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On September 20th SurveyUSA released a 600 sample poll taken in Missouri from September 14th through the 16th which shows that “baby” Blunt and dubya (separate reports) do not have stellar approval ratings in Missouri. The margin of error is 4.1%.
The poll was sponsored by KCTV in Kansas City.
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Matt Blunt is doing as Governor?
All
47% – approve
48% – disapprove
5% – not sureDemocrats [35% of sample]
24% – approve
71% – disapprove
5% – not surerepublicans [30% of sample]
77% – approve
19% – disapprove
4% – not sureIndependents [30% of sample]
42% – approve
53% – disapprove
5% – not sure
“baby” Blunt’s numbers improved among republicans, but remain unchanged among Democrats and Independents.
Again, my favorite approval numbers come from the different reality based and fantasy based communities:
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Matt Blunt is doing as Governor?
Global warming is real [71% of sample]
40% – approve
55% – disapprove
5% – not sureGlobal warming is made-up [22% of sample]
69% – approve
28% – disapprove
4% – not sure
The numbers for “baby” Blunt compare to those in the July 20 SurveyUSA poll. He’s improved over his August numbers.
Dubya is doing just plain awful in Missouri:
Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?
All
39% – approve
58% – disapprove
3% – not sureDemocrats [35% of sample]
12% – approve
87% – disapprove
1% – not surerepublicans [30% of sample]
76% – approve
22% – disapprove
2% – not sureIndependents [30% of sample]
36% – approve
60% – disapprove
4% – not sure
dubya’s numbers are propped up by republicans, but are abysmal among Democrats and Independents.
The numbers for dubya from the different reality based and fantasy based communities:
Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?
Global warming is real [71% of sample]
29% – approve
70% – disapprove
1% – not sureGlobal warming is made-up [22% of sample]
71% – approve
25% – disapprove
4% – not sure
The numbers are almost exactly opposite. Fancy that.
on governor without party breakdown are pretty close though: 47-48. That means that GOTV will be (again) crucial next year. (I assume this isn’t a sample of “likely voter”, but still.)
Top of the ticket might very well matter. I know everyone has been focusing on how the D candidate could affect other races but with Blunt’s bad ratings it would be nice to have a R nominee who is also unpopular in Missouri – a double whammy so to speak.
Neil the ethical werewolf over at Ezra Klein’s blog does a handy-dandy chart showing Missouri SUSA results on Pres candidate matchups. Looks like we need to hope that Romney is the R candidate for president – he doesn’t look to bring out any great numbers of Republicans. He and Blunt could be a great duo (from a D pov) at the top of the ticket. 🙂
not doing things that anger large numbers of voters is starting to really pay off for Blunt. Plus, he has all sorts of ‘band-aid’ programs to “correct” the problems that he made worse in 2005.
Back in September 2005, 12 governors had approval ratings below 50% (who were up in November 2006)
Those 12: Perry, Bredesen, Rendell, Doyle, Kulongoski, Pataki, Baldacci, Granholm, Blagojevich, Schwarzenegger, Murkowski, and Taft. Two retired (Pataki/Taft), one lost a primary (Murkowski), and the other nine won re-election.
But, then again, perhaps History will change from November 2006, when Blunt had a 36% job approval rating and Dems won 5 seats in the House, and 2 in the Senate.
(extra note: look at that Republican job approval rating, It’s pretty much a guarantee that Blunt won’t face a tough primary)
And when you consider that the split in Missouri last November was 39R/37D/25I.. then the possibility is that Blunt’s job approval may lay at a majority amongst the people who’ll vote in 2008. It’s probably smart to just expect the independents to be oversampled for polls like this.
Ridiculousness.