SurveyUSA released a 543 sample poll of “Likely voters” taken in Missouri June 20th through the 22nd which was released on June 26th. The poll runs a head to head match up between McSame and Obama. The margin of error is 4.3%.
The poll was sponsored by KCTV in Kansas City and KSDK in St. Louis.
If there were an election for President of the United States today, would you vote for Republican John McCain? Or Democrat Barack Obama?
All
McCain – 50%
Obama – 43%
Undecided – 7%
These numbers, while different, have remained essentially unchanged (within the margin of error) since the May SurveyUSA poll.
The crosstabulations by party identification are always interesting:
Party Affiliation
Democrats [44% of sample]
McCain – 16%
Obama – 76%
Undecided – 8%republicans [33% of sample]
McCain – 89%
Obama – 8%
Undecided – 3%Independents [21% of sample]
McCain – 57%
Obama – 31%
Undecided – 11%
The numbers among republicans remain unchanged. Obama shows some improvement among Democrats, though there appears to be serious erosion among Independents.
Gender
Male [46% of sample]
McCain – 60%
Obama – 36%
Undecided – 5%Female [54% of sample]
McCain – 41%
Obama – 50%
Undecided – 9%
Yep, there’s definitely a gender gap here. Those numbers among males just might explain these words on FISA. “National Security” is going to be an issue in that group. The republicans will make it so – you can count on it.
relative to his performance in other swing states. His failure to advertise heavily as opposed to McCain as noted on TPM might be relevant to this issue.