND TO FIRST REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION OF DOCUMENTS TO RESPONDENTS. KST

Filing Party: RHYNE , RICHARD DALY

Docket Entry: Summons Issued-Circuit

Text: Document ID: 08-SMCC-1941, for KOSTER, CHRIS;SUMMONS ISSUED AND DELIVERED BACK TO ATTORNEY FOR SERVICE TOGETHER WITH FIRST REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION OF DOCUMENTS.bp

Docket Entry: Order

Text: Order Setting Preliminary Hearing for Election Contest for 9-02-2008 @ 1:00 pm by agreement. LDH

Filing Party: HARMAN , LARRY DALE

Docket Entry: Order

Text: Contestant’s Motion to Shorten Time to Respond to the First Request for Production of Documents to Respondents is granted. Respondents shall respond not later than August 29, 2008. LDH

Filing Party: HARMAN , LARRY DALE

Docket Entry:   Hearing Scheduled

Associated Events: 09/02/2008 , 13:00:00 – Hearing

Docket Entry: Summons Issued-Reg/Cert Mail

Text: Document ID: 08-SMCM-87, for COLLOP, SANDY; Document ID: 08-SMCM-88, for HARVEY, SHELLEY; Document ID: 08-SMCM-89, for CONWAY, PAT; Document ID: 08-SMCM-90, for REINHART, DAVE; Document ID: 08-SMCM-91, for EVANS, PATTY; Document ID: 08-SMCM-92, for KEMPF, DARRYL; Document ID: 08-SMCM-93, for DOOR, DEBBIE; Document ID: 08-SMCM-94, for NICHOLS, ROBERT C; Document ID: 08-SMCM-95, for DAVIS, CHARLE
NE; Document ID: 08-SMCM-96, for MCTHOMAS, SHELLEY; Document ID: 08-SMCM-97, for KIEFFER, SHAWN; Document ID: 08-SMCM-98, for WAGNER, WES; Document ID: 08-SMCM-99, for CHRISTOPHER, KELLY; Document ID: 08-SMCM-100, for GROEPPER, ANITA E; Document ID: 08-SMCM-101, for ERICKSON, MARY BETH; Document ID: 08-SMCM-102, for FLANIGAN, WENDY M; Document ID: 08-SMCM-103, for CHRISMER, RICH; Document ID: 08-SMCM-104, for JONES, MARY WHEELER; Document ID: 08-SMCM-105, for LINENDECKER, SCOTT; Document ID: 08-SMCM-106, for DONAHUE, JOE; Document ID: 08-SMCM-107, for GOEKE, JOSEPH; Document ID: 08-SMCM-108, for REGISTER, MARVIN; Document ID: 08-SMCM-109, for LUCK, ELAINE; Document ID: 08-SMCM-110, for WILLIAMS, BARBARA; Document ID: 08-SMCM-111, for BAUM, KAY; Document ID: 08-SMCM-112, for BRYANT, KENNETH R; Document ID: 08-SMCM-113, for TAYLOR, SUSETTE; Document ID: 08-SMCM-114, for SMITH, CONNIE; Document ID: 08-SMCM-115, for STEWARD, LINDA; Document ID: 08-SMCM-116, for BERRY, MARY; Document ID: 08-SMCM-117, for REIDLINGER, CAROL; Document ID: 08-SMCM-118, for BASIER, KAY; Document ID: 08-SMCM-119, for CARNAHAN, ROBIN; SUMMONS ISSUED AND MAILED BY CERTIFIED MAILED TOGETHER WITH FIRST REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION DOCUMENTS.bp

We’ll know more on Tuesday, September 2nd after the hearing. This lawsuit is separate from the actual recount under the aegis of the Secretary of State.  

Mayor's Race Heats-Up

27 Wednesday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Originally Posted at Comments St. Louis by Travis Reems


The primary for the Mayor's race is more than 6 months away, and without the 2008 elections having yet been decided, talk has begun about the potential mayoral candidates. Mayor Francis Slay has announced that he will be seeking a third-term, a feat not enjoyed by many St. Louis mayors. In fact, only 5 of the city's 45 mayors have enjoyed 3 or more terms, and only 2 since the Civil War.

There is a sizable list of possible candidates for the March 3, 2009, Democratic primary, and a few names are rumored to be seriously looking at running. Among those rumored to be looking at running are Circuit Court Clerk Mariano Favazza, state Representative Thomas Villa, and former President of the Board James Shrewsbury.

