Via the Missouri Secretary of State:
U. S. Senator (3320 of 3387 Precincts Reported)
Claire McCaskill Democrat 1,442,997 54.2%
Todd Akin Republican 1,057,492 39.7%
Jonathan Dine Libertarian 163,906 6.2%
William Dean Write-in 246 0.0%
Bernard J. (Spark) Duraski, Jr. Write-in 0 0.0%
Bernie Mowinski Write-in 2 0.0%
Charlie L. Bailey Write-in 2 0.0%
Arnie C. (AC) Dienoff Write-in 0 0.0%
Ted Kimzey Write-in 1 0.0%
Total Votes 2,664,646
[emphasis added]
Why, that’s a margin of 15.5%. Go figure.
Interesting:
SurveyUSA: Claire (D) 51, Akin (r) 36 and the polling of parallel realities (November 4, 2012)
Oopsie:
PPP – 11/4/12: McCaskill (D) – 48%, Akin (r) – 44% (November 4, 2012)
And, from a Claire McCaskill (D) internal campaign poll:
Sen. Claire McCaskill (D): up by 14 points in Kiley Poll (October 27, 2012)
McCaskill – 53%
Akin – 39%
Other – 1%
Not sure – 7%
Close. And as a consequence, not even close.
can shut down stupidity.
turns out SurveyUSA was completely right. And I’ve gotta wonder if PPP could provide any more info about how their polling of Akin/McCaskill was so inaccurate. I don’t think it’s purely the landline thing, since their landline polls also predicted the results of other elections. And their polls of other Missouri races weren’t wildly inaccurate. And you’d think if people were lying to pollsters, it wouldn’t involve lying about supporting Todd Akin.
You could be nominated by the Democrats or Republicans and have a solid chance at 40% statewide at the minimum, it takes a real bad candidate or bad campaign to not even get 40%