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They shovel the…spin and our useless old media eats it up:

Congressional Memo

As Republicans Predict a 2010 Surge, Democrats Dig In

By CARL HULSE

Published: October 10, 2009

…Publicly and privately, Republicans have been upbeat about the midterm outlook, saying voter unrest demonstrated at meetings this summer coupled with strong candidate recruitment have them highly optimistic about capturing 40 or more Democratic seats and resuming command of the House. They are talking confidently about knocking off such old bulls as Representatives David R. Obey of Wisconsin and Ike Skelton of Missouri, the chairmen of the Appropriations and Armed Services Committees…

Let’s take a look at a little bit of Missouri election history:

Official Election Returns

State of Missouri General Election  – 2008 General Election

Tuesday, November 04, 2008

As announced by the Board of State Canvassers

on Tuesday, December 02, 2008

U.S. Representative – District 4 – Summary

Precincts Reporting 419 of 419

Parnell, Jeff REP 103,446 34.1%

Skelton, Ike DEM 200,009 65.9%

Total Votes   303,455

[emphasis added]

Official Election Returns

State of Missouri General Election  – November 2006 – General Election

Tuesday, November 07, 2006

As announced by the Board of State Canvassers

on Wednesday, November 29, 2006

U.S. Representative – District 4 – Summary

Precincts Reporting 437 of 437

Noland, James A. (Jim) REP 69,254 29.4%

Skelton, Ike DEM 159,303 67.6%

Holthouse, Bryce A. LIB 4,479 1.9%

Ivey, Melinda (Mel) PRG 2,459 1.0%

Palmer, Jerry L. WI 30 .0%

Total Votes   235,525

[emphasis added]

Official Election Returns

State of Missouri General Election

Tuesday, November 02, 2004

As announced by the Board of State Canvassers

on Wednesday, December 01, 2004

U.S. Representative – District 4 – Summary

Precincts Reporting 468 of 468

Skelton, Ike DEM 190,800 66.2%

Noland, James A. (Jim) REP 93,334 32.4%

Lower, Bill LIB 2,827 1.0%

Lister, Raymond CST 1,265 .4%

Total Votes   288,226

[emphasis added]

Official Election Returns

State of Missouri General Election  – 11/5/2002

Tuesday, November 05, 2002

As announced by the Board of State Canvassers

on Thursday, November 21, 2002

U.S. Representative – District 4 – Summary

Skelton, Ike DEM 142,204 67.6%

Noland, James A. (Jim) REP 64,451 30.7%

Nelson, Daniel Roy LIB 3,583 1.7%

Total Votes   210,238

[emphasis added]

Official Election Returns

State of Missouri General Election

Tuesday, November 07, 2000

As announced by the Board of State Canvassers

on Monday, December 04, 2000

U.S. Representative – District 4 – Summary

Skelton, Ike DEM 180,634 66.9%

Noland, Jim REP 84,406 31.3%

Knapp, Thomas L. LIB 2,878 1.1%

Rinehart, James Edward REF 1,971 .7%

Total Votes   269,889

[emphasis added]

Official Election Returns

State of Missouri General Election

Tuesday, November 03, 1998

As announced by the Board of State Canvassers

on Tuesday, November 24, 1998

U.S. Representative – District 4 – Summary

Skelton, Ike DEM 133,173 71.0%

Noland, Cecilia D. REP 51,005 27.2%

Hoag, Edwin W. (Ed) LIB 3,438 1.8%

Total Votes   187,616

[emphasis added]

Yeah, I remember the 1998 election cycle. Ike Skelton’s opponent kept calling him a “liberal”. That worked out really well as a campaign strategery.

Official Election Returns

State of Missouri General Election

Tuesday, November 05, 1996

As announced by the Board of State Canvassers

on Thursday, November 21, 1996

U.S. Representative – District 4 – Summary

Skelton, Ike DEM 153,566 63.8%

Phelps, Bill REP 81,650 33.9%

Hoag, Edwin (Ed) LIB 5,573 2.3%

Total Votes   240,789

[emphasis added]

Damn, 1996 was a bad year. Ike Skelton wasn’t able to get that 30 point margin of victory.

Now they expect legislative giants like Vicki Hartzler to pull off the upset. They’re already spending a lot of out-of-state money, but their kind of negative campaigning tends to just piss off voters in the 4th Congressional District. It takes more than batshit crazy right wingnuttery to garner more than 35% of the vote in the 4th Congressional District.

The republicans think they’re going to peel off more than 16% of Ike Skelton’s vote? That’s gonna take a serious pile of money.

This makes one wonder what color the sky is in their world. We already knew that. It’s red.