For reference, The TV market map is here

The two races that will ‘split’ are the Republican gubernatorial race and the Democratic attorney general’s race and we’ll go split them through 8 of the markets (St. Joe, KC, Kirksville, Hannibal, Columbia, St. Louis, Springfield, Joplin, and Cape Girardeau)

So let’s go to a race that has been settled first, the Republican gubernatorial primary.

The splits are as follows

St. Louis (123K votes): 51/45 Hulshof

Springfield (106K votes): 56/39 Steelman

Kansas City (59.7K votes): 54/34 Steelman

Columbia (41.7K votes): 74/24 Hulshof

Cape Girardeau (24K votes): 66/28 Hulshof

Joplin (22K votes): 57/36 Hulshof

St. Joe (6839 votes): 47/36 Steelman

Kirksville (5090 votes): 81/12 Hulshof

Hannibal (4225 votes): 84/9 Hulshof

First conclusion: If your market is represented by Hulshof in Congress, it went for him in the primary by a huge margin.

Hulshof was able to do very well in the Cape market, winning the Sikeston area easily and winning Cape Girardeau.

As expected, Steelman won Springfield by 18K. But Hulshof winning the Joplin market was a pretty big blow (although it only netted 4K votes).

So essentially SW MO and the KC market Republicans like Steelman quite a bit, and Hulshof will have some work to do, while also trying to make sure that he doesn’t lose a lot of support in Columbia and STL County to Nixon (which he probably will lose)

As for the Attorney General’s race, which is probably the first primary in a long time to come down to a 3-digit outcome (much less a 0.3% spread)..

STL (144K): Donnelly 44, Koster 32, Harris 19

KC (89.5K): Koster 39, Donnelly 32, Harris 23

Columbia (32K): Harris 50, Koster 25, Donnelly 20

Springfield (30K): Koster 45, Harris 27, Donnelly 21

St. Joe (9923): Donnelly 32, Koster 30, Harris 24

Hannibal (8229): Koster 32, Harris 29, Donnelly 27

Joplin (5393): Koster 36, Donnelly 27, Harris 25

Kirksville (3681): Harris 33, Donnelly 29, Koster 27

32% in STL appears to be slightly more valuable than 32% in KC. But Koster’s KC market showing was pretty lousy (and his 31st showing was underwhelming). Presumably that’s what happens when you get hammered by ads in the last week on KC stations.

There was a dropoff of 12K votes between the Nixon race and the attorney general’s race. Which was only 3% of gubernatorial primary votes. Although that percentage was around 10% in Adair (10%), Atchison (12%), Clark (15%), Knox (11%), Lewis (11%), Marion (12%), Pemiscot (12%), Ralls (10%), Schuyler (15%), Scotland (11%), and Shelby (12%). The large number of MO-9 counties on that list could suggest an outbreak of Lyndon Bode Fever in that area (or just a high MO-9 Dem turnout). Cass County had 66 more votes for Attorney General than for Governor, and Johnson County had the same number of votes for both offices.

So, while the second race is not completely in the past tense (seeing as it’s still very close for a primary). We can see a bit of how things broke down for that primary and the Hulshof primary.