The Favazza name might sound familiar, even to those unfamiliar with the Circuit Clerk. Favazza recently ran his son for state Representative in the 65th district against incumbent state Representative Michele Kratky, and his brother for Committeeman of the 16th ward against incumbent Tom Hayes. Both of those campaigns were unsuccessful and were rumored to be tests of the Favazza name for a possible mayoral run. If Favazza were to run, he would likely draw heavily on his 10th ward (the Hill) ties and his 16th ward (St. Louis Hills) supporters.

The Villa name is almost a historic-landmark in St. Louis. State Representative Thomas Villa has spent 16-years (not contiguously) in Jefferson City as a state Representative, and is no stranger to running for mayor, as he attempted the run before in 1993, while he was President of the Board of Aldermen. His father, the late former Alderman Albert “Red” Villa, has been enshrined in a bronze bust in the Villa southside base of the 11th ward's Carondelete neighborhood, which Thomas Villa's nephew, Matt Villa, currently represents as Alderman. Thomas Villa has taken on an elder-statesman aire of late with his support of his recently elected successor, state Representative-elect Jacob Hummel. Further, Villa has engendered good-will with the northside by not running in the recent 5th district state Senate race, where many predicted he would win handily should he have run, which ensured that an African-American candidate would retain that seat. Villa, if he were to run for mayor, would likely draw on his strong 11th ward base, and significant northside reciprocal support.

Former President of the Board of Aldermen, James Shrewsbury, who has recently been seen at various political functions seems to be getting back in the swing of local politics, which means he might keep true to his words after his loss of the Presidency to Lewis Reed, that he will be back. Shrewsbury certainly has the name recognition and the ability to fundraise needed in order to mount a mayoral run. Those close to Shrewsbury haven't been willing to state how seriously he is looking at running. Shrewsbury would also draw heavily on his home ward of the 16th, where he served as a popular Alderman, and where he has kept-up his name recognition by making very public endorsements of candidates running in that ward.

All three of these possible candidates would draw on the southside base of Mayor Slay, and would likely garner support from the northside, which is rumored to be willing to vote for “anybody but Slay.”

Although KMOX reported earlier this week that License Collector Michael McMillan has a start at the funds–over $300,000 currently on-hand–necessary to launch a successful bid for the Mayor's office, rumors have him sitting this one out. This leaves state Representative T.D. El-Amin as the only northside possible candidate rumored to be seriously looking at running. El-Amin, a junior state Representative, does not appear to have the northside base necessary to unify behind his candidacy. Add to that the fact that he was unable to pass any legislation during the past term, and there is serious doubt whether he could really run.

We will know soon enough who has the fortitude to run, when filing opens on November 24, 2008.

It's the economy, stupid!

27 Wednesday Aug 2008

Posted by Michael Bersin in Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

economy, recession

It’s no secret that worries about the economy are foremost in voters’ minds.

In Missouri (Public Policy Polling) (pdf):

…Q10 I am going to name 7 issues. Which of these is most important to you? The War in Iraq, education, the economy and jobs, taxes, moral or family values, health care, or immigration…

War in Iraq – 15%

Education – 7%

Economy and Jobs – 47%

Taxes – 4%

Moral and Family Values – 13%

Health Care – 8%

Immigration – 5%

Other – 1%

[emphasis added]

The republicans don’t do very well at this economy stuff. Just ask folks filling up at the gas station, “How’s that $4.00 a gallon workin’ out for ya?” (Brief interruption: Okay, it’s now under $3.50 a gallon in my area. The next question is, “Gee, how did they get that off shore oil drilling into production that fast?” They didn’t. Can you say, “unregulated greed and speculation.”)

Here’s a site that has a lot of historical information about republican administrations, Democratic administrations, and how the American economy has fared under each:

Presidential Economic Data

Democrats and the economy

   * Eight of the last nine recessions have been under Republican presidents

   * Democratic presidents create twice as many jobs per year as Republican presidents.

   * Republican presidents’ deficits are three times higher than Democrats’ and twice as high as a percent of GDP.

   * The economy grows 41% faster under Democratic presidents.

   * Businesses invest three times as much under Democratic presidents.

The economy grows 41% faster under Democratic presidents.

   Average GDP growth per year under Democratic Presidents: 4.05%

   Average GDP growth per year under Republican Presidents: 2.88%

   Average GDP growth under the Bush II Administration: 2.51%

Businesses invest three times as much under Democratic presidents.

