Yesterday Survey USA released the results of a poll of 585 likely voters in Missouri taken from August 9th through August 12th. The poll has a margin of error of 4.1%.

If the election for President were today, would you vote for … (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?

All

Mitt Romney (R) – 45%

Barack Obama (D) – 44%

Other – 6%

Undecided – 5%

Male (46%)

Mitt Romney (R) – 45%

Barack Obama (D) – 45%

Other – 5%

Undecided – 5%

Female (54%)

Mitt Romney (R) – 46%

Barack Obama (D) – 43%

Other – 6%

Undecided – 6%

Ideology

Conservative (40%)

Mitt Romney (R) – 78%

Barack Obama (D) – 14%

Other – 5%

Undecided – 3%

Moderate (38%)

Mitt Romney (R) – 29%

Barack Obama (D) – 55%

Other – 6%

Undecided – 9%

Liberal (19%)

Mitt Romney (R) – 10%

Barack Obama (D) – 81%

Other – 6%

Undecided – 3%

Essentially tied. And there’s no gender gap. That bears watching – especially if there’s increased awareness of the republican War on Women. Those “Moderate” numbers are very interesting.

The numbers for Governor:

Missouri will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for … (choices rotated) Republican Dave Spence? Democrat Jay Nixon? Or Libertarian Jim Higgins?

All

Dave Spence (R) – 37%

Jay Nixon (D) – 51%

Jim Higgins (L) – 5%

Undecided – 6%

Male (46%)

Dave Spence (R) – 35%

Jay Nixon (D) – 52%

Jim Higgins (L) – 7%

Undecided – 6%

Female (54%)

Dave Spence (R) – 39%

Jay Nixon (D) – 51%

Jim Higgins (L) – 4%

Undecided – 6%

Ideology

Conservative (40%)

Dave Spence (R) – 66%

Jay Nixon (D) – 26%

Jim Higgins (L) – 4%

Undecided – 4%

Moderate (38%)

Dave Spence (R) – 23%

Jay Nixon (D) – 65%

Jim Higgins (L) – 5%

Undecided – 7%

Liberal (19%)

Dave Spence (R) – 6%

Jay Nixon (D) – 81%

Jim Higgins (L) – 5%

Undecided – 8%

Well, there really aren’t any surprises.

For U.S. Senate:

Missouri will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for US Senate were today, would you vote for … (choices rotated) Republican Todd Akin? Democrat Claire McCaskill? Or Libertarian Jonathan Dine?

All

Todd Akin (R) – 51%

Claire McCaskill (D) – 40%

Jonathan Dine (L) – 4%

Undecided – 5%

Male (46%)

Todd Akin (R) – 49%

Claire McCaskill (D) – 40%

Jonathan Dine (L) – 7%

Undecided – 4%

Female (54%)

Todd Akin (R) – 53%

Claire McCaskill (D) – 39%

Jonathan Dine (L) – 3%

Undecided – 9%

Ideology

Conservative (40%)

Todd Akin (R) – 83%

Claire McCaskill (D) – 13%

Jonathan Dine (L) – 2%

Undecided – 2%

Moderate (38%)

Todd Akin (R) – 37%

Claire McCaskill (D) – 50%

Jonathan Dine (L) – 7%

Undecided – 6%

Liberal (19%)

Todd Akin (R) – 14%

Claire McCaskill (D) – 77%

Jonathan Dine (L) – 3%

Undecided – 7%

Uh, very interesting, a gender gap, but not what you’d expect. Fourteen percent of self identified Liberals will vote for Akin? Seriously?

This poll may be an outlier. We won’t know until we see some trends in subsequent polls by the same outlet.

If this poll has a republican/conservative bias and Barack Obama (D) is essentially tied with Mitt Romney (r) the Obama/Biden campaign needs to seriously consider ramping up their field operation in Missouri.