SurveyUSA released its final presidential primary poll for Missouri, taken February 2nd and 3rd. The poll was sponsored by KCTV-TV (Kansas City) and KSDK-TV (St. Louis). The margin of error is 3.9%.
…2,000 state of MO adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 02/02/08 and 02/03/08. All interviews completed before start of Super Bowl on 02/03/08. Of the adults, 1,849 were registered to vote. Of them, 671 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Primary….
A 2000 sample is a serious and very expensive poll.
All
54% – Hillary Clinton
43% – Barack Obama
3% – Other
1% – Undecided
…24 hours till votes are counted in the Missouri Democratic Primary, late movement may be going toward Hillary Clinton, according to SurveyUSA’s final pre-primary tracking poll …Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 72 hours ago, Obama is flat, Clinton is up….
The top three issues for voters are still the economy, health care, and Iraq:
Top Issue for Next President (Democratic primary preference numbers within each group)
Economy [42% of sample]
57% – Hillary Clinton
40% – Barack Obama
2% – Other
1% – UndecidedHealth Care [23% of sample]
52% – Hillary Clinton
43% – Barack Obama
4% – Other
0% – UndecidedIraq [17% of sample]
47% – Hillary Clinton
52% – Barack Obama
0% – Other
1% – UndecidedEnvironment [4% of sample]
55% – Hillary Clinton
43% – Barack Obama
2% – Other
0% – UndecidedSocial Security [4% of sample]
69% – Hillary Clinton
24% – Barack Obama
3% – Other
3% – UndecidedEducation [2% of sample]
42% – Hillary Clinton
50% – Barack Obama
8% – Other
0% – UndecidedImmigration [4% of sample]
63% – Hillary Clinton
28% – Barack Obama
9% – Other
0% – UndecidedTerrorism [2% of sample]
42% – Hillary Clinton
51% – Barack Obama
8% – Other
0% – Undecided
The undecideds are down to almost nothing. If this poll is accurate, they’ve gone to their candidates. Interesting.
Region
Ozark [17% of sample]
62% – Hillary Clinton
31% – Barack Obama
6% – Other
1% – UndecidedKansas City [23% of sample]
57% – Hillary Clinton
39% – Barack Obama
4% – Other
0% – UndecidedCentral [10% of sample]
47% – Hillary Clinton
49% – Barack Obama
3% – Other
2% – UndecidedSt. Louis [50% of sample]
51% – Hillary Clinton
47% – Barack Obama
1% – Other
1% – Undecided
There’s a big up-tick for Hillary in the Kansas City area numbers. The Ozark region numbers are similar to the previous big poll. Hillary now leads in St. Louis.
Gender:
male [42% of sample]
39% – Hillary Clinton
55% – Barack Obama
6% – Other
1% – Undecidedfemale [58% of sample]
64% – Hillary Clinton
34% – Barack Obama
1% – Other
1% – Undecided
They’re changing their turnout model from the previous poll? Higher turnout among women? It’s down to GOTV.