   Average growth per year under Democratic Presidents: 7.08%

  Average growth per year under Republican Presidents: 2.94%

  Average growth under the Bush II Administration: 1.53%

There’s plenty more where that came from…

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Recent Posts

  • Yes, he really is that stupid
  • Campaign Finance: Maryland, Virginia, whatever…
  • Campaign Finance: from Alabama to Dittmer
  • Raving lunatic
  • Campaign Finance: Missouri is an expensive suburb of Ohio…and Virginia

Recent Comments

Yes, he really is th… on Mark Alford (r) –…
Campaign Finance: Ma… on Campaign Finance: Missouri is…
Campaign Finance: Ma… on Campaign Finance: for billiona…
Campaign Finance: fr… on Campaign Finance: the money be…
Campaign Finance: fr… on Campaign Finance: dismantle th…

Archives

  • July 2026
  • June 2026
  • May 2026
  • April 2026
  • March 2026
  • February 2026
  • January 2026
  • December 2025
  • November 2025
  • October 2025
  • September 2025
  • August 2025
  • July 2025
  • June 2025
  • May 2025
  • April 2025
  • March 2025
  • February 2025
  • January 2025
  • December 2024
  • November 2024
  • October 2024
  • September 2024
  • August 2024
  • July 2024
  • June 2024
  • May 2024
  • April 2024
  • March 2024
  • February 2024
  • January 2024
  • December 2023
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023
  • July 2023
  • June 2023
  • May 2023
  • April 2023
  • March 2023
  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • January 2021
  • December 2020
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • September 2020
  • August 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • May 2020
  • April 2020
  • March 2020
  • February 2020
  • January 2020
  • December 2019
  • November 2019
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • February 2019
  • January 2019
  • December 2018
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • February 2018
  • January 2018
  • December 2017
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • March 2017
  • February 2017
  • January 2017
  • December 2016
  • November 2016
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • February 2016
  • January 2016
  • December 2015
  • November 2015
  • October 2015
  • September 2015
  • August 2015
  • July 2015
  • June 2015
  • May 2015
  • April 2015
  • March 2015
  • February 2015
  • January 2015
  • December 2014
  • November 2014
  • October 2014
  • September 2014
  • August 2014
  • July 2014
  • June 2014
  • May 2014
  • April 2014
  • March 2014
  • February 2014
  • January 2014
  • December 2013
  • November 2013
  • October 2013
  • September 2013
  • August 2013
  • July 2013
  • June 2013
  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • February 2013
  • January 2013
  • December 2012
  • November 2012
  • October 2012
  • September 2012
  • August 2012
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • April 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011
  • August 2011
  • July 2011
  • June 2011
  • May 2011
  • April 2011
  • March 2011
  • February 2011
  • January 2011
  • December 2010
  • November 2010
  • October 2010
  • September 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
  • May 2010
  • April 2010
  • March 2010
  • February 2010
  • January 2010
  • December 2009
  • November 2009
  • October 2009
  • September 2009
  • August 2009
  • July 2009
  • June 2009
  • May 2009
  • April 2009
  • March 2009
  • February 2009
  • January 2009
  • December 2008
  • November 2008
  • October 2008
  • September 2008
  • August 2008
  • July 2008
  • June 2008
  • May 2008
  • April 2008
  • March 2008
  • February 2008
  • January 2008
  • December 2007
  • November 2007
  • October 2007
  • September 2007
  • August 2007

Categories

  • campaign finance
  • Claire McCaskill
  • Congress
  • Democratic Party News
  • Eric Schmitt
  • Healthcare
  • Hillary Clinton
  • Interview
  • Jason Smith
  • Josh Hawley
  • Mark Alford
  • media criticism
  • meta
  • Missouri General Assembly
  • Missouri Governor
  • Missouri House
  • Missouri Senate
  • Resist
  • Roy Blunt
  • social media
  • Standing Rock
  • Town Hall
  • Uncategorized
  • US Senate

Meta

  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.org

Blogroll

  • Balloon Juice
  • Crooks and Liars
  • Digby
  • I Spy With My Little Eye
  • Lawyers, Guns, and Money
  • No More Mister Nice Blog
  • The Great Orange Satan
  • Washington Monthly
  • Yael Abouhalkah

Donate to Show Me Progress via PayPal

Your modest support helps keep the lights on. Click on the button:

Blog Stats

  • 1,057,792 hits

Powered by WordPress.com.

Loading Comments...