SurveyUSA released a 536 sample poll of “registered voters” in Missouri on March 19th which was in the field from March 14th through the 16th. The poll runs head to head match ups between McSame and the Democratic candidates. The margin of error is 4.3%.
The poll was sponsored by KCTV in Kansas City.
If there were an election for President of the United States today, and the only two names on the ballot were Republican John McCain and … Democrat Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?
All
McCain – 48%
Clinton – 46%
Undecided – 6%
What if it was John McCain against Democrat Barack Obama?
All
McCain – 53%
CintonObama – 39%
Undecided – 9%
The crosstabulations by party identification are interesting:
Party Affiliation
Democrats
McCain – 10%
Clinton – 83%
Undecided – 7%McCain – 28%
Obama – 62%
Undecided – 10%republicans
McCain – 90%
Clinton – 5%
Undecided – 4%McCain – 86%
Obama – 11%
Undecided – 2%Independents
McCain – 56%
Clinton – 37%
Undecided – 8%McCain – 54%
Obama – 34%
Undecided – 12%
…It’s evident that the republican base wants more of McSame.
Top Issues for Next President (McCain/Clinton and McCain/Obama numbers for “who would you vote for?” within each group)
Economy [41% of sample]
McCain – 44%
Clinton – 52%
Undecided – 5%McCain – 51%
Obama – 40%
Undecided – 9%Health Care [15% of sample]
McCain – 26%
Clinton – 65%
Undecided – 12%McCain – 43%
Obama – 43%
Undecided – 14%Iraq [13% of sample]
McCain – 49%
Clinton – 46%
Undecided – 5%McCain – 46%
Obama – 49%
Undecided – 5%Terrorism [9% of sample]
McCain – 85%
Clinton – 12%
Undecided – 3%McCain – 80%
Obama – 16%
Undecided – 4%Immigration [8% of sample]
McCain – 75%
Clinton – 18%
Undecided – 7%McCain – 81%
Obama – 13%
Undecided – 6%Social Security [4% of sample]
McCain – 43%
Clinton – 49%
Undecided – 8%McCain – 50%
Obama – 46%
Undecided – 4%Education [4% of sample]
McCain – 40%
Clinton – 57%
Undecided – 3%McCain – 35%
Obama – 61%
Undecided – 4%Environment [2% of sample]
McCain – 46%
Clinton – 42%
Undecided – 12%McCain – 32%
Obama – 68%
Undecided – 0%
McSame definitely has the republican “fear” base [Terrorism and Immigration]. Economic worries have really taken over as the most important issue at the expense of even those republican base issues. The smaller subsamples do have a larger margin of error. Either that, or some people trust McSame on Social Security because they believe he’s getting it.
Both of the first two polls show McCain versus Clinton. The second one should be Obama.
You don’t think it is worth noting that Obama’s Independent support has collasped in MO? Isn’t the Deomcratic party supposed to be excited about all the Independents he can bring to the election?How about the fact that McCain is pulling nearly 30% of Mo.Democrats.Is this the typical “fear base”?