SurveyUSA released its final presidential primary poll for Missouri, taken February 2nd and 3rd. The poll was sponsored by KCTV-TV (Kansas City) and KSDK-TV (St. Louis). The margin of error is 3.9%.

…2,000 state of MO adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 02/02/08 and 02/03/08. All interviews completed before start of Super Bowl on 02/03/08. Of the adults, 1,849 were registered to vote. Of them, 671 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Primary….

A 2000 sample is a serious and very expensive poll.

All

54% – Hillary Clinton

43% – Barack Obama

3% – Other

1% – Undecided

…24 hours till votes are counted in the Missouri Democratic Primary, late movement may be going toward Hillary Clinton, according to SurveyUSA’s final pre-primary tracking poll …Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 72 hours ago, Obama is flat, Clinton is up….

The top three issues for voters are still the economy, health care, and Iraq:

Top Issue for Next President (Democratic primary preference numbers within each group)

Economy [42% of sample]

57% – Hillary Clinton

40% – Barack Obama

2% – Other

1% – Undecided

Health Care [23% of sample]

52% – Hillary Clinton

43% – Barack Obama

4% – Other

0% – Undecided

Iraq [17% of sample]

47% – Hillary Clinton

52% – Barack Obama

0% – Other

1% – Undecided

Environment [4% of sample]

55% – Hillary Clinton

43% – Barack Obama

2% – Other

0% – Undecided

Social Security [4% of sample]

69% – Hillary Clinton

24% – Barack Obama

3% – Other

3% – Undecided

Education [2% of sample]

42% – Hillary Clinton

50% – Barack Obama

8% – Other

0% – Undecided

Immigration [4% of sample]

63% – Hillary Clinton

28% – Barack Obama

9% – Other

0% – Undecided

Terrorism [2% of sample]

42% – Hillary Clinton

51% – Barack Obama

8% – Other

0% – Undecided

The undecideds are down to almost nothing. If this poll is accurate, they’ve gone to their candidates. Interesting.

Region

Ozark [17% of sample]

62% – Hillary Clinton

31% – Barack Obama

6% – Other

1% – Undecided

Kansas City [23% of sample]

57% – Hillary Clinton

39% – Barack Obama

4% – Other

0% – Undecided

Central [10% of sample]

47% – Hillary Clinton

49% – Barack Obama

3% – Other

2% – Undecided

St. Louis [50% of sample]

51% – Hillary Clinton

47% – Barack Obama

1% – Other

1% – Undecided

There’s a big up-tick for Hillary in the Kansas City area numbers. The Ozark region numbers are similar to the previous big poll. Hillary now leads in St. Louis.

Gender:

male [42% of sample]

39% – Hillary Clinton

55% – Barack Obama

6% – Other

1% – Undecided

female [58% of sample]

64% – Hillary Clinton

34% – Barack Obama

1% – Other

1% – Undecided

They’re changing their turnout model from the previous poll? Higher turnout among women? It’s down to GOTV.